Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan Prediction

Faroe Islands
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Kazakhstan
Tórsvøllur·Ishmael Barbara 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseHighGap+7.7%
Faroe Islands Rest
109 days
Kazakhstan Rest
108 days

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: result, form and history

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 26 Sep 2026. Faroe Islands had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Kazakhstan.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.25
X
29%3.25
2
24%3.30
Double Chance
1X
76%1.33
X2
53%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.75 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.39
Over 2.5
44%2.25
Over 3.5
27%4.15
Under 1.5
30%2.77
Under 2.5
56%1.64
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
57%1.73
Over 9.5
48%2.21
Over 10.5
37%2.92
Under 8.5
43%2.02
Under 9.5
52%1.61
Under 10.5
63%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
34%2.15
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
66%1.65

Match Events

14'Áki SamuelsenAssist: Andrias Edmundsson
26'Temirlan ErlanovAssist: Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
49'Galymzhan KenzhebekFoul
62'Zhasulan Amir INElkhan Astanov out
62'Galymzhan Kenzhebek INstanislav basmanov out
65'Petur Knudsen INAdrian Justinussen out
73'Bauyrzhan Islamkhan INRamazan Orazov out
80'Géza Dávid Turi INMattias Hellisdal out
80'Áki Samuelsen INPoul Kallsberg out
81'Artur Shushenachev INIsmail Bekbolat out
90+1'Islambek KuatFoul

Lineups

Faroe Islands
3-4-3Coach: E. Klakstein
Kazakhstan
4-3-3Coach: J. van 't Schip
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.71
M. Lamhauge6.01M. Lamhauge
O. Færø6.515O. Færø
G. Vatnhamar6.716G. Vatnhamar
A. Edmundsson7.05A. Edmundsson
J. Danielsen6.02J. Danielsen
J. Bjartalíð7.27J. Bjartalíð
G. Turi6.421G. Turi
M. Agnarsson6.713M. Agnarsson
Á. Samuelsen7.610Á. Samuelsen
P. Knudsen6.311P. Knudsen
H. Sørensen6.520H. Sørensen
S. Pokatilov6.81S. Pokatilov
A. Mrynskiy6.713A. Mrynskiy
T. Erlanov8.023T. Erlanov
N. Alip7.13N. Alip
Y. Vorogovskiy6.611Y. Vorogovskiy
D. Karaman6.818D. Karaman
I. Kuat6.25I. Kuat
B. Islamkhan7.69B. Islamkhan
Z. Amir6.38Z. Amir
A. Shushenachev6.510A. Shushenachev
G. Kenzhebek6.37G. Kenzhebek

Faroe Islands Substitutes

4S. Chukwudi
19J. Benjaminsen
18Á. Dam
3V. í Davidsen
22M. Hellisdal80'for Géza Dávid Turi6.3
17A. Justinussen65'for Petur Knudsen5.9
14P. Kallsberg80'for Áki Samuelsen6.4
9J. Nielsen
12A. Petersen
23B. Reynatrod
8H. Vatnsdal
6E. Joensen

Kazakhstan Substitutes

21E. Astanov62'for Zhasulan Amir6.4
14N. Zhagorov
16A. Zarutskiy
15E. Tapalov
6A. Shirobokov
20R. Orazov73'for Bauyrzhan Islamkhan6.2
2S. Maliy
19R. Karimov
22I. Bekbolat81'for Artur Shushenachev6.6
17S. Basmanov62'for Galymzhan Kenzhebek6.7
4A. Ashirbek
12Bekkhan Shayzada

Match Stats

Faroe IslandsKazakhstan
42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
10Fouls10
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
383Total Passes539
287Passes Accurate451
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
KazakhstanKazakhstan
1485Elo Rating 1372
1.27Attack 1.27
1.87Defense 1.31
14%Hit Rate 0%
13.1Shots per Game 14.3
4.0Shots on Target 3.1
4.8Corners per Game 5.6
1.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KazakhstanKazakhstan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Recent Form

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
5W0D5L
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
W
06/06/2026
EstoniaFaroe Islands
10
L
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
L
12/10/2025
Faroe IslandsCzech Republic
21
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
W
08/09/2025
GibraltarFaroe Islands
01
W
05/09/2025
Faroe IslandsCroatia
01
L
09/06/2025
Faroe IslandsGibraltar
21
W
25/03/2025
MontenegroFaroe Islands
10
L
22/03/2025
Czech RepublicFaroe Islands
21
L
KazakhstanKazakhstan
2W3D5L
09/06/2026
HungaryKazakhstan
31
L
06/06/2026
ArmeniaKazakhstan
11
D
15/11/2025
KazakhstanBelgium
11
D
13/10/2025
FYR MacedoniaKazakhstan
11
D
10/10/2025
KazakhstanLiechtenstein
40
W
07/09/2025
BelgiumKazakhstan
60
L
04/09/2025
KazakhstanWales
01
L
09/06/2025
KazakhstanFYR Macedonia
01
L
25/03/2025
LiechtensteinKazakhstan
02
W
22/03/2025
WalesKazakhstan
31
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SlovakiaSlovakia43109:2+710WDWW
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands40405:504DDDD
3MoldovaMoldova41123:8-54LWDL
4KazakhstanKazakhstan40225:7-22DLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SlovakiaSlovakia49:210
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands45:54
3MoldovaMoldova43:84
4KazakhstanKazakhstan45:72
Promotion

About the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Faroe Islands are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 2 points ahead of Kazakhstan in 4th. League goal record so far: Faroe Islands 5-5, Kazakhstan 5-7. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.