Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction

Stadionul Viitorul, Ovidiu·Horatiu Fesnic 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Farul Constanta Rest
21 days
Petrolul Ploiesti Rest
8 days

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti: result, form and history

Farul Constanta beat Petrolul Ploiesti 3-1 in the Liga I on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Petrolul Ploiesti had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Farul Constanta.

Farul Constanta have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.89
X
27%3.52
2
24%3.67
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
51%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.07 = 2.44
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.78
Over 3.5
30%2.90
Under 1.5
24%3.80
Under 2.5
49%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Cristian GaneaAssist: Ionuț Vână
22'Matteo AhlinviAssist: Eduard Radaslavescu
33'Alejandro BranAssist: Teixeira leo
51'Victor DicanFoul
63'Eddy Sylvestre INNarek Grigoryan out
63'Eduard Radaslavescu INRăzvan Marincean out
63'Muhamet Hyseni INRazvan Tanasa out
63'Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz INMario Ioniță out
63'Sergiu Hanca INisrael ola out
70'israel olaFoul
75'Matteo Ahlinvi INNicolas Popescu out
78'Paul Papp INRareș Leescu out
78'mark tutu INTiberiu Căpuşă out
78'Alejandro Bran INKilian Ludewig out
89'Răzvan MarinceanAssist: Razvan Tanasa
89'Andres DumitrescuDissent

Lineups

Farul Constanta
3-4-3Coach: Ovidiu Sabău
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Sousa
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.25
R. Munteanu7.112R. Munteanu
S. Bouzamoucha6.624S. Bouzamoucha
I. Larie6.617I. Larie
V. Dican6.36V. Dican
I. Vînă7.58I. Vînă
T. Njiké6.523T. Njiké
M. Ahlinvi7.870M. Ahlinvi
C. Ganea8.211C. Ganea
E. Sylvestre6.310E. Sylvestre
M. Hyseni6.49M. Hyseni
E. Rădăslăvescu7.020E. Rădăslăvescu
L. Zima6.938L. Zima
M. Țuțu6.322M. Țuțu
P. Papp6.54P. Papp
B. Malula6.671B. Malula
A. Dumitrescu5.32A. Dumitrescu
L. Vega5.98L. Vega
S. Hanca6.420S. Hanca
Léo Teixeira6.519L. Teixeira
A. Bran7.110A. Bran
Rodrigo Martins6.47R. Martins
D. Nlundulu6.69D. Nlundulu

Farul Constanta Substitutes

27Hassane Rachid Seyd Sabour Traoré
2D. Maftei
99Răzvan Marincean63'for Eduard Radaslavescu89'7.7
80N. Popescu75'for Matteo Ahlinvi6.2
71R. Tănasă63'for Muhamet Hyseni6.8
3V. Țicu
33João Ferreira
30N. Grigoryan63'for Eddy Sylvestre6.9
29A. Goncear
1A. Buzbuchi

Petrolul Ploiesti Substitutes

66T. Căpușă78'for mark tutu5.8
18C. Hüseynov
29K. Ludewig78'for Alejandro Bran5.9
21David Ionut
24Adam Zaian
28M. Costache
12Ș. Georgescu
80M. Ioniță63'for Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz5.8
99O. Dele63'for Sergiu Hanca70'6.0
30R. Leescu78'for Paul Papp6.0

Match Stats

Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
6Fouls13
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
425Total Passes412
345Passes Accurate347
12Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
1538Elo Rating 1545
1.35Attack 1.85
1.12Defense 1.64
39%Hit Rate 44%
12.1Shots per Game 13.3
5.6Shots on Target 4.9
3.7Corners per Game 3.5
1.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga I15/03/2026
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
Liga I25/01/2026
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
01
Liga I01/09/2025
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
21
Liga I28/04/2025
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
01
Liga I03/02/2025
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
21
Liga I14/09/2024
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
11
Liga I10/12/2023
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
31
Liga I06/08/2023
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
32
Liga I18/02/2023
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
Liga I16/09/2022
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
13

Recent Form

Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
6W1D3L
03/10/2026
Chindia TargovistePetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
02/10/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCS Afumati
32
W
21/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCsikszereda
20
W
14/09/2026
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti
22
D
06/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCorvinul Hunedoara
20
W
01/09/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
28/08/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
23
W
21/08/2026
Petrolul PloiestiRapid
02
L
18/08/2026
CSM ReşiţaPetrolul Ploiesti
2232
W
14/08/2026
FC VoluntariPetrolul Ploiesti
12
W

Referee Profile

Horatiu Fesnic194 matches

4.90Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
29.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Horatiu Fesnic4.90
Other referees4.58

4.90 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1292127:7+2029WWWWW
2RapidRapid1383221:13+827LWWWW
3Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1282227:9+1826WWWWW
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1372418:17+123WDLWD
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1371525:20+522WDLWW
6FCSBFCSB1363420:19+121WWWLD
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1355321:20+120WLWLW
8Uta AradUta Arad1353516:17-118WWLWL
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1251617:18-116LWLWL
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1344514:16-216LLWWL
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1335517:17014LLWLD
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe123548:13-514DLLWL
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti133378:14-612LDLLD
14OţelulOţelul1325615:21-611LDLLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1322913:29-168LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1312109:26-175WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1227:729
2RapidRapid1321:1327
3Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1227:926
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1318:1723
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1325:2022
6FCSBFCSB1320:1921
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1321:2020
8Uta AradUta Arad1316:1718
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1217:1816
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1314:1616
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1317:1714
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe128:1314
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti138:1412
14OţelulOţelul1315:2111
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1313:298
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda139:265
PromotionRelegation

About the Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I table

In the Liga I table, Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th and Farul Constanta 7th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Farul Constanta 21-20, Petrolul Ploiesti 18-17. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.