FC Astana vs Aktobe Prediction

FC Astana
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Aktobe
Astana Arena, Astana·A. Kuchma 12/07/2026
FC AstanaFC Astana
3-2
Finished
AktobeAktobe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap+9.6%
FC Astana Rest
2 days
Aktobe Rest
7 days

FC Astana vs Aktobe: result, form and history

FC Astana beat Aktobe 3-2 in the Premier League on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.98
X
29%3.24
2
20%3.40
Double Chance
1X
80%1.25
X2
49%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.76
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.31
Over 2.5
38%1.98
Over 3.5
18%3.40
Under 1.5
37%3.14
Under 2.5
62%1.76
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'B. Kairov
12'D. ShomkoAssist: A. Kaltanov
43'G. Zaria
46'B. Kalaica INY. Vorogovskiy out
52'G. Zhukov INP. Alvarez out
55'A. ShushenachevAssist: T. Dosmagambetov
58'D. Marat INM. Abrayev out
58'A. Merkel IND. Karaman out
58'A. Kaltanov INB. Islamkhan out
58'Pibe INT. Kusyapov out
58'G. Zaria IND. Sosah out
58'I. BasicAssist: A. Token
87'Nani
88'N. Ahanonu INR. Karimov out
88'A. Shushenachev INV. Laturnus out
88'T. Dosmagambetov INE. Seydakhmet out
90'S. BasmanovAssist: B. Islamkhan

Lineups

FC Astana
Coach: Grigori Babayan
Aktobe
Coach: Nikolay Kostov

FC Astana Starting XI

74M. Seysen
72S. Basmanov90'
3B. Kalaica46'replaced by Y. Vorogovskiy
4S. Anuarov
77D. Shomko12'
8I. Basic58'
91A. Token
21A. Merkel58'replaced by D. Karaman
57A. Kaltanov58'replaced by B. Islamkhan
20N. Ahanonu88'replaced by R. Karimov
17D. Marat58'replaced by M. Abrayev

Aktobe Starting XI

16A. Zarutskiy
31A. Tanzharikov
5B. Kairov11'
18I. Ordets
27T. Dosmagambetov88'replaced by E. Seydakhmet
6J. Atanasov
20G. Zhukov52'replaced by P. Alvarez
14Pibe58'replaced by T. Kusyapov
17Nani87'
77G. Zaria43'58'replaced by D. Sosah
11A. Shushenachev55'88'replaced by V. Laturnus

FC Astana Substitutes

99D. Karpikov
2K. Bartolec
10M. Tomasov
11Y. Vorogovskiy46'for B. Kalaica
47M. Abrayev58'for D. Marat
81R. Karimov88'for N. Ahanonu
5K. Kazukolovas
7D. Karaman58'for A. Merkel
9B. Islamkhan58'for A. Kaltanov
52T. Tokenov
84A. Zheksenbek
93J. Condric

Aktobe Substitutes

1I. Trofimets
4T. Kusyapov58'for Pibe
7D. Sosah58'for G. Zaria
19V. Laturnus88'for A. Shushenachev
21P. Alvarez52'for G. Zhukov
22E. Seydakhmet88'for T. Dosmagambetov
29M. Kikbaev
48A. Kenzhegulov
49N. Toregali
83P. Korganbaev

Team Comparison

FC AstanaFC Astana
AktobeAktobe
1626Elo Rating 1587
1.24Attack 2.24
1.79Defense 0.97
17%Hit Rate 44%

Game State Tendencies

FC AstanaFC Astana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
AktobeAktobe
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC AstanaFC Astana5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
AktobeAktobe4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/06/2026
AktobeFC Astana
20
Premier League19/10/2025
FC AstanaAktobe
53
Premier League22/06/2025
AktobeFC Astana
01
Premier League27/10/2024
FC AstanaAktobe
20
Premier League04/05/2024
AktobeFC Astana
11
Premier League30/09/2023
AktobeFC Astana
20
Premier League14/03/2023
FC AstanaAktobe
14
Premier League26/06/2022
AktobeFC Astana
41
Premier League17/03/2022
FC AstanaAktobe
10
Premier League18/09/2021
FC AstanaAktobe
21

Recent Form

FC AstanaFC Astana
5W2D3L
09/07/2026
Dinamo TiranaFC Astana
01
W
03/07/2026
FC AstanaZhenys
10
W
28/06/2026
ZhenysFC Astana
22
D
21/06/2026
AktobeFC Astana
20
L
14/06/2026
FC AstanaIrtysh
20
W
27/05/2026
AltayFC Astana
11
D
22/05/2026
FC AstanaUlytau
30
W
16/05/2026
OkzhetpesFC Astana
10
L
09/05/2026
FC AstanaKyzyl-Zhar
21
W
03/05/2026
KaspiyFC Astana
10
L
AktobeAktobe
4W3D3L
05/07/2026
AktobeZhetysu
21
W
27/06/2026
ZhetysuAktobe
10
L
21/06/2026
AktobeFC Astana
20
W
14/06/2026
AktobeAltay
20
W
28/05/2026
OkzhetpesAktobe
22
D
23/05/2026
AktobeKyzyl-Zhar
00
D
17/05/2026
AktobeAtyrau
11
D
13/05/2026
AktobeAltay
3141
L
10/05/2026
AktobeKaisar
30
W
03/05/2026
OrdabasyAktobe
20
L

Referee Profile

A. Kuchma4 matches analysed

4.26Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the FC Astana vs Aktobe forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Astana and Aktobe in the Premier League table

FC Astana and Aktobe are close in the Premier League table, 3rd and 5th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: FC Astana 48-31, Aktobe 47-39. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aktobe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.