FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Prediction

FC Dnepr Mogilev
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Arsenal
Stadion Spartak, Mogilev 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel11%SurpriseHighGap+9.9%
FC Dnepr Mogilev Rest
14 days
Arsenal Rest
15 days

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal: the result in context

Arsenal beat FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 in the Premier League on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.14
X
23%3.32
2
35%3.20
Double Chance
1X
65%1.31
X2
58%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.73
No
56%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.95
Over 3.5
18%3.30
Under 1.5
36%3.24
Under 2.5
62%1.82
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'N. Sotnikov
42'K. Zabelin
57'A. Potapenko
61'R. Piletskiy INA. Denisyuk out
70'N. Sotnikov INV. Tkachenko out
70'S. Sazonchik IND. Volskiy out
73'V. Harutyunyan INA. Shemruk out
78'E. Bozhko INV. Vasilyev out
78'M. Mokin INI. Oreshkevich out
87'A. Potapenko
88'D. Antilevskiy INI. Tolkachev out
89'
90'K. Zabelin INZ. Gitselev out
90'N. Krasnov INV. Stepanenko out

Team Comparison

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
ArsenalArsenal
1466Elo Rating 1385
1.54Attack 0.23
1.48Defense 1.99
46%Hit Rate 23%
9.4Shots per Game 3.9
2.7Shots on Target 0.8
4.2Corners per Game 3.1
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
ArsenalArsenal
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev2Wins · 22%
Draws333%
ArsenalArsenal4Wins · 45%
1.4Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

Premier League11/08/2024
ArsenalFC Dnepr Mogilev
31
Premier League29/03/2024
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
00
1. Division01/10/2023
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
20
1. Division28/05/2023
ArsenalFC Dnepr Mogilev
20
Premier League06/11/2022
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
01
Premier League10/07/2022
ArsenalFC Dnepr Mogilev
10
1. Division06/11/2021
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
10
1. Division21/08/2021
ArsenalFC Dnepr Mogilev
00
1. Division06/06/2021
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
11

Recent Form

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
1W5D4L
31/05/2026
Bate BorisovFC Dnepr Mogilev
11
D
24/05/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Dnepr Mogilev
31
L
17/05/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevDinamo Brest
11
D
10/05/2026
ML VitebskFC Dnepr Mogilev
51
L
02/05/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevBaranovichi
00
D
26/04/2026
FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Dnepr Mogilev
21
L
20/04/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevTorpedo Zhodino
22
D
10/04/2026
BelshinaFC Dnepr Mogilev
12
W
05/04/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevSlavia Mozyr
01
L
22/03/2026
NaftanFC Dnepr Mogilev
00
D
ArsenalArsenal
2W4D4L
30/05/2026
ArsenalDinamo Minsk
01
L
23/05/2026
Dinamo BrestArsenal
30
L
17/05/2026
ArsenalML Vitebsk
03
L
08/05/2026
BaranovichiArsenal
11
D
01/05/2026
ArsenalFC Isloch Minsk R.
22
D
26/04/2026
Torpedo ZhodinoArsenal
33
D
20/04/2026
ArsenalBelshina
20
W
11/04/2026
Slavia MozyrArsenal
11
D
03/04/2026
ArsenalNaftan
20
W
15/03/2026
ArsenalSlavia Mozyr
02
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ML VitebskML Vitebsk28188261:19+4262WWLWW
2FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.28187354:23+3161WWWWW
3Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk28194551:23+2861WLWWW
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest28156750:29+2151DWWDW
5NemanNeman28154935:26+949WWLLW
6FC GomelFC Gomel28127940:29+1143WLLDL
7FC VitebskFC Vitebsk281171030:27+340LLLWD
8Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino281061235:36-136LWLWL
9FC MinskFC Minsk281051335:42-735DLLLL
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr28971236:38-234WLWWL
11BaranovichiBaranovichi28871330:45-1531LWWLL
12ArsenalArsenal28691325:46-2127LWDLL
13BelshinaBelshina28661630:53-2324LLLWL
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov28591420:34-1424WLLLL
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev284111327:43-1623LWDWL
16NaftanNaftan28451924:70-4617LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ML VitebskML Vitebsk2861:1962
2FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.2854:2361
3Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk2851:2361
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest2850:2951
5NemanNeman2835:2649
6FC GomelFC Gomel2840:2943
7FC VitebskFC Vitebsk2830:2740
8Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino2835:3636
9FC MinskFC Minsk2835:4235
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr2836:3834
11BaranovichiBaranovichi2830:4531
12ArsenalArsenal2825:4627
13BelshinaBelshina2830:5324
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov2820:3424
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev2827:4323
16NaftanNaftan2824:7017
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

FC Dnepr Mogilev and Arsenal in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 12th and FC Dnepr Mogilev 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Dnepr Mogilev 27-43, Arsenal 25-46. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.