FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov Prediction

Spartak Stadium, Mahilyow 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
FC Dnepr Mogilev Rest
6 days
Bate Borisov Rest
3 days

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov: the result in context

FC Dnepr Mogilev beat Bate Borisov 2-1 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Bate Borisov tend to win more corners, 7.9 a game to 3.6 for FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.15
X
30%3.27
2
30%3.25
Double Chance
1X
69%1.31
X2
60%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.83
No
45%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.3 = 2.55
Over 1.5
69%1.32
Over 2.5
46%2.08
Over 3.5
28%3.50
Under 1.5
31%2.88
Under 2.5
54%1.70
Under 3.5
72%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Nikita krasnovAssist: Nikita Tereshchuk
39'Vladislav VaraksaFoul
49'Vladislav VaraksaAssist: erick puerto
57'pavel dubovskiyFoul
66'Kirill ZabelinAssist: Nikita Tereshchuk
66'Nikita Tereshchuk INEgor Karpitskiy out
68'Egor Rusakov INvladislav yatskevich out
71'Maksim KasarabFoul
74'vadim harutyunyanFoul
75'Nikita krasnov INAleksey Dunaev out
79'Nikolay Bochko INMarat Titov out
79'Ivan Mikhniuk INales sakhonchik out
86'Dmitriy·Lisakovich INAndrey Denisyuk out
86'Kirill Kirilenko INR. Pilecki out

Lineups

FC Dnepr Mogilev
5-3-2Coach: I. Kriushenko
Bate Borisov
3-4-3Coach: V. Rogozhkin
S. Rusak8S. Rusak
A. Sinenko33A. Sinenko
A. Varganov5A. Varganov
M. Kasarab15M. Kasarab
A. Potapenko17A. Potapenko
K. Zabelin10K. Zabelin
K. Kirilenko88K. Kirilenko
V. Harutyunyan89V. Harutyunyan
D. Lisakovich11D. Lisakovich
N. Tereshchuk66N. Tereshchuk
N. Krasnov55N. Krasnov
D. Sokol16D. Sokol
P. Dubovskiy88P. Dubovskiy
H. Moussakhanian6H. Moussakhanian
I. Mikhnyuk28I. Mikhnyuk
N. Bochko23N. Bochko
E. Kress52E. Kress
E. Rusakov10E. Rusakov
N. Neskoromny25N. Neskoromny
Y. Kovalev17Y. Kovalev
E. Puerto37E. Puerto
V. Varaksa26V. Varaksa

FC Dnepr Mogilev Substitutes

77Dmitri Gushchenko
23A. Dunaev75'for Nikita krasnov
29A. Denisyuk86'for Dmitriy·Lisakovich
74David Cherkasov
3Nenad Perović
21E. Karpitskiy66'for Nikita Tereshchuk
27R. Piletskiy86'for Kirill Kirilenko
37K. Tsepenkov

Bate Borisov Substitutes

30T. Gagloev
55K. Kaplenko
47A. Sakhonchik79'for Ivan Mikhniuk
35A. Skopets
21M. Titov79'for Nikolay Bochko
24V. Yatskevich68'for Egor Rusakov
13Y. Khramtsevich
18P. Kolosovskiy
5M. Sakuta
7V. Angban

Match Stats

FC Dnepr MogilevBate Borisov
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
1452Elo Rating 1438
1.32Attack 0.48
1.38Defense 1.64
23%Hit Rate 14%
8.6Shots per Game 11.1
1.9Shots on Target 4.1
3.6Corners per Game 7.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev0Wins · 0%
Draws360%
Bate BorisovBate Borisov2Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League31/05/2026
Bate BorisovFC Dnepr Mogilev
11
Premier League01/09/2024
FC Dnepr MogilevBate Borisov
11
Premier League19/04/2024
Bate BorisovFC Dnepr Mogilev
11
Premier League21/08/2022
Bate BorisovFC Dnepr Mogilev
21
Premier League10/04/2022
FC Dnepr MogilevBate Borisov
03

Recent Form

FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev
1W5D4L
11/10/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevDinamo Minsk
23
L
20/09/2026
Dinamo BrestFC Dnepr Mogilev
42
L
13/09/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevML Vitebsk
11
D
06/09/2026
BaranovichiFC Dnepr Mogilev
21
L
30/08/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevFC Isloch Minsk R.
00
D
24/08/2026
Torpedo ZhodinoFC Dnepr Mogilev
00
D
14/08/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevBelshina
11
D
07/08/2026
Slavia MozyrFC Dnepr Mogilev
30
L
31/07/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevNaftan
33
D
25/07/2026
Torpedo ZhodinoFC Dnepr Mogilev
12
W
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
3W2D5L
14/10/2026
Bate BorisovNeman
02
L
10/10/2026
Bate BorisovSlavia Mozyr
21
W
04/10/2026
ZenitBate Borisov
10
L
19/09/2026
Dinamo MinskBate Borisov
20
L
13/09/2026
Bate BorisovNaftan
22
D
07/09/2026
Dinamo BrestBate Borisov
10
L
03/09/2026
FC Isloch Minsk R.Bate Borisov
20
L
30/08/2026
Bate BorisovFC Minsk
21
W
23/08/2026
ML VitebskBate Borisov
00
D
15/08/2026
Bate BorisovFC Vitebsk
10
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk26184450:22+2858WWWWW
2ML VitebskML Vitebsk26168252:19+3356LWWWW
3FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.26167348:20+2855WWWDL
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest27155748:27+2150WDWWW
5NemanNeman26134932:25+743LLWWW
6FC VitebskFC Vitebsk27117930:26+440LWDWD
7FC GomelFC Gomel26117837:27+1040LDLWL
8FC MinskFC Minsk261041233:36-334LLLLW
9Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino26961132:35-333LWLWL
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr26871133:35-231WWLLL
11BaranovichiBaranovichi27871230:43-1331WWLLL
12ArsenalArsenal27691225:44-1927WDLLL
13BelshinaBelshina26661428:47-1924LWLLW
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov27491419:34-1521LLLLW
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev263111224:40-1620DWLLD
16NaftanNaftan27451824:65-4117LLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk2650:2258
2ML VitebskML Vitebsk2652:1956
3FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.2648:2055
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest2748:2750
5NemanNeman2632:2543
6FC VitebskFC Vitebsk2730:2640
7FC GomelFC Gomel2637:2740
8FC MinskFC Minsk2633:3634
9Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino2632:3533
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr2633:3531
11BaranovichiBaranovichi2730:4331
12ArsenalArsenal2725:4427
13BelshinaBelshina2628:4724
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov2719:3421
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev2624:4020
16NaftanNaftan2724:6517
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Dnepr Mogilev and Bate Borisov in the Premier League table

Bate Borisov and FC Dnepr Mogilev are close in the Premier League table, 14th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: FC Dnepr Mogilev 24-40, Bate Borisov 19-34. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.