FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat Prediction

FC Krasnodar
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Akhmat
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar·Sergey Karasev, Russia 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.56
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
FC Krasnodar Rest
6 days
Akhmat Rest
5 days

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat: the result in context

FC Krasnodar beat Akhmat 1-0 in the Premier League on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Krasnodar had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Akhmat.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Sergey Karasev averages 5.60 cards a game, 1.16 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.56
X
20%4.30
2
8%5.90
Double Chance
1X
92%1.15
X2
28%2.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 0.72 = 2.91
Over 1.5
82%1.19
Over 2.5
57%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.69
Under 1.5
18%3.96
Under 2.5
43%2.13
Under 3.5
69%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.49
Over 9.5
53%1.86
Over 10.5
43%2.40
Under 8.5
36%2.38
Under 9.5
47%1.85
Under 10.5
57%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

5'M. Bogosavac
45'ChristianAssist: D. Vorobyev
46'M. Bogosavac INM. Sidorov out
58'E. Maksuti ING. Melkadze out
64'L. Sadulaev
71'K. Lenini INM. Ozdoev out
76'D. Vorobyev IND. Utkin out
76'Joao Batxi INJ. Boselli out
76'L. Sadulaev INK. Shchetinin out
77'M. Samorodov ING. Kenzhebek out
81'M. Sidorov
82'L. Olaza INA. Khmarin out
84'A. Adamov INA. Kasadzhikov out
90+3'G. Melkadze
90+4'Jubal Junior

Lineups

FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1Coach: Murad Musaev
Akhmat
5-4-1Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.66
Stanislav AgkatsevC6.91S. Agkatsev
Ilya Vakhaniya8.040I. Vakhaniya
Vítor Tormena8.03V. Tormena
Jubal7.55Jubal
Lucas Olaza7.215L. Olaza
Aleksandr Chernikov7.253A. Chernikov
Kevin Pina6.66K. Pina
Christian7.918Christian
Nikita Krivtsov6.588N. Krivtsov
João Batxi6.311J. Batxi
Dmitry Vorobyev7.210D. Vorobyev
Vadim Ulyanov7.21V. Ulyanov
Arsen Adamov6.995A. Adamov
Turpal-Ali Ibishev6.74T. Ibishev
Ousmane N’Dong6.690O. N’Dong
Klisman Cake7.05K. Cake
Miroslav Bogosavac6.28M. Bogosavac
Maksim Samorodov6.320M. Samorodov
Júlio Romão7.318J. Romão
Ismael Silva7.011I. Silva
Lechii SadulaevC6.27L. Sadulaev
Erald Maksuti6.776E. Maksuti

FC Krasnodar Substitutes

21Magomed Ozdoev71'for K. Lenini6.3
47Daniil Utkin76'for D. Vorobyev6.6
23Juan Boselli76'for Joao Batxi6.3
59Artem Khmarin82'for L. Olaza6.9
16Aleksandr Koryakin
17Valentin Paltsev
4Diego Costa
67Kazbek Mukailov

Akhmat Substitutes

81Maksim Sidorov46'for M. Bogosavac81'6.6
77Georgiy Melkadze58'for E. Maksuti90+3'6.2
10Kirill Shchetinin76'for L. Sadulaev6.6
23Galymzhan Kenzhebek77'for M. Samorodov6.6
97Aleksey Kasadzhikov84'for A. Adamov6.5
71Rasul Mitsaev
88Giorgi Shelia
42Manuel Keliano
6Kalidou Sidibé
70Abakar Gadzhiev
13Mohamed Konaté

Match Stats

FC KrasnodarAkhmat
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls8
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
496Total Passes339
418Passes Accurate269
84%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
AkhmatAkhmat
1676Elo Rating 1509
1.34Attack 1.19
1.01Defense 1.12
0%Hit Rate 14%
17.1Shots per Game 10.6
6.3Shots on Target 3.2
4.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.2Cards per Game 3.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+167 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AkhmatAkhmat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
AkhmatAkhmat3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup05/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
5141
Premier League04/04/2026
AkhmatFC Krasnodar
01
Premier League04/10/2025
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
20
Premier League19/04/2025
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
31
Cup11/03/2025
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
12
Cup02/10/2024
AkhmatFC Krasnodar
30
Cup15/08/2024
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
10
Premier League21/07/2024
AkhmatFC Krasnodar
11
Premier League04/05/2024
KrasnodarAkhmat Grozny
01
Premier League16/09/2023
Akhmat GroznyKrasnodar
11

Recent Form

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
6W2D2L
09/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
W
05/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
5141
W
02/08/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
32
W
26/07/2026
RubinFC Krasnodar
13
W
19/07/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
11
D
11/07/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Rostov
33
D
25/06/2026
FC KrasnodarPSK Dinskaya
51
W
24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
L
17/05/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Orenburg
30
W
11/05/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
21
L
AkhmatAkhmat
3W5D2L
10/08/2026
FakelAkhmat
00
D
05/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
5141
L
02/08/2026
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
L
26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D
11/07/2026
IMT Novi BeogradAkhmat
01
W
04/07/2026
Novi PazarAkhmat
11
D
29/06/2026
AkhmatBorac Banja Luka
31
W
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
03/05/2026
AkhmatNizhny Novgorod
20
W

Referee Profile

Sergey Karasev20 matches

5.60Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.50Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sergey Karasev5.60
Other referees4.44

5.60 cards a match, 1.16 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Krasnodar and Akhmat in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, FC Krasnodar are 5th and Akhmat 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Krasnodar 19-13, Akhmat 15-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.