FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II Prediction

FC Liefering
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Sturm Graz II
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg·S. Bosnjak 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
FC Liefering Rest
21 days
Sturm Graz II Rest
21 days

FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II: the result in context

FC Liefering beat Sturm Graz II 3-1 in the 2. Liga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee S. Bosnjak averages 4.00 cards a game, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.12
X
24%4.00
2
31%2.74
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
55%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.29
No
32%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.26 = 3.07
Over 1.5
85%1.06
Over 2.5
67%1.30
Over 3.5
47%1.78
Under 1.5
15%7.00
Under 2.5
33%3.25
Under 3.5
53%1.95
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'O. Adejenughure
40'L. Traore
42'T. Gurmann
54'O. Adejenughure
63'F. Matijasevic INYuri Leles out
63'I. Ivanschitz INJ. Moser out
65'T. Gurmann INJ. Petritsch out
67'Yuri Leles
70'O. Adejenughure INR. Kosakiewic out
70'J. Pokorny INI. Onwuzulike out
76'J. Locker INJ. Wolf out
77'M. Grgic INJ. Ploner out
85'M. Matjasec IND. Grudzinskas out
90+1'

Team Comparison

FC LieferingFC Liefering
Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II
1569Elo Rating 1431
1.55Attack 1.82
0.13Defense 0.61
37%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC LieferingFC Liefering
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

FC LieferingFC Liefering3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II2Wins · 25%
3.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

2. Liga10/03/2026
Sturm Graz IIFC Liefering
01
2. Liga15/08/2025
FC LieferingSturm Graz II
22
2. Liga14/03/2025
Sturm Graz IIFC Liefering
10
2. Liga30/08/2024
FC LieferingSturm Graz II
22
2. Liga03/05/2024
FC LieferingSturm Graz II
41
2. Liga21/10/2023
Sturm Graz IIFC Liefering
11
2. Liga26/05/2023
Sturm Graz IIFC Liefering
42
2. Liga26/08/2022
FC LieferingSturm Graz II
42

Recent Form

FC LieferingFC Liefering
6W1D3L
18/09/2026
Floridsdorfer ACFC Liefering
40
L
13/09/2026
FC LieferingSKN ST. Polten
13
L
28/08/2026
VoitsbergFC Liefering
23
W
21/08/2026
FC LieferingAustria Vienna (Am)
21
W
16/08/2026
First ViennaFC Liefering
22
D
07/08/2026
FC LieferingWSPG Wels
23
L
31/07/2026
SV KapfenbergFC Liefering
04
W
18/07/2026
FC LieferingSV Wehen
20
W
11/07/2026
FC LieferingFK Jablonec
31
W
04/07/2026
FC LieferingUFC Hallein
40
W
Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II
2W2D6L
19/09/2026
Sturm Graz IIWacker Innsbruck
22
D
12/09/2026
Austria SalzburgSturm Graz II
33
D
30/08/2026
Sturm Graz IIRapid Wien II
52
W
22/08/2026
Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSturm Graz II
31
L
15/08/2026
Sturm Graz IIAdmira Wacker
02
L
08/08/2026
Sturm Graz IIFloridsdorfer AC
42
W
01/08/2026
First ViennaSturm Graz II
40
L
25/07/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebSturm Graz II
40
L
24/07/2026
Gleisdorf 09Sturm Graz II
21
L
19/07/2026
Sturm Graz IIAl-Hilal Saudi FC
12
L

Referee Profile

S. Bosnjak60 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Bosnjak4.00
Other referees5.21

4.00 cards a match, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC BW LinzFC BW Linz1081126:6+2025WWDWW
2First ViennaFirst Vienna1081121:9+1225WWWWW
3Austria Vienna (Am)Austria Vienna (Am)1061317:13+419WDWWL
4Admira WackerAdmira Wacker1060413:10+318WWWLW
5SKU AmstettenSKU Amstetten1045118:14+417WDDWW
6Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg1051417:14+316LWWLD
7Wacker InnsbruckWacker Innsbruck1042412:11+114LLWDD
8FC LieferingFC Liefering1042420:22-214LWLLW
9Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC1041514:16-213LLLWL
10VoitsbergVoitsberg1033419:19012WLLWD
11Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz1033413:15-212DLLWL
12SKN ST. PoltenSKN ST. Polten103258:10-211DDLWW
13Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II1022616:24-88LLLDD
14WSPG WelsWSPG Wels1022613:25-128LDWLL
15SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg1021712:19-77DWLLL
16Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II1021710:22-127LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC BW LinzFC BW Linz1026:625
2First ViennaFirst Vienna1021:925
3Austria Vienna (Am)Austria Vienna (Am)1017:1319
4Admira WackerAdmira Wacker1013:1018
5SKU AmstettenSKU Amstetten1018:1417
6Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg1017:1416
7Wacker InnsbruckWacker Innsbruck1012:1114
8FC LieferingFC Liefering1020:2214
9Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC1014:1613
10VoitsbergVoitsberg1019:1912
11Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz1013:1512
12SKN ST. PoltenSKN ST. Polten108:1011
13Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II1016:248
14WSPG WelsWSPG Wels1013:258
15SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg1012:197
16Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II1010:227
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Liefering and Sturm Graz II in the 2. Liga table

In the 2. Liga table, FC Liefering are 8th and Sturm Graz II 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Liefering 20-22, Sturm Graz II 16-24. The full standings are on the 2. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.