FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Prediction

FC Lugano
2-2
Finished
HT 1-2
BSC Young Boys
AIL Arena, Lugano 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.20
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
FC Lugano Rest
6 days
BSC Young Boys Rest
7 days

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys: result, form and history

FC Lugano and BSC Young Boys drew 2-2 in the Super League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. BSC Young Boys tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.8 for FC Lugano.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%2.20
X
25%3.90
2
18%2.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.43
X2
43%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.33
No
40%3.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 1.12 = 3.14
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
65%1.36
Over 3.5
39%1.90
Under 1.5
15%6.50
Under 2.5
35%3.10
Under 3.5
61%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.78
Over 9.5
52%2.22
Over 10.5
42%3.08
Under 8.5
37%1.95
Under 9.5
48%1.57
Under 10.5
58%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

2'Daniel Dos Santos CorreiaAssist: Antonios Papadopoulos
21'Renato Steffen INElias Pihlstrom out
28'Samuel EssendeAssist: Christian Fassnacht
45'Isaac Schmidt INLewin Blum out
45'David von Ballmoos INFelix Gebhard out
45'Christian Fassnacht
49'Lars Lukas MaiFoul
61'Sandro LauperFoul
62'Antonios PapadopoulosDissent
65'Alan Virginius INBahereba Guirassy out
67'Lars Lukas Mai INAlbian Ajeti out
68'Yanis Cimignani INEzdjan Alijoski out
75'Daniel Dos Santos CorreiaFoul
80'Albian AjetiAssist: Dereck Moncada
81'Samuel Essende INMamadou Kaly·Sene out
86'Armin Gigovic INDominik Pech out
86'Sandro Lauper INMoritz Jenz out
89'Dereck Moncada INBeckham Castro out

Lineups

FC Lugano
3-5-2Coach: M. Croci-Torti
BSC Young Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Seoane
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.62
D. von Ballmoos6.116D. von Ballmoos
A. Papadopoulos6.76A. Papadopoulos
L. Mai6.117L. Mai
H. Delcroix6.83H. Delcroix
B. Karimov5.72B. Karimov
U. Bislimi6.625U. Bislimi
A. Grgić7.28A. Grgić
Daniel Dos Santos7.827D. Dos Santos
Y. Cimignani6.421Y. Cimignani
R. Steffen6.211R. Steffen
D. Moncada7.030D. Moncada
M. Keller7.31M. Keller
I. Schmidt6.122I. Schmidt
S. Lauper6.430S. Lauper
L. Benito6.823L. Benito
S. Bukinac6.333S. Bukinac
A. Gigović6.38A. Gigović
E. Fernandes6.66E. Fernandes
C. Fassnacht8.416C. Fassnacht
A. Sanches6.010A. Sanches
A. Virginius6.27A. Virginius
S. Essende8.299S. Essende

FC Lugano Substitutes

22B. Castro89'for Dereck Moncada6.7
18J. Bichsel
7E. Alioski68'for Yanis Cimignani6.3
28F. Gebhardt45'for David von Ballmoos5.5
4D. Kelvin
24E. Pihlström21'for Renato Steffen6.5
14A. Kendouci
9A. Ajeti67'for Lars Lukas Mai80'8.2
23G. Ajdin

BSC Young Boys Substitutes

27L. Blum45'for Isaac Schmidt6.4
34E. Etoski
12Bahereba Guirassy65'for Alan Virginius6.5
17S. Janko
4M. Jenz86'for Sandro Lauper6.1
52N. Tschanz
18J. Mall
13D. Pech86'for Armin Gigovic6.0
9K. Sène81'for Samuel Essende6.5

Match Stats

FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls13
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
557Total Passes385
490Passes Accurate311
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FC LuganoFC Lugano
BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
1870Elo Rating 1770
4.07Attack 2.85
2.07Defense 2.39
100%Hit Rate 86%
16.0Shots per Game 18.9
6.1Shots on Target 4.7
4.8Corners per Game 6.9
3.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+100 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuganoFC Lugano
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC LuganoFC Lugano4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League03/05/2026
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
10
Super League22/03/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Lugano
11
Super League21/12/2025
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
30
Super League31/08/2025
BSC Young BoysFC Lugano
31
Super League24/05/2025
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
11
Super League23/02/2025
BSC Young BoysFC Lugano
10
Super League10/11/2024
BSC Young BoysFC Lugano
21
Super League27/10/2024
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
20
Super League11/05/2024
BSC Young BoysFC Lugano
01
Super League10/02/2024
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
33

Recent Form

BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
6W4D0L
05/09/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Luzern
33
D
01/09/2026
FC ZurichBSC Young Boys
24
W
29/08/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893
33
D
23/08/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Vaduz
42
W
15/08/2026
LiestalBSC Young Boys
04
W
08/08/2026
LausanneBSC Young Boys
22
D
01/08/2026
FC ThunBSC Young Boys
06
W
26/07/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Sion
42
W
18/07/2026
BSC Young BoysÉtoile Carouge
50
D
10/07/2026
PlzenBSC Young Boys
35
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1091031:7+2428WWWDW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1064033:18+1522WWDDW
3FC SionFC Sion1061323:17+619LDWWW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1152420:23-317WWDWD
5Servette FCServette FC1151516:14+216WWLWW
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1051417:19-216WWLLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931041517:20-313LLWLL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1133518:24-612LLWLD
9FC ThunFC Thun1031617:27-1010LWLLL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1130822:23-19LWLLW
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1022613:26-138LLLWD
12LausanneLausanne101367:16-96LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1031:728
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1033:1822
3FC SionFC Sion1023:1719
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1120:2317
5Servette FCServette FC1116:1416
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1017:1916
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931017:2013
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1118:2412
9FC ThunFC Thun1017:2710
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1122:239
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1013:268
12LausanneLausanne107:166
Relegation

About the FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Lugano and BSC Young Boys in the Super League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: FC Lugano are 1st in the Super League, 6 points ahead of BSC Young Boys in 2nd. League goal record so far: FC Lugano 31-7, BSC Young Boys 33-18. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Lugano have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.