FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC Prediction

FC Midtjylland
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Randers FC
MCH Arena, Herning·Jens Maae, Denmark 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
FC Midtjylland Rest
2 days
Randers FC Rest
3 days

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC: the result in context

FC Midtjylland beat Randers FC 1-0 in the Superliga on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Midtjylland had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Randers FC.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Randers FC tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.0 for FC Midtjylland.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.44
X
20%4.63
2
11%6.45
Double Chance
1X
89%1.10
X2
31%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.38 + 0.88 = 3.26
Over 1.5
87%1.17
Over 2.5
70%1.55
Over 3.5
42%2.38
Under 1.5
13%4.75
Under 2.5
30%2.33
Under 3.5
58%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 2.2 = 9.1
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
45%1.60
Over 10.5
36%2.00
Under 8.5
42%2.85
Under 9.5
55%2.18
Under 10.5
64%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
51%1.90
Over 4.5
31%2.71
Under 3.5
49%1.82
Under 4.5
69%1.37

Match Events

28'D. Osorio
40'M. JensenFoul
46'P. Billing IND. Castillo out
46'J. Storch INP. Izzo out
54'K. Watjen INV. Byskov out
54'S. Iheanacho INF. Etim out
56'L. PedersenFoul
60'M. Jensen INM. Erlic out
62'K. Junker INM. Sankoh out
75'E. MahmoudFoul
78'S. Hansen INF. Sommer out
78'M. Sjolstad INC. Edudzi out
84'S. Johannesen IND. Beni out
84'E. Mahmoud INM. Toure out

Lineups

FC Midtjylland
3-5-2Coach: Mike Tullberg
Randers FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Rasmus Bertelsen
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.57
E. Olafsson7.61E. Olafsson
R. KristensenC7.25R. Kristensen
M. Jensen7.33M. Jensen
M. B. Sorensen7.222M. B. Sorensen
D. Osorio9.211D. Osorio
P. Billing6.38P. Billing
P. Bravo7.219P. Bravo
K. Watjen7.329K. Watjen
S. Johannesen7.327S. Johannesen
S. Iheanacho6.518S. Iheanacho
Cho Gue-Sung6.610C. Gue-Sung
J. Storch6.232J. Storch
S. Hansen7.324S. Hansen
D. Hoegh6.93D. Hoegh
W. DammersC6.24W. Dammers
N. Dyhr6.344N. Dyhr
M. Greve7.317M. Greve
L. Pedersen6.08L. Pedersen
M. Themsen6.77M. Themsen
E. Mahmoud7.211E. Mahmoud
M. Sjolstad5.915M. Sjolstad
K. Junker6.377K. Junker

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

25N. Bakker
6M. Erlic60'for M. Jensen6.6
13A. Gabriel
15D. Beni84'for S. Johannesen
21D. Castillo46'for P. Billing7.0
20V. Byskov54'for K. Watjen7.2
7Franculino
90F. Etim54'for S. Iheanacho6.2
38J. Emefile

Randers FC Substitutes

1P. Izzo46'for J. Storch7.2
5O. Jones
31F. Sommer78'for S. Hansen6.6
38M. Albaek
26H. Lux
30M. Sankoh62'for K. Junker6.2
33C. Edudzi78'for M. Sjolstad6.6
9A. Al Hamawi
19M. Toure84'for E. Mahmoud6.3

Match Stats

FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
58%Ball Possession42%
10Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls26
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
426Total Passes310
329Passes Accurate215
77%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
Randers FCRanders FC
1777Elo Rating 1481
1.84Attack 0.42
0.26Defense 1.41
59%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 14.6
4.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+296 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Randers FCRanders FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Randers FCRanders FC1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga09/11/2025
Randers FCFC Midtjylland
02
Superliga29/09/2025
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
21
Superliga25/05/2025
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
32
Superliga04/04/2025
Randers FCFC Midtjylland
21
Superliga16/03/2025
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
42
Superliga22/09/2024
Randers FCFC Midtjylland
22
Superliga11/03/2024
Randers FCFC Midtjylland
01
Superliga08/10/2023
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
22
Superliga13/11/2022
Randers FCFC Midtjylland
00
Superliga15/07/2022
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
11

Recent Form

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
7W1D2L
Randers FCRanders FC
3W3D4L
19/08/2026
ASA AarhusRanders FC
04
W
16/08/2026
Randers FCFC Copenhagen
04
L
09/08/2026
Randers FCLyngby
20
W
02/08/2026
FC NordsjaellandRanders FC
10
L
27/07/2026
Randers FCSilkeborg
11
D
14/07/2026
Randers FCNotts County
31
W
08/07/2026
AalborgRanders FC
22
D
03/07/2026
VejleRanders FC
22
D
26/06/2026
Randers FCSonderjyske
24
L
17/05/2026
FC CopenhagenRanders FC
50
L

Referee Profile

Jens Maae123 matches

3.61Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jens Maae3.61
Other referees3.92

3.61 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen14102229:12+1732WWDDL
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1495029:17+1232DWWWW
3ViborgViborg1482422:13+926WWLLW
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1465326:18+823WLDDD
5BrondbyBrondby1471623:21+222LWWLW
6OdenseOdense1445516:19-317LWDWD
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1444623:23016LLWDD
8AarhusAarhus1436519:21-215WLWDW
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1436518:24-615WLDLD
10LyngbyLyngby1425719:29-1011LWLDL
11Randers FCRanders FC1432914:27-1311LLLDL
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1423919:33-149DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1429:1232
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1429:1732
3ViborgViborg1422:1326
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1426:1823
5BrondbyBrondby1423:2122
6OdenseOdense1416:1917
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1423:2316
8AarhusAarhus1419:2115
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1418:2415
10LyngbyLyngby1419:2911
11Randers FCRanders FC1414:2711
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1419:339
Relegation

About the FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

FC Midtjylland and Randers FC in the Superliga table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Midtjylland are 2nd in the Superliga, while Randers FC sit 11th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Midtjylland 29-17, Randers FC 14-27. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.