FF Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

FF Jaro
2-5
Finished
HT 2-1
HJK Helsinki
Project Liv Arena, Jakobstad·Mohammad Al-Emara, Finland 13/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+6.5%
FF Jaro Rest
13 days
HJK Helsinki Rest
3 days

FF Jaro vs HJK Helsinki: result, form and history

HJK Helsinki beat FF Jaro 5-2 in the Veikkausliiga on 13 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: HJK Helsinki had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FF Jaro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%4.36
X
20%3.80
2
51%1.70
Double Chance
1X
49%2.06
X2
71%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.65
No
50%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.77 = 3.11
Over 1.5
82%1.20
Over 2.5
62%1.70
Over 3.5
43%2.72
Under 1.5
18%4.15
Under 2.5
38%2.10
Under 3.5
57%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'F. O. NessAssist: O. Kass Kawo
10'M. Pedersen INK. Harden out
17'K. HardenAssist: V. Vuorinen
20'V. VuorinenFoul
29'A. RingAssist: T. Pukki
41'T. MeroFoul
46'A. Bjonback INJ. Vikstrom out
46'B. Lyons-Foster INM. Ylitolva out
46'L. Lappalainen INL. Moller out
46'M. Bogicevic INT. Cissokho out
46'T. Mero INM. Borchers out
57'V. TikkanenAssist: T. Pukki
59'V. Vuorinen INR. Vikstrom out
65'M. Ylitolva
69'M. BorchersAssist: L. Moller
72'J. Brunell INA. Vidjeskog out
77'T. Pukki INM. Kirilov out
78'O. Kass KawoFoul
82'M. OgungbaroUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'M. BorchersAssist: M. Kirilov
87'M. KirilovFoul

Lineups

FF Jaro
3-4-2-1Coach: Jens Karlsson
HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Senne Vits1S. Vits
Michael Ogungbaro4M. Ogungbaro
Erik Gunnarsson3E. Gunnarsson
Johan Brunell6J. Brunell
Aron Bjonbäck5A. Bjonbäck
Jesper Svenungsen Skau7J. Svenungsen Skau
Oliver Kass Kawo8O. Kass Kawo
Fabian Östigard Ness19F. Östigard Ness
Herman Sjögrell11H. Sjögrell
Mats Pedersen26M. Pedersen
Ville Vuorinen91V. Vuorinen
Matej Marković44M. Marković
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster2B. Lyons-Foster
Mihailo Bogićević31M. Bogićević
Ville Tikkanen6V. Tikkanen
Leonel Montano14L. Montano
Lucas Lingman10L. Lingman
Jere Kallinen15J. Kallinen
Lassi Lappalainen26L. Lappalainen
Alexander Ring4A. Ring
Toivo Mero18T. Mero
Teemu Pukki20T. Pukki

FF Jaro Substitutes

22Kaius Hardén10'for M. Pedersen17'
27Joas Vikström46'for A. Bjonback
15Rudi Vikstrom59'for V. Vuorinen
16Adam Vidjeskog72'for J. Brunell
12Joas Snellman
2Felix Kass
17Ludvig Nyman
24Valde Lofs
95Emmanuel Mendy

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

3Till Cissokho46'for M. Bogicevic
28Miska Ylitolva46'for B. Lyons-Foster65'
22Liam Möller46'for L. Lappalainen
9Mads Borchers46'for T. Mero69'84'
1Jesse Öst
24Emil Levealahti
17Martin Kirilov77'for T. Pukki87'
11Roni Hudd
19David Ezeh

Team Comparison

FF JaroFF Jaro
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
1487Elo Rating 1765
1.00Attack 3.61
2.44Defense 1.73
44%Hit Rate 81%
15.9Shots per Game 15.7
4.0Shots on Target 6.2
5.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FF JaroFF Jaro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FF JaroFF Jaro1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki1Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga02/07/2025
HJK HelsinkiFF Jaro
23
Veikkausliiga11/05/2025
FF JaroHJK Helsinki
03

Recent Form

FF JaroFF Jaro
2W3D5L
31/05/2026
AC OuluFF Jaro
21
L
23/05/2026
FF JaroMariehamn
30
W
20/05/2026
KuPSFF Jaro
30
L
16/05/2026
GnistanFF Jaro
50
L
13/05/2026
VJSFF Jaro
53
L
09/05/2026
Inter TurkuFF Jaro
20
L
02/05/2026
FF JaroTurku PS
22
D
28/04/2026
GBKFF Jaro
02
W
24/04/2026
SJKFF Jaro
11
D
18/04/2026
FF JaroKuPS
11
D
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
5W3D2L
09/06/2026
HonkaHJK Helsinki
17
W
30/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
10
W
26/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMyPa
111
W
22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
L
16/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
22
D
13/05/2026
RopsHJK Helsinki
04
W
08/05/2026
Turku PSHJK Helsinki
10
L
04/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiLahti
10
W
29/04/2026
Inter TurkuHJK Helsinki
11
D
26/04/2026
KuPSHJK Helsinki
11
D

Referee Profile

Mohammad Al-Emara158 matches

3.69Cards per match
3.49Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mohammad Al-Emara3.69
Other referees4.05

3.69 cards a match, 0.36 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.05).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku321710543:27+1661WWLWL
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki32178766:39+2759DWWDW
3KuPSKuPS321411746:33+1353LLDDW
4AC OuluAC Oulu321461241:40+148DWDWW
5GnistanGnistan3212101052:47+546WLDLL
6VPSVPS321171432:43-1140LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku3243:2761
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3266:3959
3KuPSKuPS3246:3353
4AC OuluAC Oulu3241:4048
5GnistanGnistan3252:4746
6VPSVPS3232:4340

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the FF Jaro vs HJK Helsinki forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FF Jaro and HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga table

The table shows a wide gap: HJK Helsinki are 3rd in the Veikkausliiga, while FF Jaro sit 11th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: FF Jaro 18-44, HJK Helsinki 36-27. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FF Jaro and HJK Helsinki have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.