Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

A. Colelli 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-11.0%
Folgore Caratese Rest
7 days
Desenzano Calvina Rest
7 days

Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina: result, form and history

Desenzano Calvina beat Folgore Caratese 2-1 in the Serie C - Girone A on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.10
X
29%3.05
2
30%3.39
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
59%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.16 = 2.32
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
41%2.27
Over 3.5
22%4.21
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
59%1.59
Under 3.5
78%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'M. ParlatoAssist: A. Procaccio
22'F. Castellano
29'L. PedicilloAssist: M. Balzano
38'E. Gega
45+2'S. Marchetti INT. Duca out
46'S. Spalluto
46'M. Parlato IND. Andreis out
46'L. Milani INL. Giorgi out
58'C. Santini
60'A. Vacca INA. Santarcangelo out
60'F. Di Dio INA. Tessiore out
79'A. Procaccio INS. Russini out
79'K. Biondi
80'K. Biondi INL. Baldi out
81'E. Bellia INF. Minerva out
81'L. Pedicillo INM. Ambrosini out
82'F. Liberati
90+2'L. Lupano INM. Moscati out

Team Comparison

Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
1474Elo Rating 1574
0.67Attack 1.12
1.54Defense 1.73
17%Hit Rate 42%

Game State Tendencies

Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese2Wins · 25%
Draws338%
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina3Wins · 37%
2.0Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie D - Girone B09/03/2025
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
01
Serie D - Girone B03/11/2024
Desenzano CalvinaFolgore Caratese
30
Serie D - Girone B07/04/2024
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
02
Serie D - Girone B26/11/2023
Desenzano CalvinaFolgore Caratese
00
Serie D - Girone B05/03/2023
Desenzano CalvinaFolgore Caratese
11
Serie D - Girone B30/10/2022
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
30
Serie D - Girone B01/05/2022
Desenzano CalvinaFolgore Caratese
11
Serie D - Girone B19/01/2022
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
21

Recent Form

Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese
1W5D4L
26/09/2026
LumezzaneFolgore Caratese
12
W
20/09/2026
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
11
D
17/09/2026
PergoletteseFolgore Caratese
00
D
13/09/2026
Folgore CarateseAlcione
23
L
07/09/2026
PRO VercelliFolgore Caratese
10
L
31/08/2026
NovaraFolgore Caratese
22
D
24/08/2026
Folgore CarateseDolomiti Bellunesi
12
L
16/08/2026
Giana ErminioFolgore Caratese
5131
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
25/07/2026
ArezzoFolgore Caratese
11
D
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
3W4D3L
26/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U23
00
D
21/09/2026
TrevisoDesenzano Calvina
00
D
17/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaLecco
13
L
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
W
06/09/2026
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
10
L
03/09/2026
TrentoDesenzano Calvina
01
W
31/08/2026
Desenzano CalvinaTrento
00
D
23/08/2026
PRO VercelliDesenzano Calvina
11
D
16/08/2026
LeccoDesenzano Calvina
3040
W
31/05/2026
ScafateseDesenzano Calvina
10
L

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella1190218:6+1227LWWLW
2TrentoTrento1165017:6+1123WWWDD
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1164119:9+1022WLWDD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1162316:11+520WLWDW
5TrevisoTreviso1154212:8+419WWLDW
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1153318:11+718LLWDW
7PergolettesePergolettese1145210:9+117WWWDD
8AlcioneAlcione1136218:17+115LWDDD
9LeccoLecco1135314:11+314DWDDL
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1135316:15+114DDLWD
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1134410:13-313LLWWD
12LumezzaneLumezzane1133512:16-412LLDWL
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1133516:21-512WWLLL
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1133510:19-912WLLWD
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1125412:14-211WWDDD
16NovaraNovara1124510:16-610LDLWL
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi112458:14-610LLLLD
18Juventus U23Juventus U231124511:18-710LWDLD
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1114611:17-67DLLLW
20RenateRenate110569:16-75DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1118:627
2TrentoTrento1117:623
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1119:922
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1116:1120
5TrevisoTreviso1112:819
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1118:1118
7PergolettesePergolettese1110:917
8AlcioneAlcione1118:1715
9LeccoLecco1114:1114
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1116:1514
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1110:1313
12LumezzaneLumezzane1112:1612
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1116:2112
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1110:1912
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1112:1411
16NovaraNovara1110:1610
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi118:1410
18Juventus U23Juventus U231111:1810
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1111:177
20RenateRenate119:165
PromotionRelegation

About the Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Folgore Caratese and Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Desenzano Calvina are 11th and Folgore Caratese 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Folgore Caratese 11-17, Desenzano Calvina 10-13. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.