Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown Prediction

Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung·Zaid Thamer Mohammed 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Gangwon FC Rest
6 days
Phnom Penh Crown Rest
27 days

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown: result, form and history

Phnom Penh Crown beat Gangwon FC 2-1 in the AFC Champions League Two on 15 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Phnom Penh Crown had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Gangwon FC.

Gangwon FC tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 1.0 for Phnom Penh Crown.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.44
X
22%4.04
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
38%2.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.83
No
51%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.32 + 0.9 = 3.22
Over 1.5
73%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.74
Over 3.5
32%2.77
Under 1.5
27%3.65
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Kim Yi-seokFoul
24'Kang Seong-YunFoul
44'Guytho mijland
45'Pich Koeut INChanpolin Orn out
61'Abdallah Hleihel(Penalty)
62'Abdallah Hleihel INJesse Sekidika out
67'Eun-Seok Ko INJung Seung-bin out
67'Jesse Sekidika INLee Eun-ho out
69'Lee Eun-ho
70'Guytho mijland INDaniel Bares out
70'Callum Timmins INSamuel Bong out
71'Jung Seung-binFoul
77'Ratana Eam INPonvuthy Pov out
78'Moses Dyer(Penalty)
85'Park Sang-Hyeok INYoo Byung-heon out
85'Kim Yi-seok INJi-Nam Choe out

Lineups

Gangwon FC
4-4-2Coach: Chung Kyung-Ho
Phnom Penh Crown
5-4-1Coach: Oleg Starynskiy
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.64
K. Sung5.641K. Sung
Kim Do-Hyun6.627K. Do-Hyun
3838E. Ko
7171K. Seong-Yun
Hong Chul6.933H. Chul
Kang Yun-Gu6.614K. Yun-Gu
Kim Yi-Seok6.575K. Yi-Seok
5757Y. Lee
Won-woo Cho6.426W. Cho
A. Halaihal6.977A. Halaihal
Park Sang-Hyeok5.919P. Sang-Hyeok
2222V. Um
R. Matsuda6.12R. Matsuda
R. Feher7.15R. Feher
R. Ketting7.14R. Ketting
Choun Chanchav6.815C. Chanchav
3232R. Eam
V. Gryshyn6.214V. Gryshyn
C. Timmins6.545C. Timmins
Pich Koeut6.320P. Koeut
G. Mijland7.67G. Mijland
M. Dyer6.910M. Dyer

Gangwon FC Substitutes

51Cho Min-Kyu
3Jeong Seung-Bin67'replaced by Eun-Seok Ko71'5.7
16Kim Tae-Hwan
17Eun-ho Lee67'replaced by Jesse Sekidika69'6.2
25Hyo-bin Lee
5K. Mammar
74Ji-Nam Choe85'replaced by Kim Yi-seok
70J. Sekidika62'for Abdallah Hleihel67'for Lee Eun-ho6.3
22Yoo Byung-Heon85'for Park Sang-Hyeok6.5

Phnom Penh Crown Substitutes

6V. Chhin
1S. Chiem
16Phearath Long
8Orn Chanpolin45'for Pich Koeut6.4
23Bong Samuel70'for Callum Timmins6.4
9T. Sa
19B. Sorm
11D. Yem
28Daniel Bares70'replaced by Guytho mijland
21Razak Tin
44Pov Ponvuthy77'replaced by Ratana Eam6.5

Match Stats

Gangwon FCPhnom Penh Crown
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots3
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal0
7Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots0
17Fouls18
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
564Total Passes331
476Passes Accurate244
18Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
Phnom Penh CrownPhnom Penh Crown
1599Elo Rating 1647
1.02Attack 1.77
2.11Defense 1.86
17%Hit Rate 63%
12.2Shots per Game 3.0
5.0Shots on Target 3.0
5.8Corners per Game 1.0
2.1Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Phnom Penh CrownPhnom Penh Crown
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
2W6D2L
09/10/2026
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 1995
20
W
27/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
D
20/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeju United FC
01
L
17/09/2026
KitcheeGangwon FC
00
D
13/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FC
22
D
09/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeonbuk Motors
11
D
06/09/2026
FC AnyangGangwon FC
03
W
30/08/2026
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
00
D
26/08/2026
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
22
D
23/08/2026
Daejeon CitizenGangwon FC
30
L
Phnom Penh CrownPhnom Penh Crown
4W2D4L
17/09/2026
Phnom Penh CrownKuching FA
21
W
12/09/2026
Angkor TigerPhnom Penh Crown
22
D
05/09/2026
Phnom Penh CrownNagaWorld
22
D
17/05/2026
Svay RiengPhnom Penh Crown
12
W
10/05/2026
Phnom Penh CrownNagaWorld
30
W
03/05/2026
Boeung KetPhnom Penh Crown
20
L
25/04/2026
Kompong DewaPhnom Penh Crown
10
L
12/04/2026
Phnom Penh CrownAngkor Tiger
20
W
04/04/2026
Phnom Penh CrownSvay Rieng
14
L
22/03/2026
NagaWorldPhnom Penh Crown
10
L

Referee Profile

Zaid Thamer Mohammed5 matches analysed

4.45Cards per match
4.32Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 55% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Phnom Penh CrownPhnom Penh Crown22004:2+26WW
2KitcheeKitchee20201:102DD
3Kuching FAKuching FA20112:3-11DL
4Gangwon FCGangwon FC20111:2-11LD
#TeamMPGPts
1Phnom Penh CrownPhnom Penh Crown24:26
2KitcheeKitchee21:12
3Kuching FAKuching FA22:31
4Gangwon FCGangwon FC21:21

About the Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Two cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About AFC Champions League Two

More AFC Champions League Two fixtures and forecasts are on the AFC Champions League Two Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gangwon FC and Phnom Penh Crown have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.