GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET Prediction

Essity Stadium, Flint·R. Wright 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Rest
3 days
Cardiff MET Rest
7 days

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET: result, form and history

GAP Connah S Quay FC beat Cardiff MET 1-0 in the Premier League on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

GAP Connah S Quay FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.45
X
17%4.05
2
18%5.50
Double Chance
1X
82%1.10
X2
35%2.38
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'S. Snaith
44'J. Jones INS. Flynn out
59'A. McCoy INM. Woodcock out
70'I. Murray
81'J. Hodkin INH. Mehasseb out
81'F. Deane INC. Partridge out
81'J. Hooper INM. McKenzie out
87'S. Jones INH. Matthews out
87'S. Dymond-Hall INJ. Edwards out

Team Comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff METCardiff MET
1706Elo Rating 1548
2.57Attack 1.96
2.66Defense 1.88
100%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
Cardiff METCardiff MET
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Cardiff METCardiff MET2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League01/11/2025
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
03
Premier League13/09/2025
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
11
Premier League02/11/2024
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
10
Premier League21/09/2024
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
21
Premier League06/04/2024
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
03
Premier League24/02/2024
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
21
Premier League04/11/2023
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
31
Premier League16/09/2023
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
40
Premier League08/04/2023
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
02
Premier League25/02/2023
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
21

Recent Form

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
6W1D3L
15/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCAirbus UK
30
W
12/09/2026
Colwyn BayGAP Connah S Quay FC
21
L
04/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
11
D
31/08/2026
Flint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
12
W
28/08/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCCambrian & Clydach
30
W
22/08/2026
Ammanford AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
02
W
14/08/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCTrefelin
60
W
07/08/2026
HolywellGAP Connah S Quay FC
13
W
02/08/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCCaernarfon Town
12
L
16/07/2026
BallkaniGAP Connah S Quay FC
32
L
Cardiff METCardiff MET
4W3D3L
11/09/2026
Flint Town UnitedCardiff MET
11
D
04/09/2026
Cardiff METCambrian & Clydach
22
D
31/08/2026
Ammanford AFCCardiff MET
05
W
28/08/2026
Cardiff METBriton Ferry
30
W
21/08/2026
Cardiff METThe New Saints
05
L
15/08/2026
Barry TownCardiff MET
10
L
07/08/2026
Airbus UKCardiff MET
02
W
01/08/2026
Cardiff METHolywell
61
W
18/04/2026
Cardiff METFlint Town United
22
D
03/04/2026
Briton FerryCardiff MET
31
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1The New SaintsThe New Saints14131053:6+4740WWWWW
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334WWWWW
3PenybontPenybont1393125:11+1430WLWWW
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1492340:16+2429WWLDW
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1482424:17+726DWLWW
6Barry TownBarry Town1481529:26+325LLWLL
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1480628:20+824WWWLW
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1464426:18+822DLWWD
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318LLLWL
10LlandudnoLlandudno1451822:25-316LLLLL
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913WLLLL
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1433813:25-1212LLWDD
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1432914:25-1111WLWWL
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1423910:41-319LWWLL
15TrefelinTrefelin1413108:33-256LWLLD
16HolywellHolywell13021114:44-302LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1The New SaintsThe New Saints1453:640
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC1432:934
3PenybontPenybont1325:1130
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1440:1629
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1424:1726
6Barry TownBarry Town1429:2625
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1428:2024
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1426:1822
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1423:3618
10LlandudnoLlandudno1422:2516
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1411:2013
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1413:2512
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1414:2511
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1410:419
15TrefelinTrefelin148:336
16HolywellHolywell1314:442
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cardiff MET in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd and Cardiff MET 8th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: GAP Connah S Quay FC 32-9, Cardiff MET 26-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

GAP Connah S Quay FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.