Gramadense vs Bagé Prediction

Copa GaúchaBrazil Brazil · Semi-finals
Knockout
Gramadense
0-1
After Penalties
HT 0-1AET 0-0PEN 3-0
Bagé
05/07/2026
GramadenseGramadense
0-1
After Penalties
BagéBagé

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Gramadense Rest
7 days
Bagé Rest
7 days

Gramadense vs Bagé: result, form and history

Gramadense beat Bagé on penalties (3-0) after a 0-1 draw in the Copa Gaúcha on 5 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gramadense had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bagé.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.29
X
29%2.92
2
28%3.13
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
57%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.00
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.42
Over 2.5
38%2.35
Over 3.5
18%4.45
Under 1.5
36%2.56
Under 2.5
62%1.52
Under 3.5
82%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'

Penalty Shootout3 - 0

1(Penalty)
1(Penalty missed)
2(Penalty missed)
2(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty)
3(Penalty missed)
4(Penalty)

Team Comparison

GramadenseGramadense
BagéBagé
1576Elo Rating 1545
0.95Attack 0.97
1.98Defense 2.10
39%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

GramadenseGramadense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BagéBagé
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

GramadenseGramadense1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
BagéBagé0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Copa Gaúcha27/06/2026
BagéGramadense
01

Recent Form

GramadenseGramadense
4W2D0L
27/06/2026
BagéGramadense
01
W
17/06/2026
Santa Cruz RSGramadense
22
D
11/06/2026
GramadenseMonsoon
10
W
07/06/2026
Brasil FarroupilhaGramadense
01
W
30/05/2026
GramadenseBrasil Farroupilha
22
D
24/05/2026
MonsoonGramadense
12
W
BagéBagé
2W1D3L
27/06/2026
BagéGramadense
01
L
17/06/2026
FarroupilhaBagé
12
W
14/06/2026
BagéGuarany de Bagé
12
L
04/06/2026
BagéBrasil DE Pelotas
11
D
28/05/2026
Brasil DE PelotasBagé
10
L
21/05/2026
Guarany de BagéBagé
01
W

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final

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About the Gramadense vs Bagé forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Gaúcha, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Gaúcha

More Copa Gaúcha fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Gaúcha Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gramadense and Bagé have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.