Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints Prediction

Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.6%
Green Gully Rest
6 days
St. Albans Saints Rest
6 days

Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints: the result in context

St. Albans Saints beat Green Gully 2-1 in the Victoria NPL on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.56
X
21%3.54
2
44%2.30
Double Chance
1X
56%1.50
X2
65%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.51
No
37%2.34
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.68 = 3.28
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
65%1.60
Over 3.5
44%2.48
Under 1.5
16%4.32
Under 2.5
35%2.19
Under 3.5
56%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

50'C. Jarome
78'M. Platt
90+1'D. Alessi

Team Comparison

Green GullyGreen Gully
St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints
1363Elo Rating 1438
1.29Attack 2.69
1.16Defense 1.96
27%Hit Rate 64%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.28 goals

Game State Tendencies

Green GullyGreen Gully
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Green GullyGreen Gully5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL08/05/2026
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
10
Victoria NPL25/07/2025
Green GullySt. Albans Saints
22
Victoria NPL13/04/2025
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
12
Victoria NPL11/08/2024
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
50
Victoria NPL04/05/2024
Green GullySt. Albans Saints
40
Victoria NPL19/08/2023
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
02
Victoria NPL12/05/2023
Green GullySt. Albans Saints
01
Victoria NPL15/07/2022
Green GullySt. Albans Saints
20
Victoria NPL16/04/2022
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
11
Victoria NPL28/02/2021
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
02

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints forecast

The forecasts for this Victoria NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Green Gully and St. Albans Saints in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, St. Albans Saints are 9th and Green Gully 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Green Gully 23-52, St. Albans Saints 36-43. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.