Guastatoya vs Aurora Prediction

Guastatoya
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Aurora
05/10/2026
GuastatoyaGuastatoya
2-1
Finished
AuroraAurora

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Guastatoya Rest
8 days
Aurora Rest
7 days

Guastatoya vs Aurora: the result in context

Guastatoya beat Aurora 2-1 in the Liga Nacional on 5 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Guastatoya had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aurora.

Guastatoya have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.45
X
25%3.90
2
12%6.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.10
X2
37%2.48
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'A. Lon
13'V. Avalos
16'J. Grajeda
45+7'H. Morales
46'L. Aguilar INR. Hernandez out
46'J. Grajeda INJ. Rodriguez out
50'A. Lon INJ. Estrada out
61'C. Alvarado INB. Morales out
61'A. Contreras INW. Pineda out
61'M. Sequen INC. Ramirez out
68'V. Avalos INA. Tejeda out
68'H. Morales INH. Del Cid out
68'V. Urias IND. Ruiz out
75'N. Lovato
77'R. Hernandez
78'C. Ramirez
83'J. Vivas
87'K. Garcia INJ. Ticuru out

Team Comparison

GuastatoyaGuastatoya
AuroraAurora
1550Elo Rating 1497
1.11Attack 2.10
1.81Defense 1.55
31%Hit Rate 69%

Game State Tendencies

GuastatoyaGuastatoya
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
AuroraAurora
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

GuastatoyaGuastatoya3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
AuroraAurora1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Nacional25/07/2026
AuroraGuastatoya
01
Liga Nacional19/03/2026
AuroraGuastatoya
01
Liga Nacional29/01/2026
GuastatoyaAurora
22
Liga Nacional29/09/2025
GuastatoyaAurora
32
Liga Nacional20/07/2025
AuroraGuastatoya
10

Recent Form

GuastatoyaGuastatoya
6W1D3L
26/09/2026
GuastatoyaDeportivo San Pedro
21
W
19/09/2026
ComunicacionesGuastatoya
12
W
14/09/2026
GuastatoyaXelajú
21
W
10/09/2026
SuchitepéquezGuastatoya
11
D
06/09/2026
Cobán ImperialGuastatoya
01
W
29/08/2026
GuastatoyaMarquense
12
L
23/08/2026
MixcoGuastatoya
42
L
16/08/2026
GuastatoyaMunicipal
10
W
09/08/2026
Antigua GFCGuastatoya
20
L
02/08/2026
GuastatoyaMalacateco
40
W
AuroraAurora
4W0D6L
27/09/2026
Cobán ImperialAurora
32
L
19/09/2026
AuroraMarquense
10
W
13/09/2026
MixcoAurora
32
L
10/09/2026
AuroraMunicipal
12
L
05/09/2026
Antigua GFCAurora
21
L
31/08/2026
AuroraMalacateco
10
W
22/08/2026
AuroraSuchitepéquez
32
W
16/08/2026
Deportivo San PedroAurora
21
L
08/08/2026
AuroraComunicaciones
31
W
04/08/2026
XelajúAurora
31
L

About the Guastatoya vs Aurora forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Nacional

More Liga Nacional fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Nacional Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.