Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction

Guatemala
6-0
Finished
HT 3-0
El Salvador
Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Guatemala Rest
3 days
El Salvador Rest
2 days

Guatemala vs El Salvador: result, form and history

Guatemala beat El Salvador 6-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 4 matches. Guatemala tend to win more corners, 4.7 a game to 2.1 for El Salvador.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.95
X
30%3.35
2
26%3.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
57%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.80
No
50%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.98 = 2.95
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.99
Over 3.5
30%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.20
Under 2.5
51%1.75
Under 3.5
70%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Darwin LomAssist: William Fajardo
28'Rubio RubinAssist: Aaron Herrera
31'J. Sibrian INMayer Gil out
32'William Fajardo
45'Oscar Santis INRudy munoz out
46'Rubio Rubin INOlger Escobar out
46'josue mauricio saravia cerritos INJairo Mauricio Henriquez out
46'Jose rosales INjonathan franco out
56'Jorge AparicioAssist: Olger Escobar
59'Nicolás Samayoa INcarlos estrada out
62'Jefferson valladares
62'Darwin Lom
66'Darwin Lom INMatthew Dominic Evans Wolff out
75'Jorge cruz INLopez Claros out
75'Brayan Gil INStyven vasquez out
89'William FajardoAssist: Olger Escobar

Lineups

Guatemala
4-4-2Coach: L. Tena
El Salvador
5-3-2Coach: H. Gómez
Avg rating7.45
Avg rating6.22
N. Hagen7.31N. Hagen
A. Herrera7.97A. Herrera
A. Yanes7.215A. Yanes
N. Samayoa6.83N. Samayoa
J. Morales6.616J. Morales
Ó. Santis7.618Ó. Santis
J. Rosales5J. Rosales
J. Aparicio8.123J. Aparicio
W. Fajardo9.819W. Fajardo
R. Rubín8.09R. Rubín
D. Lom14D. Lom
M. González6.01M. González
J. Valladares6.215J. Valladares
J. Sibrián5.62J. Sibrián
R. Clavel6.05R. Clavel
J. Cruz6.24J. Cruz
1616D. flores
2020j. mauricio saravia cerritos
C. Martinez6.314C. Martinez
1212H. diaz
R. Tejada6.919R. Tejada
B. Gil5.99B. Gil

Guatemala Substitutes

6C. Calderón
13S. Robles
20K. Ramírez
12K. Navarro
11R. Muñoz45'for Oscar Santis
21L. Morán
22J. Franco46'for Jose rosales6.9
4J. Bantes
17Ó. Castellanos
10O. Escobar46'for Rubio Rubin7.3
2C. Estrada59'for Nicolás Samayoa6.7
8M. Evans66'for Darwin Lom6.8

El Salvador Substitutes

22Benji Villalobos
18K. Carabantes
13Danis Cerros
7Styven vasquez75'replaced by Brayan Gil
23D. Ortez
10N. Ordaz
17Jairo Mauricio Henriquez46'replaced by josue mauricio saravia cerritos
21A. Henriquez46'replaced by josue mauricio saravia cerritos
8M. Gil31'for J. Sibrian6.9
11Cristian Gil
6Victor Garcia
3Lopez Claros75'replaced by Jorge cruz

Match Stats

GuatemalaEl Salvador
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
5Fouls15
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
488Total Passes480
423Passes Accurate410
15Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

GuatemalaGuatemala
El SalvadorEl Salvador
1526Elo Rating 1376
2.19Attack 0.00
2.36Defense 0.00
61%Hit Rate 0%
13.4Shots per Game 7.6
4.1Shots on Target 1.3
4.7Corners per Game 2.1
2.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+150 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GuatemalaGuatemala
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
El SalvadorEl Salvador
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

GuatemalaGuatemala2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
El SalvadorEl Salvador2Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF15/10/2025
El SalvadorGuatemala
01
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF05/09/2025
GuatemalaEl Salvador
01
CONCACAF Nations League08/09/2023
GuatemalaEl Salvador
20
CONCACAF Gold Cup12/07/2021
El SalvadorGuatemala
20

Recent Form

GuatemalaGuatemala
2W2D6L
26/09/2026
JamaicaGuatemala
32
L
07/06/2026
EcuadorGuatemala
30
L
05/06/2026
Czech RepublicGuatemala
31
L
19/11/2025
GuatemalaSuriname
31
W
14/11/2025
GuatemalaPanama
23
L
15/10/2025
El SalvadorGuatemala
01
W
10/10/2025
SurinameGuatemala
11
D
09/09/2025
PanamaGuatemala
11
D
05/09/2025
GuatemalaEl Salvador
01
L
03/07/2025
USAGuatemala
21
L
El SalvadorEl Salvador
2W1D7L
26/09/2026
El SalvadorMartinique
31
W
06/06/2026
QatarEl Salvador
00
D
04/06/2026
South KoreaEl Salvador
10
L
19/11/2025
PanamaEl Salvador
30
L
13/11/2025
SurinameEl Salvador
40
L
15/10/2025
El SalvadorGuatemala
01
L
11/10/2025
El SalvadorPanama
01
L
09/09/2025
El SalvadorSuriname
12
L
05/09/2025
GuatemalaEl Salvador
01
W
25/06/2025
CanadaEl Salvador
20
L

About the Guatemala vs El Salvador forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.