Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon Prediction

Toto Turner Stadium, Beersheba 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Rest
3 days
Hapoel Katamon Rest
5 days

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon: the result in context

Hapoel Beer Sheva beat Hapoel Katamon 2-1 in the Ligat Ha'al on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Hapoel Beer Sheva have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.30
X
18%5.00
2
11%8.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
29%3.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.42 + 0.7 = 3.12
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
62%1.54
Over 3.5
40%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.82
Under 2.5
38%2.32
Under 3.5
60%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'Vitalie DamașcanAssist: Christ Junior Tiehi
45'Mohamad Abu Rumi INJavon East out
45'Eilel Peretz INLucas de Souza Ventura out
53'Lucas de Souza Ventura INForson Amankwah out
58'Goal cancelledAdrián Ugarriza
63'Vitalie Damașcan INZuberu Sharani out
70'Hamode Kanaan INIgor Zlatanović out
72'Ofek nadirFoul
73'N. Vrasana INLi On Mizrahi out
74'Igor Zlatanović
77'andrew idokoTime wasting
79'Ilay Madmon INHamza Mohammed out
79'andrew idoko INnati shafrau out
82'Ofek nadir
84'Igor Zlatanović(Penalty)
85'Adrián UgarrizaArgument
85'omer agvadishArgument
85'Ofir DavidzadaArgument
90+6'Adrián Ugarriza INAmit Ohana out

Lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Coach: R. Kojok
Hapoel Katamon
4-4-2Coach: L. Zada
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.31
O. Marciano6.51O. Marciano
Y. Stoyanov6.727Y. Stoyanov
M. Vítor7.74M. Vítor
I. Rotman7.212I. Rotman
O. Davidzada6.613O. Davidzada
E. Peretz6.17E. Peretz
N. Yehoshua6.228N. Yehoshua
M. Kna'an6.48M. Kna'an
M. Abu Rumi6.845M. Abu Rumi
A. Ugarriza6.190A. Ugarriza
A. Ganah6.911A. Ganah
N. Zamir5.855N. Zamir
O. Agvadish6.116O. Agvadish
2121H. Sharabi Melman
N. Malmud6.93N. Malmud
O. Nadir4.920O. Nadir
N. Vrasana5.919N. Vrasana
T. Haimovich6.422T. Haimovich
I. Madmon6.08I. Madmon
A. Idoko6.425A. Idoko
V. Damaşcan7.810V. Damaşcan
C. Tiéhi6.991C. Tiéhi

Hapoel Beer Sheva Substitutes

17A. Forson53'replaced by Lucas de Souza Ventura6.5
20J. East45'for Mohamad Abu Rumi6.6
44D. Diop
2G. Mizrahi
19A. Ohana90+6'for Adrián Ugarriza
5Pedro Amador
34M. Wolff
66I. Zlatanović70'for Hamode Kanaan74'84'8.2
25Lucas Ventura45'for Eilel Peretz53'for Forson Amankwah6.3

Hapoel Katamon Substitutes

70S. Zuberu63'for Vitalie Damașcan6.3
14O. Abuhav
7O. Almagor
26I. Cohen
11Y. Distalfeld
1B. Gordin Anbary
18L. Mizrachi73'for N. Vrasana6.3
31Hamza Mohammed79'replaced by Ilay Madmon
23Nati Shafrau79'for andrew idoko6.2

Match Stats

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
73%Ball Possession27%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
14Fouls10
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
695Total Passes185
629Passes Accurate123
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
1686Elo Rating 1441
2.18Attack 1.37
1.02Defense 0.34
61%Hit Rate 17%
11.0Shots per Game 10.0
5.1Shots on Target 3.1
4.1Corners per Game 2.6
3.1Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+245 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva9Wins · 90%
Draws110%
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

State Cup13/01/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
21
Ligat Ha'al31/12/2025
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
41
Ligat Ha'al14/09/2025
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Beer Sheva
15
Ligat Ha'al19/01/2025
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Beer Sheva
02
Ligat Ha'al06/10/2024
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
31
Ligat Ha'al20/01/2024
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Beer Sheva
01
Ligat Ha'al30/09/2023
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
30
Ligat Ha'al22/04/2023
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Beer Sheva
12
Ligat Ha'al18/03/2023
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
10
Ligat Ha'al11/02/2023
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Katamon
00

League Table

Ligat Ha'al 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva971122:12+1022WWWWW
2Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv862024:8+1620WDDWW
3Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv861118:5+1319WWWWL
4Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa860220:14+618LWWWW
5Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem952213:10+317DWDWW
6Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin93337:7012DWWDW
7Hapoel HaifaHapoel Haifa933313:16-312WLLWL
8Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Netanya925212:8+411DDWDL
9Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva930614:21-79LWLLL
10Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon922515:22-78DLLLW
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan82067:15-86LWLLW
12Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona91177:17-104DLLLL
13Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva91173:16-134LLLDL
14Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias92349:13-43DDLLL
PromotionRelegation

About the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon forecast

The forecasts for this Ligat Ha'al match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Katamon in the Ligat Ha'al table

In the Ligat Ha'al table, Hapoel Beer Sheva are 1st and Hapoel Katamon 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Hapoel Beer Sheva 22-12, Hapoel Katamon 15-22. The full standings are on the Ligat Ha'al Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.