Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou·Memetjan Ahmat, China 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Henan Jianye Rest
13 days
Qingdao Jonoon Rest
3 days

Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon: the result in context

Henan Jianye beat Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 in the Super League on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Referee Memetjan Ahmat averages 4.65 cards a game, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.32
X
26%5.00
2
18%8.00
Double Chance
1X
82%1.06
X2
44%3.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.79
No
42%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.16 = 3.03
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
55%1.52
Over 3.5
35%2.29
Under 1.5
19%5.08
Under 2.5
45%2.39
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.9 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.42
Over 9.5
48%1.72
Over 10.5
35%2.12
Under 8.5
42%2.61
Under 9.5
52%2.00
Under 10.5
65%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

19'Iago MaidanaAssist: Bruno Nazario
24'Bruno NazarioAssist: Haliq Ablahan
50'Gustavo
56'Pedro MaranhaoFoul
60'Liu Junshuai INSong Long out
60'Li Hailong INNgan Cheuk-Pan out
60'Bruno Nazario(Penalty)
64'Haliq Ablahan INA. Abudulam out
64'Zhong Yihao INOsman Ekber out
67'M. EdjoumaAssist: Luo Senwen
70'GustavoAssist: Pedro Maranhao
72'M. Edjouma INZheng Cuanhui out
79'Bruno Nazario INFan Xulin out
79'Huang Ruifeng INN. Muhmet out
80'Sun Zheng'ao INWang Qiao out
80'Yang Cong INKuang Zhaolei out
86'Lucas Maia INO. Gerbig out

Lineups

Henan Jianye
4-4-2Coach: Daniel Ramos
Qingdao Jonoon
4-4-2Coach: Milan Ristic
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.31
Gouming Wang6.518G. Wang
Yeljan Shinar6.94Y. Shinar
Iago Maidana8.32I. Maidana
Lucas Maia7.223L. Maia
Huang Ruifeng6.222H. Ruifeng
Maranhão6.98Maranhão
Abraham Halik6.915A. Halik
Shangyuan WangC6.96S. Wang
Yihao Zhong6.97Y. Zhong
Gustavo9.09Gustavo
Bruno Nazário10.010B. Nazário
Pengfei MuC5.728P. Mu
Hailong Li5.916H. Li
Zheng'ao Sun5.514Z. Sun
Junshuai Liu6.03J. Liu
Suda Li6.329S. Li
Zixian Wei6.337Z. Wei
Senwen Luo5.331S. Luo
Malcom Edjouma7.36M. Edjouma
Cong Yang5.922C. Yang
Xinyu Liu6.39X. Liu
Carlos Strandberg6.910C. Strandberg

Henan Jianye Substitutes

13Abdurasul Abudulam64'for Haliq Ablahan6.3
39Osman Ekber64'for Zhong Yihao6.2
11Nebijan Muhmet6.5
30Xulin Fan79'for Bruno Nazario6.7
3Oliver Gerbig86'for Lucas Maia6.6
33Chenglong Shi
28Changjie Du
29Dalun Zheng
5Liu Jiahui
16Kuo Yang
27Yixin Liu
24Congyao Yin

Qingdao Jonoon Substitutes

23Long Song60'for Liu Junshuai6.9
24Ngan Cheuk Pan60'for Li Hailong6.6
47Chuanhui Zheng72'for M. Edjouma6.9
17Qiao Wang80'for Sun Zheng'ao6.9
27Zhaolei Kuang80'for Yang Cong6.3
43Mewlan Jappar
1Jun Liu

Match Stats

Henan JianyeQingdao Jonoon
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots12
10Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal4
20Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls8
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
374Total Passes331
297Passes Accurate259
79%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
1542Elo Rating 1352
1.36Attack 0.31
1.14Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 0%
14.2Shots per Game 12.5
4.7Shots on Target 3.2
5.2Corners per Game 5.1
2.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2Wins · 28%
1.7Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Super League04/04/2026
Qingdao JonoonHenan Jianye
10
Super League29/08/2025
Qingdao JonoonHenan Jianye
11
Super League20/04/2025
Henan JianyeQingdao Jonoon
31
Super League10/08/2024
Qingdao JonoonHenan Jianye
02
Super League21/04/2024
Henan JianyeQingdao Jonoon
10
Super League17/07/2023
Qingdao JonoonHenan Jianye
20
Super League21/04/2023
Henan JianyeQingdao Jonoon
00

Recent Form

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
5W1D4L
03/07/2026
Yunnan YukunHenan Jianye
21
L
27/06/2026
Henan JianyeSHANGHAI SIPG
12
L
19/06/2026
Jiangxi LianshengHenan Jianye
02
W
30/05/2026
Henan JianyeHangzhou Greentown
02
L
23/05/2026
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
12
W
19/05/2026
Tianjin TedaHenan Jianye
12
W
15/05/2026
Henan JianyeSichuan Jiuniu
10
W
09/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityHenan Jianye
30
L
05/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongHenan Jianye
11
D
01/05/2026
Henan JianyeShenyang Urban
40
W
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
4W1D5L
14/07/2026
Hangzhou GreentownQingdao Jonoon
32
L
05/07/2026
Qingdao JonoonChengdu Better City
11
D
26/06/2026
Qingdao JonoonYunnan Yukun
42
W
20/06/2026
Wuxi WugouQingdao Jonoon
3252
W
30/05/2026
Sichuan JiuniuQingdao Jonoon
32
L
24/05/2026
Qingdao JonoonChongqing Tongliang Long
01
L
20/05/2026
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Jonoon
21
L
15/05/2026
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
42
L
10/05/2026
Qingdao JonoonDalian Zhixing
31
W
06/05/2026
Wuhan Three TownsQingdao Jonoon
13
W

Referee Profile

Memetjan Ahmat59 matches

4.65Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Memetjan Ahmat4.65
Other referees3.99

4.65 cards a match, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing301641049:44+552WWWWW
2Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City30157853:38+1552LLLLD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan301510558:36+2250WWWWD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng30165960:49+1147WWWDD
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG30148856:37+1945WWWWD
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun301271159:61-243WDDLW
7Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua301551067:50+1740WLWWW
8Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island30815732:42-1039LDLLD
9Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown301261255:54+137WWLLW
10Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long308121031:35-436LWDDL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu30961541:53-1233DWLDD
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda301181140:38+231LLWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban30851742:58-1629LLWDL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye308101238:46-828LLLDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns305121345:57-1222LLLDL
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon30642036:64-2815DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing3049:4452
2Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City3053:3852
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan3058:3650
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng3060:4947
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG3056:3745
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun3059:6143
7Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua3067:5040
8Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island3032:4239
9Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown3055:5437
10Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long3031:3536
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu3041:5333
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda3040:3831
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban3042:5829
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye3038:4628
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns3045:5722
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon3036:6415
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Henan Jianye and Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League table

Henan Jianye and Qingdao Jonoon are close in the Super League table, 14th and 16th, with 13 points between them. League goal record so far: Henan Jianye 38-46, Qingdao Jonoon 36-64. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.