Hereford vs Hednesford Town Prediction

Hereford
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Hednesford Town
Edgar Street, Hereford 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Hereford Rest
14 days
Hednesford Town Rest
14 days

Hereford vs Hednesford Town: result, form and history

Hednesford Town beat Hereford 1-0 in the National League - North on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.06
X
25%3.60
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.31
X2
55%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.22 = 3.05
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
39%2.19
Under 1.5
19%4.85
Under 2.5
40%2.41
Under 3.5
61%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. Jarvis

Team Comparison

HerefordHereford
Hednesford TownHednesford Town
1581Elo Rating 1586
2.03Attack 1.96
1.92Defense 1.82
31%Hit Rate 69%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

HerefordHereford
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hednesford TownHednesford Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

HerefordHereford
7W2D1L
26/09/2026
Bedford TownHereford
11
D
19/09/2026
Stafford RangersHereford
32
L
12/09/2026
HerefordSouth Shields
60
W
08/09/2026
Harborough TownHereford
03
W
05/09/2026
HerefordSpennymoor Town
21
W
31/08/2026
SouthportHereford
01
W
29/08/2026
HerefordChester
11
D
22/08/2026
Worksop TownHereford
03
W
18/08/2026
HerefordRadcliffe
30
W
15/08/2026
HerefordMarine
10
W
Hednesford TownHednesford Town
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
Hednesford TownRadcliffe
41
W
19/09/2026
Hednesford TownCoventry United
01
L
12/09/2026
Hebburn TownHednesford Town
21
L
08/09/2026
King's Lynn TownHednesford Town
23
W
05/09/2026
Hednesford TownSouth Shields
01
L
31/08/2026
Spennymoor TownHednesford Town
11
D
28/08/2026
Hednesford TownHarborough Town
21
W
22/08/2026
AFC Telford UnitedHednesford Town
11
D
18/08/2026
Hednesford TownSouthport
22
D
15/08/2026
Hednesford TownScarborough Athletic
34
L

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MacclesfieldMacclesfield1173117:9+824WWDDL
2HerefordHereford1172222:6+1623LDWWW
3Oxford CityOxford City1172221:7+1423WDWLW
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1262422:16+620DWWWL
5ChesterChester1162314:9+520WWLLD
6South ShieldsSouth Shields1162318:17+120LLWLW
7Hednesford TownHednesford Town1253421:19+218WWWLW
8Hebburn TownHebburn Town1253416:21-518LLDWL
9Spalding UnitedSpalding United1152414:9+517LLWWW
10ChorleyChorley1152418:18017WWLWL
11BuxtonBuxton1252520:21-117DLLWW
12Bedford TownBedford Town1151514:15-116LDLWW
13Worksop TownWorksop Town1251614:19-516DWLWL
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1243518:16+215WLDDD
15Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1236314:13+115DDLDW
16MarineMarine1150613:12+115WWWLL
17Harborough TownHarborough Town1143411:12-115WLDLL
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1243515:23-815LWWDL
19MorecambeMorecambe1142515:11+414LDWLW
20RadcliffeRadcliffe1240815:21-612WWLLW
21AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1233611:18-712WLLDW
22SouthportSouthport1223713:23-109LLDLW
23Darlington 1883Darlington 18831222814:24-108LDDLL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1114612:23-117LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MacclesfieldMacclesfield1117:924
2HerefordHereford1122:623
3Oxford CityOxford City1121:723
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1222:1620
5ChesterChester1114:920
6South ShieldsSouth Shields1118:1720
7Hednesford TownHednesford Town1221:1918
8Hebburn TownHebburn Town1216:2118
9Spalding UnitedSpalding United1114:917
10ChorleyChorley1118:1817
11BuxtonBuxton1220:2117
12Bedford TownBedford Town1114:1516
13Worksop TownWorksop Town1214:1916
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1218:1615
15Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1214:1315
16MarineMarine1113:1215
17Harborough TownHarborough Town1111:1215
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1215:2315
19MorecambeMorecambe1115:1114
20RadcliffeRadcliffe1215:2112
21AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1211:1812
22SouthportSouthport1213:239
23Darlington 1883Darlington 18831214:248
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1112:237
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About the Hereford vs Hednesford Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hereford and Hednesford Town in the National League - North table

In the National League - North table, Hereford are 2nd and Hednesford Town 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Hereford 22-6, Hednesford Town 21-19. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hednesford Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Hereford and Hednesford Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.