Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction

Hobro
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Aarhus Fremad
DS Arena, Hobro·M. Thomsen 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel28%SurpriseHighGap+9.4%
Hobro Rest
8 days
Aarhus Fremad Rest
9 days

Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad: the result in context

Aarhus Fremad beat Hobro 2-1 in the 1. Division on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Hobro had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aarhus Fremad.

Hobro have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.60
X
33%3.32
2
29%2.54
Double Chance
1X
71%1.45
X2
62%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.64
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.83
Over 3.5
19%3.00
Under 1.5
36%3.60
Under 2.5
62%1.92
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'A. PisaniAssist: M. Kirchheiner
24'F. DietzAssist: M. Pedersen
32'M. KirchheinerAssist: S. Baekgard
41'F. DietzFoul
45+2'S. BaekgardFoul
67'J. Ostergaard INC. Nygaard out
67'K. Lunding INM. Ryberg out
76'T. Hansen INO. Meedom out
76'A. Noshe INM. Londal out
77'M. PedersenFoul
83'M. Kaastrup IND. Bernasko Appu out
88'F. Dietz INO. Dorph out
88'S. Andreasen INM. Kannegaard out
90+2'F. Grube INJ. Beluli out
90+2'M. Kirchheiner INO. Hjaltason out
90+4'M. LondalFoul

Team Comparison

HobroHobro
Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad
1436Elo Rating 1535
1.07Attack 0.17
0.75Defense 2.11
0%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

HobroHobro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

HobroHobro3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad2Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Division14/05/2026
HobroAarhus Fremad
03
1. Division26/04/2026
Aarhus FremadHobro
01
1. Division07/11/2025
HobroAarhus Fremad
20
DBU Pokalen24/09/2025
Aarhus FremadHobro
12
1. Division20/09/2025
Aarhus FremadHobro
30

Recent Form

HobroHobro
5W2D3L
18/07/2026
Hamburger SV IIHobro
12
W
11/07/2026
HobroMiddelfart
40
W
04/07/2026
AC HorsensHobro
20
L
30/05/2026
HobroMiddelfart
32
W
24/05/2026
HB KogeHobro
01
W
14/05/2026
HobroAarhus Fremad
03
L
08/05/2026
HobroB 93
33
D
01/05/2026
AalborgHobro
11
D
26/04/2026
Aarhus FremadHobro
01
W
22/04/2026
HobroHB Koge
12
L
Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad
4W2D4L
17/07/2026
ViborgAarhus Fremad
10
L
08/07/2026
Aarhus FremadSilkeborg
10
W
04/07/2026
EsbjergAarhus Fremad
20
L
26/06/2026
Aarhus FremadBrann
12
L
30/05/2026
B 93Aarhus Fremad
22
D
22/05/2026
Aarhus FremadAalborg
50
W
14/05/2026
HobroAarhus Fremad
03
W
09/05/2026
Aarhus FremadHB Koge
00
D
01/05/2026
MiddelfartAarhus Fremad
01
W
26/04/2026
Aarhus FremadHobro
01
L

Referee Profile

M. Thomsen43 matches analysed

4.34Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 44% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HvidovreHvidovre1284023:12+1128DWWWD
2VejleVejle1265124:15+923DWLDD
3FC FredericiaFC Fredericia1255218:8+1020LWWDD
4AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen1253417:12+518WWWWL
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad1236310:11-115DDLLD
6HobroHobro1243515:22-715DLDLD
7AalborgAalborg1235415:17-214LLDDD
8Kolding IFKolding IF1226413:15-212LWDDD
9HillerødHillerød1233615:18-312WLLDW
10HB KogeHB Koge1225517:22-511DLWWD
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF1225513:20-711DLLDD
12EsbjergEsbjerg1224615:23-810WDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1HvidovreHvidovre1223:1228
2VejleVejle1224:1523
3FC FredericiaFC Fredericia1218:820
4AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen1217:1218
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad1210:1115
6HobroHobro1215:2215
7AalborgAalborg1215:1714
8Kolding IFKolding IF1213:1512
9HillerødHillerød1215:1812
10HB KogeHB Koge1217:2211
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF1213:2011
12EsbjergEsbjerg1215:2310
PromotionRelegation

About the Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hobro and Aarhus Fremad in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Hobro (6th) and Aarhus Fremad (5th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: Hobro 15-22, Aarhus Fremad 10-11. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.