Home United vs BG Pathum United Prediction

AFC Champions League TwoWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Home United
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore 17/09/2026
Home UnitedHome United
1-1
Finished
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.19
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseHighGap+10.1%
Home United Rest
4 days
BG Pathum United Rest
4 days

Home United vs BG Pathum United: result, form and history

Home United and BG Pathum United drew 1-1 in the AFC Champions League Two on 17 Sep 2026. BG Pathum United had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Home United.

Home United tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.7 for BG Pathum United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.92
X
26%3.65
2
32%3.26
Double Chance
1X
68%1.28
X2
58%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.59
No
55%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.66 = 3.03
Over 1.5
72%1.20
Over 2.5
51%1.67
Over 3.5
31%2.66
Under 1.5
28%3.95
Under 2.5
49%2.05
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'E. OsmanovicFoul
25'M. NikolicOG
33'Song Ui-YoungFoul
36'T. DatkovicFoul
45+1'Joao Magno INRaniel out
46'R. Edwards INMatheus Costa out
51'P. GustavssonAssist: C. Songkrasin
59'A. Mance INI. Fandi out
65'E. Osmanovic INE. Dolah out
70'M. Phaeton ING. Kweh out
70'A. Belmonte INS. Yooyen out
70'P. Gustavsson INS. Sareepim out
75'S. SareepimFoul
82'E. DolahFoul
86'Song Ui-Young INS. Anuar out
86'J. Karseladze INK. Nakamura out
86'F. Zulkifli INR. Stewart out

Team Comparison

Home UnitedHome United
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
1708Elo Rating 1603
3.31Attack 1.57
2.86Defense 2.36
100%Hit Rate 50%
22.3Shots per Game 11.9
6.1Shots on Target 5.0
7.8Corners per Game 3.7
0.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Home UnitedHome United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.6 vs 0.7 in first half)
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Home UnitedHome United0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Cup30/03/2025
BG Pathum UnitedHome United
11

Recent Form

Home UnitedHome United
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
Hougang UnitedHome United
22
D
25/08/2026
Xerez DeportivoHome United
11
D
17/05/2026
Tampines RoversHome United
32
L
10/05/2026
Home UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
02
L
03/05/2026
Tampines RoversHome United
00
D
26/04/2026
Geylang InternationalHome United
03
W
20/04/2026
Home UnitedYoung Lions
20
W
12/04/2026
Home UnitedHougang United
41
W
06/04/2026
Tanjong PagarHome United
04
W
15/03/2026
Balestier KhalsaHome United
03
W
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
BG Pathum UnitedRasi Salai United
32
W
04/09/2026
PattaniBG Pathum United
00
D
04/08/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa
13
L
12/07/2026
Roi EtBG Pathum United
05
W
24/05/2026
BG Pathum UnitedPort FC
01
L
10/05/2026
BG Pathum UnitedPrachuap
30
W
01/05/2026
Muangthong UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
25/04/2026
BG Pathum UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
10
W
19/04/2026
Port FCBG Pathum United
00
D
08/04/2026
Buriram UnitedBG Pathum United
01
W

League Table

AFC Champions League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Home UnitedHome United32104:1+37WWD
2Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United32015:3+26LWW
3BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United31115:3+24WLD
4Wofoo Tai PoWofoo Tai Po30030:7-70LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Home UnitedHome United34:17
2Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United35:36
3BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United35:34
4Wofoo Tai PoWofoo Tai Po30:70

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About the Home United vs BG Pathum United forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Two cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Home United and BG Pathum United in the AFC Champions League Two table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Home United are 1st in the AFC Champions League Two, 3 points ahead of BG Pathum United in 3rd. League goal record so far: Home United 4-1, BG Pathum United 5-3. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Home United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. BG Pathum United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Home United and BG Pathum United have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.