Honduras vs Jamaica Prediction

Honduras
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Jamaica
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino, Tegucigalpa 06/10/2026
HondurasHonduras
1-1
Finished
JamaicaJamaica

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-9.0%
Honduras Rest
3 days
Jamaica Rest
3 days

Honduras vs Jamaica: the result in context

Honduras and Jamaica drew 1-1 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 6 Oct 2026. Jamaica had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Honduras.

Jamaica have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Honduras tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.4 for Jamaica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.05
X
31%3.23
2
29%3.50
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
60%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.93
No
53%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.01 = 2.45
Over 1.5
68%1.40
Over 2.5
44%2.22
Over 3.5
25%4.30
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
56%1.62
Under 3.5
75%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Tyreece CampbellAssist: Miguel Freckleton
50'Kyle Allan MingFoul
51'Luis PalmaAssist: jhen portillo
62'Javon East INJahmarie Justin Kasheem Nolan out
62'Jose Reyes INExon Arzú out
62'Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales INEdwin Rodriguez out
72'Jonathan Toro INMike Arana out
74'jhen portilloFoul
79'Tyreece Campbell INRamone Howell out
81'Dereck Moncada INBryan Rochez out
82'Clinton Bennett Zelaya INJoseph Rosales out
87'Ronaldo Romario WebsterDissent
89'Ronaldo Romario Webster INChristopher Ainsworth out
89'Courtney Alphonso Clarke INdwayne atkinson out
90'Kaheim Dixon INtajay grant out

Lineups

Honduras
4-2-3-1Coach: José Molina
Jamaica
4-3-3Coach: R. Speid
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.46
E. Menjívar6.71E. Menjívar
Clinton Bennett6.82C. Bennett
G. Sacaza6.53G. Sacaza
L. Vega7.14L. Vega
J. Portillo6.713J. Portillo
K. Arriaga7.25K. Arriaga
A. Reyes7.014A. Reyes
D. Moncada6.418D. Moncada
J. Toro6.47J. Toro
L. Palma8.010L. Palma
K. Figueroa6.19K. Figueroa
A. Blake6.01A. Blake
D. Lowe6.517D. Lowe
R. King6.56R. King
M. Freckleton7.52M. Freckleton
R. Webster6.422R. Webster
K. Ming6.320K. Ming
Karoy Anderson6.316K. Anderson
Courtney Clarke5.95C. Clarke
K. Dixon6.210K. Dixon
J. East6.412J. East
T. Campbell7.711T. Campbell

Honduras Substitutes

8J. Rosales82'for Clinton Bennett Zelaya6.4
11D. Ruíz
23J. Álvarez
15M. Arana72'for Jonathan Toro6.0
17E. Arzú62'for Jose Reyes6.2
20D. Flores
12A. Güity
6C. Meléndez
22L. Ortiz
19E. Puerto
21B. Rochez81'for Dereck Moncada6.5
16E. Rodríguez62'for Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales6.9

Jamaica Substitutes

7J. Lyle
8R. Howell79'for Tyreece Campbell5.8
14tajay grant90'replaced by Kaheim Dixon
23S. Davis
3Brandon Ashley Cover
13A. Knight
18D. Atkinson89'for Courtney Alphonso Clarke6.9
4C. Ainsworth89'for Ronaldo Romario Webster6.2
21J. Nolan62'for Javon East6.1

Match Stats

HondurasJamaica
73%Ball Possession27%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots0
11Fouls14
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
673Total Passes239
606Passes Accurate170
12Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

HondurasHonduras
JamaicaJamaica
1545Elo Rating 1554
0.89Attack 1.22
1.86Defense 2.20
23%Hit Rate 39%
15.1Shots per Game 10.0
4.5Shots on Target 2.8
6.5Corners per Game 3.4
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HondurasHonduras
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
JamaicaJamaica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

HondurasHonduras1Wins · 14%
Draws114%
JamaicaJamaica5Wins · 72%
2.1Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Nations League29/09/2026
JamaicaHonduras
01
CONCACAF Nations League15/10/2024
JamaicaHonduras
00
CONCACAF Nations League11/09/2024
HondurasJamaica
12
CONCACAF Nations League09/09/2023
JamaicaHonduras
10
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF31/03/2022
JamaicaHonduras
21
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF14/10/2021
HondurasJamaica
02
CONCACAF Gold Cup18/06/2019
JamaicaHonduras
32

Recent Form

HondurasHonduras
3W3D4L
03/10/2026
MartiniqueHonduras
21
L
29/09/2026
JamaicaHonduras
01
W
26/09/2026
HondurasSuriname
23
L
07/06/2026
ArgentinaHonduras
20
L
19/11/2025
Costa RicaHonduras
00
D
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
L
14/10/2025
HondurasHaiti
30
W
10/10/2025
HondurasCosta Rica
00
D
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
W
06/09/2025
HaitiHonduras
00
D
JamaicaJamaica
5W2D3L
03/10/2026
El SalvadorJamaica
02
W
29/09/2026
JamaicaHonduras
01
L
26/09/2026
JamaicaGuatemala
32
W
27/05/2026
JamaicaIndia
20
W
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
L
27/03/2026
New CaledoniaJamaica
01
W
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoJamaica
11
D
15/10/2025
JamaicaBermuda
40
W
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
L

About the Honduras vs Jamaica forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.