Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen Prediction

Hwaseong
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Paju Citizen
Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Hwaseong Rest
35 days
Paju Citizen Rest
7 days

Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen: result, form and history

Paju Citizen beat Hwaseong 2-1 in the K League 2 on 11 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Hwaseong had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Paju Citizen.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.85
X
26%3.30
2
21%3.89
Double Chance
1X
79%1.21
X2
47%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.86
No
45%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.04 = 2.84
Over 1.5
76%1.33
Over 2.5
56%2.05
Over 3.5
35%3.70
Under 1.5
24%3.00
Under 2.5
44%1.70
Under 3.5
65%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'J. AriasAssist: Ryu Won-Woo
17'Park Jun-seo
32'Park Kyung-Min
46'J. Arias INS. Roh out
55'Jegal Jae-Min INDemethryus out
55'Park Kyung-Min INHam Sun-Woo out
56'J. Baez INLee Joon-Suk out
56'Cheon Hyeon-Byung INKim Min-Ho out
67'Lee Jong-Sung INChoi Myung-Hee out
67'S. Jeon INKim Jung-Min out
77'B. BastonAssist: Lee Joon-Suk
79'L. Pllana INSon Seung-Beom out
79'Lee Taek-Geun INKim Min-Sung out
83'Choi Myung-Hee
85'You Jae-jun INLee Chan-ho out

Team Comparison

HwaseongHwaseong
Paju CitizenPaju Citizen
1525Elo Rating 1431
1.34Attack 1.02
1.52Defense 1.62
14%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals

Game State Tendencies

HwaseongHwaseong
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Paju CitizenPaju Citizen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

HwaseongHwaseong2Wins · 25%
Draws450%
Paju CitizenPaju Citizen2Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

K3 League21/07/2024
Paju CitizenHwaseong
02
K3 League07/04/2024
HwaseongPaju Citizen
20
K3 League15/07/2023
Paju CitizenHwaseong
21
K3 League02/04/2023
HwaseongPaju Citizen
00
K3 League29/10/2022
Paju CitizenHwaseong
30
K3 League05/06/2022
HwaseongPaju Citizen
11
K3 League01/10/2021
HwaseongPaju Citizen
11
K3 League29/05/2021
Paju CitizenHwaseong
11

Recent Form

HwaseongHwaseong
6W2D2L
06/06/2026
HwaseongSuwon Bluewings
12
L
31/05/2026
HwaseongGyeongnam FC
20
W
23/05/2026
CheongjuHwaseong
23
W
17/05/2026
HwaseongBusan I Park
32
W
09/05/2026
HwaseongSuwon City FC
11
D
03/05/2026
HwaseongAnsan Greeners
20
W
26/04/2026
Seoul E-Land FCHwaseong
12
W
19/04/2026
HwaseongGimpo Citizen
22
D
11/04/2026
HwaseongJeonnam Dragons
10
W
04/04/2026
HwaseongSeongnam FC
13
L
Paju CitizenPaju Citizen
2W2D6L
04/07/2026
Paju CitizenYongin City
01
L
05/06/2026
Daegu FCPaju Citizen
10
L
30/05/2026
Busan I ParkPaju Citizen
41
L
25/05/2026
Paju CitizenGimpo Citizen
01
L
16/05/2026
Cheonan CityPaju Citizen
00
D
03/05/2026
Paju CitizenCheongju
00
D
25/04/2026
Paju CitizenGyeongnam FC
23
L
19/04/2026
Seongnam FCPaju Citizen
01
W
11/04/2026
Paju CitizenSeoul E-Land FC
13
L
05/04/2026
Paju CitizenGimhae City
31
W

League Table

K League 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Suwon BluewingsSuwon Bluewings29196450:25+2563DWWWW
2Suwon City FCSuwon City FC29169454:31+2357WLWWW
3Seoul E-Land FCSeoul E-Land FC29166754:36+1854LWWWL
4Daegu FCDaegu FC29158657:40+1753DWWLW
5Busan I ParkBusan I Park29146947:37+1048WWDLW
6HwaseongHwaseong30129944:33+1145LDLLD
7Asan MugunghwaAsan Mugunghwa29119941:33+842WWDDW
8Gimpo CitizenGimpo Citizen29911937:39-238LLWLW
9Gyeongnam FCGyeongnam FC29911933:34-138WLDLD
10Paju CitizenPaju Citizen29971329:35-634WDLDW
11Yongin CityYongin City297121038:43-533WWLLD
12CheongjuCheongju306141036:49-1332LLLWW
13Seongnam FCSeongnam FC297111132:39-732DLLLD
14Cheonan CityCheonan City296121137:41-430DWWLD
15Jeonnam DragonsJeonnam Dragons295101435:52-1725DLLWL
16Ansan GreenersAnsan Greeners30741933:57-2425LLWLL
17Gimhae CityGimhae City29391727:60-3318DWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Suwon BluewingsSuwon Bluewings2950:2563
2Suwon City FCSuwon City FC2954:3157
3Seoul E-Land FCSeoul E-Land FC2954:3654
4Daegu FCDaegu FC2957:4053
5Busan I ParkBusan I Park2947:3748
6HwaseongHwaseong3044:3345
7Asan MugunghwaAsan Mugunghwa2941:3342
8Gimpo CitizenGimpo Citizen2937:3938
9Gyeongnam FCGyeongnam FC2933:3438
10Paju CitizenPaju Citizen2929:3534
11Yongin CityYongin City2938:4333
12CheongjuCheongju3036:4932
13Seongnam FCSeongnam FC2932:3932
14Cheonan CityCheonan City2937:4130
15Jeonnam DragonsJeonnam Dragons2935:5225
16Ansan GreenersAnsan Greeners3033:5725
17Gimhae CityGimhae City2927:6018
PromotionRelegation

About the Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hwaseong and Paju Citizen in the K League 2 table

In the K League 2 table, Hwaseong are 6th and Paju Citizen 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Hwaseong 44-33, Paju Citizen 29-35. The full standings are on the K League 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.