Iguatu vs Nacional AM Prediction

Serie DBrazil Brazil · Round of 16
Knockout
Iguatu
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 4-5
Nacional AM
Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu 25/07/2026
IguatuIguatu
1-1
After Penalties
Nacional AMNacional AM

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Iguatu Rest
7 days
Nacional AM Rest
7 days

Iguatu vs Nacional AM: the result in context

Nacional AM beat Iguatu on penalties (5-4) after a 1-1 draw in the Serie D on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.60
X
32%2.96
2
22%2.63
Double Chance
1X
78%1.40
X2
54%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.09
No
55%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.82 = 2.24
Over 1.5
63%1.50
Over 2.5
35%2.50
Over 3.5
17%4.95
Under 1.5
37%2.35
Under 2.5
65%1.42
Under 3.5
83%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'Wendel
45+8'Otacilio Marcos

Penalty Shootout4 - 5

1Otacilio Marcos(Penalty)
1Renanzinho(Penalty)
2M. Fernandes(Penalty)
2Caio Mancha(Penalty)
3Danilo Nazare(Penalty missed)
3Icaro Alves(Penalty)
4Marquinhos(Penalty)
4Ryan Luka(Penalty)
5Pedrinho(Penalty)
5Mateus Muller(Penalty)

Team Comparison

IguatuIguatu
Nacional AMNacional AM
1609Elo Rating 1597
1.53Attack 0.99
1.83Defense 2.10
36%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

IguatuIguatu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nacional AMNacional AM
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

IguatuIguatu0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Nacional AMNacional AM0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie D18/07/2026
Nacional AMIguatu
11

Recent Form

IguatuIguatu
5W5D0L
18/07/2026
Nacional AMIguatu
11
D12/07/2026
IguatuMaguary PE
21
W04/07/2026
Maguary PEIguatu
23
W
27/06/2026
IguatuTuna Luso
11
D
21/06/2026
Tuna LusoIguatu
12
W
07/06/2026
Sampaio CorreaIguatu
01
W
30/05/2026
IguatuParnahyba
22
D
23/05/2026
IAPEIguatu
11
D
16/05/2026
MaracanãIguatu
11
D
10/05/2026
IguatuMoto Club
31
W
Nacional AMNacional AM
5W3D2L
18/07/2026
Nacional AMIguatu
11
D
12/07/2026
Capital BrasiliaNacional AM
5160
W
04/07/2026
Nacional AMCapital Brasilia
10
W28/06/2026
Nacional AMAraguaína
00
D21/06/2026
AraguaínaNacional AM
01
W14/06/2026
Nacional AMMonte Roraima
31
W
31/05/2026
Manaus FCNacional AM
11
D
29/05/2026
Nacional AMPaysandu
24
L
23/05/2026
GASNacional AM
01
W
21/05/2026
PaysanduNacional AM
10
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ManauaraManauara1064013:5+822WWDWD
2Nacional AMNacional AM1062215:9+620WDWLW
3Sao RaimundoSao Raimundo1034310:7+313LWDLL
4Monte RoraimaMonte Roraima1024411:14-310LLDWW
5Manaus FCManaus FC102448:13-510LDDWL
6GASGAS101278:17-95WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1ManauaraManauara1013:522
2Nacional AMNacional AM1015:920
3Sao RaimundoSao Raimundo1010:713
4Monte RoraimaMonte Roraima1011:1410
5Manaus FCManaus FC108:1310
6GASGAS108:175

Group 6

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IguatuIguatu1055014:7+720WDDDW
2MaracanãMaracanã1054112:6+619WWWDD
3ParnahybaParnahyba1042411:13-214WDLLW
4Sampaio CorreaSampaio Correa1034312:6+613LWWWD
5Moto ClubMoto Club102358:15-79LLLDL
6IAPEIAPE1004610:20-104LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1IguatuIguatu1014:720
2MaracanãMaracanã1012:619
3ParnahybaParnahyba1011:1314
4Sampaio CorreaSampaio Correa1012:613
5Moto ClubMoto Club108:159
6IAPEIAPE1010:204
Promotion

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About the Iguatu vs Nacional AM forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Iguatu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Iguatu and Nacional AM have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.