Independiente F.b.c. vs Sportivo Carapeguá Prediction

25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Independiente F.b.c. Rest
5 days
Sportivo Carapeguá Rest
5 days

Independiente F.b.c. vs Sportivo Carapeguá: the result in context

Sportivo Carapeguá beat Independiente F.b.c. 1-0 in the Division Intermedia on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.05
X
29%3.22
2
28%3.21
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
57%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.11 = 2.57
Over 1.5
71%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.28
Under 1.5
29%3.05
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

78'J. Rodriguez

Team Comparison

Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá
1477Elo Rating 1455
2.09Attack 1.31
0.89Defense 1.99
36%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend43% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.1Wins · 14%
Draws343%
Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá3Wins · 43%
2.3Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Division Intermedia06/06/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáIndependiente F.b.c.
02
Division Intermedia03/08/2025
Independiente F.b.c.Sportivo Carapeguá
33
Division Intermedia29/04/2025
Sportivo CarapeguáIndependiente F.b.c.
11
Division Intermedia19/08/2024
Independiente F.b.c.Sportivo Carapeguá
01
Division Intermedia12/05/2024
Sportivo CarapeguáIndependiente F.b.c.
10
Division Intermedia08/07/2023
Sportivo CarapeguáIndependiente F.b.c.
20
Division Intermedia04/04/2023
Independiente F.b.c.Sportivo Carapeguá
11

Recent Form

Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
5W4D1L
20/09/2026
12 de Junio VHIndependiente F.b.c.
04
W
15/09/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Encarnación
10
W
09/09/2026
Deportivo SantaniIndependiente F.b.c.
12
W
04/09/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Fernando De La Mora
00
D
28/08/2026
3 de NoviembreIndependiente F.b.c.
52
L
22/08/2026
Independiente F.b.c.General Caballero
00
D
15/08/2026
Guairena FCIndependiente F.b.c.
12
W
11/08/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Sportivo Ameliano
10
W
07/08/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Resistencia
11
D
02/08/2026
SOL DE AmericaIndependiente F.b.c.
11
D
Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá
5W1D4L
20/09/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáTacuary
00
D
15/09/2026
Atlético TembetarySportivo Carapeguá
12
W
10/09/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáBenjamín Aceval
20
W
04/09/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáParaguari AC
23
L
30/08/2026
12 de Junio VHSportivo Carapeguá
01
W
23/08/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáEncarnación
13
L
16/08/2026
Deportivo SantaniSportivo Carapeguá
20
L
09/08/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáFernando De La Mora
20
W
03/08/2026
3 de NoviembreSportivo Carapeguá
01
W
26/07/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáGeneral Caballero
12
L

League Table

Division Intermedia 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Santani30193852:28+2460WWLWW
2General CaballeroGeneral Caballero30176758:37+2157DLWWL
312 de Junio VH12 de Junio VH301510539:28+1155DWDDD
4Paraguari ACParaguari AC301451145:38+747WWWWL
5SOL DE AmericaSOL DE America301015537:30+745DWLDW
6Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.301110946:41+543LLWWL
7Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá301271137:43-643DLWDW
8ResistenciaResistencia301191039:36+342WWDWL
9Benjamín AcevalBenjamín Aceval301261245:44+142LLLLL
10Deportivo CapiataDeportivo Capiata309111039:39038WWWDD
11Atlético TembetaryAtlético Tembetary301071341:48-737DLLWW
12Fernando De La MoraFernando De La Mora30971433:45-1234LLLLW
133 de Noviembre3 de Noviembre30791438:46-830DLWLW
14Guairena FCGuairena FC30781523:38-1529DLWLL
15TacuaryTacuary305121335:52-1727LWLLW
16EncarnaciónEncarnación30751830:44-1426DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Santani3052:2860
2General CaballeroGeneral Caballero3058:3757
312 de Junio VH12 de Junio VH3039:2855
4Paraguari ACParaguari AC3045:3847
5SOL DE AmericaSOL DE America3037:3045
6Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.3046:4143
7Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá3037:4343
8ResistenciaResistencia3039:3642
9Benjamín AcevalBenjamín Aceval3045:4442
10Deportivo CapiataDeportivo Capiata3039:3938
11Atlético TembetaryAtlético Tembetary3041:4837
12Fernando De La MoraFernando De La Mora3033:4534
133 de Noviembre3 de Noviembre3038:4630
14Guairena FCGuairena FC3023:3829
15TacuaryTacuary3035:5227
16EncarnaciónEncarnación3030:4426

About the Independiente F.b.c. vs Sportivo Carapeguá forecast

The forecasts for this Division Intermedia match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente F.b.c. and Sportivo Carapeguá in the Division Intermedia table

In the Division Intermedia table, Independiente F.b.c. (6th) and Sportivo Carapeguá (7th) are level on 43 points. League goal record so far: Independiente F.b.c. 46-41, Sportivo Carapeguá 37-43. The full standings are on the Division Intermedia Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.