Institute vs Newry City AFC Prediction

ChampionshipNorthern Ireland Northern Ireland · Regular Season - 5
Institute
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Newry City AFC
29/08/2026
InstituteInstitute
1-3
Finished
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Institute Rest
7 days
Newry City AFC Rest
7 days

Institute vs Newry City AFC: result, form and history

Newry City AFC beat Institute 3-1 in the Championship on 29 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Newry City AFC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Institute.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.83
X
23%3.50
2
19%3.50
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
41%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.50
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'
34'
47'
61'
74'
76'
79'

Team Comparison

InstituteInstitute
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC
1492Elo Rating 1384
1.62Attack 0.83
1.49Defense 1.13
39%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo

Game State Tendencies

InstituteInstitute
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

InstituteInstitute4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC2Wins · 25%
2.4Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Championship26/04/2025
Newry City AFCInstitute
03
Championship15/02/2025
InstituteNewry City AFC
11
Championship21/12/2024
Newry City AFCInstitute
02
Championship12/10/2024
InstituteNewry City AFC
20
Championship01/01/2022
InstituteNewry City AFC
00
Championship16/10/2021
InstituteNewry City AFC
12
Championship14/08/2021
Newry City AFCInstitute
51
League Cup29/10/2019
Newry City AFCInstitute
01

Recent Form

InstituteInstitute
4W2D4L
22/08/2026
Queen's UniversityInstitute
41
L
15/08/2026
InstituteLoughgall
00
D
11/08/2026
InstituteBallinamallard United
12
L
07/08/2026
Strabane AthleticInstitute
01
W
18/07/2026
Limavady UnitedInstitute
21
L
11/07/2026
Dungannon SwiftsInstitute
31
L
25/04/2026
Armagh CityInstitute
14
W
18/04/2026
InstituteArds
31
W
11/04/2026
InstituteBallinamallard United
30
W
04/04/2026
InstituteWarrenpoint Town
00
D
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC
6W0D4L
21/08/2026
Newry City AFCWarrenpoint Town
03
L
15/08/2026
RathfrilandNewry City AFC
12
W
11/08/2026
Newry City AFCGlenavon FC
14
L
08/08/2026
Ballinamallard UnitedNewry City AFC
01
W
28/07/2026
Newry City AFCBangor
10
W
02/12/2025
Newry City AFCLinfield
23
L
21/11/2025
Newry City AFCDrumaness Mills
12
L
04/11/2025
Newry City AFCGlenavon FC
10
W
07/10/2025
Newry City AFCPortadown
10
W
12/08/2025
Newry City AFCKnockbreda
30
W

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Annagh UnitedAnnagh United1384133:16+1728WWDDW
2Newington YouthNewington Youth1382329:22+726WWLLW
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC1273230:14+1624WDWWW
4Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United1363420:18+221WDWDL
5Queen's UniversityQueen's University1362522:14+820LDLWL
6InstituteInstitute1262422:17+520WDWLW
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC1354420:22-219LDWLW
8Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town1253421:17+418DWDWL
9LoughgallLoughgall1345418:23-517WDLWL
10ArdsArds1344515:16-116DLWDL
11H&W WeldersH&W Welders1351719:22-316LLDLL
12Moyola ParkMoyola Park1242614:24-1014LWLWD
13RathfrilandRathfriland1240812:23-1112WWWLW
14DundelaDundela1225519:24-511LLLWD
15Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic1324711:22-1110LDLDW
16Armagh CityArmagh City1306711:22-116DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Annagh UnitedAnnagh United1333:1628
2Newington YouthNewington Youth1329:2226
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC1230:1424
4Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United1320:1821
5Queen's UniversityQueen's University1322:1420
6InstituteInstitute1222:1720
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC1320:2219
8Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town1221:1718
9LoughgallLoughgall1318:2317
10ArdsArds1315:1616
11H&W WeldersH&W Welders1319:2216
12Moyola ParkMoyola Park1214:2414
13RathfrilandRathfriland1212:2312
14DundelaDundela1219:2411
15Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic1311:2210
16Armagh CityArmagh City1311:226
PromotionRelegation

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About the Institute vs Newry City AFC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Institute and Newry City AFC in the Championship table

Institute and Newry City AFC are close in the Championship table, 6th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Institute 22-17, Newry City AFC 20-22. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.