Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos Prediction

Estadio Carlos Sacaan 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%
Ituzaingó Rest
6 days
Villa San Carlos Rest
6 days

Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos: the result in context

Villa San Carlos beat Ituzaingó 3-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ituzaingó have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.74
X
34%2.88
2
26%2.51
Double Chance
1X
74%1.44
X2
60%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.00
No
62%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 0.85 = 2.02
Over 1.5
55%1.47
Over 2.5
30%2.40
Over 3.5
14%4.45
Under 1.5
45%2.49
Under 2.5
70%1.47
Under 3.5
86%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Adrian lugones
20'Lautaro Mena
30'kevin pavia
39'Adrian lugones INFausto Ferrante out
57'Segundo Gras INIván Dimitri Regules out
61'felipe guallama INaugusto ponton out
67'Ezequiel melillo
72'Simon Canete
76'Ezequiel melillo
77'Mauro Aguirre INFranco Luppino out
78'Iván Dimitri Regules
80'kevin pavia INfrancisco cairo out
80'Ezequiel melillo INSantino Fabi out
81'Ezequiel melillo
83'Lautaro Mena

Team Comparison

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
1323Elo Rating 1510
0.99Attack 1.17
1.37Defense 2.08
0%Hit Rate 63%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ItuzaingóItuzaingó3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana22/02/2026
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
31
Primera B Metropolitana05/08/2023
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
11
Primera B Metropolitana08/04/2023
ItuzaingóVilla San Carlos
10
Primera B Metropolitana03/07/2022
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
12
Primera B Metropolitana09/03/2022
ItuzaingóVilla San Carlos
20

Recent Form

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
1W2D7L
27/06/2026
Deportivo ArmenioItuzaingó
21
L
20/06/2026
ItuzaingóLiniers
11
D
13/06/2026
FlandriaItuzaingó
32
L
05/06/2026
ItuzaingóReal Pilar
20
W
01/06/2026
Argentino QuilmesItuzaingó
20
L
27/05/2026
ItuzaingóDeportivo Laferrere
02
L
23/05/2026
ItuzaingóUAI Urquiza
11
D
16/05/2026
Defensores UnidosItuzaingó
21
L
09/05/2026
ItuzaingóVilla Dalmine
02
L
05/05/2026
ComunicacionesItuzaingó
32
L
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
0W6D4L
28/06/2026
LiniersVilla San Carlos
11
D
20/06/2026
Real PilarVilla San Carlos
11
D
13/06/2026
Villa San CarlosUAI Urquiza
00
D
06/06/2026
Villa DalmineVilla San Carlos
00
D
31/05/2026
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
02
L
26/05/2026
Deportivo CamionerosVilla San Carlos
30
L
22/05/2026
Arsenal SarandiVilla San Carlos
22
D
16/05/2026
Villa San CarlosArgentino de Merlo
00
D
09/05/2026
Talleres RemediosVilla San Carlos
10
L
02/05/2026
Villa San CarlosDeportivo Laferrere
02
L

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas40239864:31+3378DWLWW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi402013753:26+2773DWLWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano401912947:29+1869DWWWD
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4019111042:26+1668LDLWD
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros401813947:32+1567WDLLL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine401714939:27+1265LDLDW
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4017111242:38+462DDWWW
8Real PilarReal Pilar4017111242:39+362DLWLW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4014151139:34+557DDDDW
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4014131349:52-355WDWLL
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4012151341:45-451DLWLW
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4012141440:43-350WLWWD
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4011151439:53-1448WDDLW
14Dock SudDock Sud4011141541:45-447LLLWD
15LiniersLiniers4010151533:41-845DDWLL
16FlandriaFlandria401291936:48-1245WWDLL
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4011111836:44-844LLLLW
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes409171432:40-844LDDDD
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue409161525:37-1243DWDWD
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos409151633:40-742DLDWL
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza406211323:36-1339DWWDL
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó401142527:64-3717DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4064:3178
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4053:2673
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4047:2969
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4042:2668
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4047:3267
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4039:2765
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4042:3862
8Real PilarReal Pilar4042:3962
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4039:3457
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4049:5255
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4041:4551
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4040:4350
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4039:5348
14Dock SudDock Sud4041:4547
15LiniersLiniers4033:4145
16FlandriaFlandria4036:4845
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4036:4444
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4032:4044
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4025:3743
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4033:4042
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4023:3639
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4027:6417
PromotionRelegation

About the Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ituzaingó and Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Villa San Carlos are 12th and Ituzaingó 22nd, 33 points apart. League goal record so far: Ituzaingó 27-64, Villa San Carlos 40-43. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.