Jonava vs BFA Prediction

Jonava
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
BFA
16/10/2026
JonavaJonava
3-0
Finished
BFABFA

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Jonava Rest
6 days
BFA Rest
6 days

Jonava vs BFA: the result in context

Jonava beat BFA 3-0 in the 1 Lyga on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.40
X
25%3.31
2
41%2.48
Double Chance
1X
59%1.42
X2
66%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.76 = 3.02
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.97
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.91
Under 3.5
69%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'N. Benevicius
10'R. Krot
21'N. Benevicius

Team Comparison

JonavaJonava
BFABFA
1410Elo Rating 1522
1.02Attack 1.32
1.02Defense 1.21
23%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals

Game State Tendencies

JonavaJonava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFABFA
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

JonavaJonava2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
BFABFA4Wins · 57%
2.3Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

1 Lyga30/05/2026
BFAJonava
10
1 Lyga26/07/2025
BFAJonava
00
1 Lyga15/03/2025
JonavaBFA
01
1 Lyga07/10/2023
JonavaBFA
03
1 Lyga21/05/2023
BFAJonava
21
1 Lyga27/08/2021
JonavaBFA
60
1 Lyga08/05/2021
BFAJonava
02

Recent Form

BFABFA
5W3D2L
09/10/2026
BFAŽalgiris II
12
L
19/09/2026
AtmosferaBFA
11
D
12/09/2026
GarliavaBFA
23
W
04/09/2026
BFABabrungas
21
W
28/08/2026
TaurasBFA
22
D
22/08/2026
BFANeptūną Klaipėda
20
W
15/08/2026
DainavaBFA
00
D
08/08/2026
BFATransinvest 2
42
W
02/08/2026
FA Šiauliai IIBFA
10
L
26/07/2026
BFABe1 NFA
31
W

League Table

1 Lyga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BabrungasBabrungas28224252:13+3970WWWWW
2MinijaMinija27221471:18+5367LLWWW
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA27183649:28+2157WWDWW
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II28154944:36+849WLWLW
5BFABFA281441042:41+146WLLDW
6TaurasTauras27135948:37+1144LDWLL
7DainavaDainava28128840:29+1144LWDLW
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda281421233:35-244LLLLW
9AtmosferaAtmosfera271071043:35+837WWDDL
10JonavaJonava28861431:38-730LWLLL
11GarliavaGarliava28851532:35-329LWDWL
12Transinvest 2Transinvest 228841635:61-2628WWDLW
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II28821827:48-2126WLDLW
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II28821835:64-2926LDWLL
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II28461834:65-3118LLDWL
16EkranasEkranas28532029:62-3318WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BabrungasBabrungas2852:1370
2MinijaMinija2771:1867
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA2749:2857
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II2844:3649
5BFABFA2842:4146
6TaurasTauras2748:3744
7DainavaDainava2840:2944
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2833:3544
9AtmosferaAtmosfera2743:3537
10JonavaJonava2831:3830
11GarliavaGarliava2832:3529
12Transinvest 2Transinvest 22835:6128
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II2827:4826
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II2835:6426
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2834:6518
16EkranasEkranas2829:6218

About the Jonava vs BFA forecast

The forecasts for this 1 Lyga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jonava and BFA in the 1 Lyga table

In the 1 Lyga table, BFA are 5th and Jonava 10th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Jonava 31-38, BFA 42-41. The full standings are on the 1 Lyga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.