Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction

FNB Stadium, Johannesburg 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+11.3%
Kaizer Chiefs Rest
2 days
Mamelodi Sundowns Rest
3 days

Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns: result, form and history

Kaizer Chiefs and Mamelodi Sundowns drew 1-1 in the Premier Soccer League on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Mamelodi Sundowns have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Mamelodi Sundowns tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 6.7 for Kaizer Chiefs.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%4.30
X
36%3.20
2
34%1.85
Double Chance
1X
66%1.83
X2
70%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.04
No
59%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.91 + 1.03 = 1.94
Over 1.5
57%1.40
Over 2.5
30%2.26
Over 3.5
14%4.20
Under 1.5
43%2.73
Under 2.5
70%1.57
Under 3.5
86%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'B. Leon
26'Inacio Miguel
34'T. Moloisane
45'B. J. Aubaas
64'L. PhiliAssist: S. Mthethwa
65'L. Phili
67'L. Baartman INW. Duba out
67'L. Phili INE. Chislett out
70'A. van Wyk INS. Ndlovu out
70'S. Mkhulise INB. Mokoena out
71'Z. Kwinika
71'T. Matthews
74'T. Matthews INC. Mailula out
75'C. MailulaAssist: G. Kekana
82'L. Maboe INA. Bitegeko out
88'B. Mokoena
90'A. Modiba IND. Lunga out
90'B. Leon INL. Mothiba out

Team Comparison

Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
1561Elo Rating 1727
1.29Attack 1.55
2.15Defense 2.61
42%Hit Rate 69%
12.4Shots per Game 22.0
2.8Shots on Target 9.0
6.7Corners per Game 11.0
1.9Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns6Wins · 60%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Soccer League06/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
11
Premier Soccer League27/08/2025
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
00
Cup13/04/2025
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
12
Premier Soccer League01/03/2025
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
10
League Cup02/11/2024
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
04
Premier Soccer League28/09/2024
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
12
Premier Soccer League02/05/2024
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
15
8 Cup23/09/2023
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
21
8 Cup02/09/2023
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
11
Premier Soccer League09/08/2023
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
21

Recent Form

Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs
4W2D4L
12/08/2026
Kaizer ChiefsSekhukhune United
20
W
09/08/2026
Kaizer ChiefsGolden Arrows
01
L
01/08/2026
Kruger UnitedKaizer Chiefs
13
W
18/07/2026
ElcheKaizer Chiefs
21
L
23/05/2026
Kaizer ChiefsChippa United
01
L
16/05/2026
AmazuluKaizer Chiefs
01
W
10/05/2026
Sekhukhune UnitedKaizer Chiefs
02
W
06/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
11
D
29/04/2026
SiweleleKaizer Chiefs
20
L
26/04/2026
Orlando PiratesKaizer Chiefs
11
D
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
6W3D1L
11/08/2026
TS GalaxyMamelodi Sundowns
23
W
08/08/2026
Mamelodi SundownsPolokwane City
3222
W
21/07/2026
Hertha BSCMamelodi Sundowns
11
D
29/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig
31
W
24/05/2026
FAR RabatMamelodi Sundowns
11
D
17/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsFAR Rabat
10
W
12/05/2026
TS GalaxyMamelodi Sundowns
32
L
09/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsSiwelele
74
W
06/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs
11
D
03/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsPolokwane City
30
W

League Table

Premier Soccer League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns1082027:9+1826WWDWW
2Orlando PiratesOrlando Pirates981021:2+1925WWWWW
3AmazuluAmazulu971113:8+522WWWWW
4Milford FCMilford FC1053211:7+418WWDWD
5Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs935114:10+414LDDDW
6Sekhukhune UnitedSekhukhune United94239:9014LWWDD
7Chippa UnitedChippa United92526:7-111WLWDD
8StellenboschStellenbosch92439:10-110LDWDD
9Kruger UnitedKruger United93157:13-610WWLWL
10Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows91533:5-28LLDDL
11Polokwane CityPolokwane City91538:11-38DLLDD
12TS GalaxyTS Galaxy91447:12-57DLLLD
13Durban CityDurban City91446:11-57LLDLD
14SiweleleSiwelele91359:16-76LWDLL
15Marumo GallantsMarumo Gallants91269:17-85WLLLD
16Richards BayRichards Bay903611:23-123LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns1027:926
2Orlando PiratesOrlando Pirates921:225
3AmazuluAmazulu913:822
4Milford FCMilford FC1011:718
5Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs914:1014
6Sekhukhune UnitedSekhukhune United99:914
7Chippa UnitedChippa United96:711
8StellenboschStellenbosch99:1010
9Kruger UnitedKruger United97:1310
10Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows93:58
11Polokwane CityPolokwane City98:118
12TS GalaxyTS Galaxy97:127
13Durban CityDurban City96:117
14SiweleleSiwelele99:166
15Marumo GallantsMarumo Gallants99:175
16Richards BayRichards Bay911:233

About the Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kaizer Chiefs and Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League table

In the Premier Soccer League table, Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st and Kaizer Chiefs 5th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Kaizer Chiefs 14-10, Mamelodi Sundowns 27-9. The full standings are on the Premier Soccer League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mamelodi Sundowns have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.