Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction

Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata·S. Zampalas 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.94
SignalNEUTRALModel37%SurpriseHighGap+7.3%
Kalamata Rest
3 days
Aris Thessalonikis Rest
5 days

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis: the result in context

Aris Thessalonikis beat Kalamata 3-2 in the Super League 1 on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Aris Thessalonikis tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 2.2 for Kalamata.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%3.30
X
29%3.00
2
30%2.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.57
X2
59%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.94
No
45%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.12 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.42
Over 2.5
44%2.33
Over 3.5
22%4.34
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
56%1.58
Under 3.5
78%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'J. BolivarAssist: A. Mendes Moreira
44'P. KaloutsikidisUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'RodriguesUnsportsmanlike conduct
45'U. Racic(Penalty)
45+2'FabianoFoul
60'K. VargasAssist: J. Cataldi
66'S. Palacios INM. Alfarela out
66'G. Gianniotas INO. Boussaid out
68'K. Vargas INJ. Bonetto out
68'J. Alonso INU. Ignjatovic out
68'P. Kaloutsikidis INI. Chatzitheodoridis out
75'J. Cataldi INA. Liatsikouras out
79'I. ChatzitheodoridisFoul
81'T. Dele-Bashiru INL. Moron out
82'Rodrigues INA. Guessand out
83'J. PetrisFoul
84'U. RacicUnsportsmanlike conduct
85'J. BolivarUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'FabianoAssist: B. Garre
90+3'FabianoAssist: O. Boussaid
90+5'R. Mir INK. Galanopoulos out

Team Comparison

KalamataKalamata
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
1652Elo Rating 1616
1.81Attack 1.57
1.12Defense 1.09
54%Hit Rate 50%
11.3Shots per Game 13.3
4.9Shots on Target 4.0
2.2Corners per Game 5.8
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

KalamataKalamata
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

KalamataKalamata
8W1D1L
19/08/2026
KalamataPanetolikos
42
W
10/08/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
02
W
28/03/2026
KalamataIraklis 1908
10
W
21/03/2026
MarkoKalamata
00
D
15/03/2026
KalamataOlympiakos Piraeus II
10
W
07/03/2026
PanioniosKalamata
01
W
01/03/2026
KalamataMarko
20
W
21/02/2026
Olympiakos Piraeus IIKalamata
03
W
15/02/2026
KalamataPanionios
02
L
25/01/2026
Ellas SyrosKalamata
12
W
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
7W1D2L
17/08/2026
Anagennisi KarditsasAris Thessalonikis
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
L
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
W
17/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisLevadiakos
30
W
13/05/2026
Volos NFCAris Thessalonikis
12
W
10/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
31
W
03/05/2026
OFIAris Thessalonikis
02
W
18/04/2026
Aris ThessalonikisVolos NFC
32
W
05/04/2026
LevadiakosAris Thessalonikis
11
D
22/03/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
02
L

Referee Profile

S. Zampalas13 matches

5.17Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
33.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Zampalas5.17
Other referees5.36

5.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.36).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos1090122:5+1727WWWWL
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus1072116:5+1123DWWWW
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC962123:6+1720WLWWW
4PAOKPAOK1061319:13+619DWLWL
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis1061316:17-119WLWWW
6OFIOFI1052314:12+217DWWLL
7KifisiaKifisia1042415:15014WLWLW
8KalamataKalamata1033415:19-412DDLWW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19081024411:14-310LDLLW
10PanetolikosPanetolikos103078:20-129LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis101459:18-97DLDLW
12AtromitosAtromitos91359:12-36DWLLL
13LevadiakosLevadiakos101364:13-96LWDDL
14Volos NFCVolos NFC100377:19-120LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos1022:527
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus1016:523
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC923:620
4PAOKPAOK1019:1319
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis1016:1719
6OFIOFI1014:1217
7KifisiaKifisia1015:1514
8KalamataKalamata1015:1912
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19081011:1410
10PanetolikosPanetolikos108:209
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis109:187
12AtromitosAtromitos99:126
13LevadiakosLevadiakos104:136
14Volos NFCVolos NFC107:190
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, Aris Thessalonikis are 5th and Kalamata 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Kalamata 15-19, Aris Thessalonikis 16-17. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris Thessalonikis have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.