Kerry vs Longford Town Prediction

Kerry
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Longford Town
Mounthawk Park, Tralee 26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel31%SurpriseHighGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel23%SurpriseHighGap+6.1%
Kerry Rest
7 days
Longford Town Rest
7 days

Kerry vs Longford Town: the result in context

Kerry beat Longford Town 2-1 in the First Division on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.20
X
29%3.13
2
44%3.00
Double Chance
1X
56%1.31
X2
73%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.09
Over 3.5
18%3.74
Under 1.5
36%2.92
Under 2.5
62%1.67
Under 3.5
82%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'C. Brosnan INL. Palmer out
67'R. Perez INC. Bargary out
80'C. Murphy
83'A. Paraschiv
87'V. Borden
88'D. Okwute INA. Healy out
89'S. Adenekan INM. Canavan out
90'P. Manuel INS. Ugbesia out

Team Comparison

KerryKerry
Longford TownLongford Town
1448Elo Rating 1444
1.28Attack 1.20
2.11Defense 1.63
59%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

KerryKerry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Longford TownLongford Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KerryKerry4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Longford TownLongford Town4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division25/04/2026
Longford TownKerry
10
First Division27/02/2026
KerryLongford Town
11
First Division22/08/2025
KerryLongford Town
10
First Division12/07/2025
Longford TownKerry
31
First Division30/05/2025
KerryLongford Town
20
First Division15/03/2025
Longford TownKerry
32
First Division24/08/2024
Longford TownKerry
22
First Division13/06/2024
KerryLongford Town
21
First Division06/05/2024
Longford TownKerry
21
First Division05/04/2024
KerryLongford Town
30

Recent Form

KerryKerry
4W3D3L
19/06/2026
UCDKerry
01
W
12/06/2026
KerryAthlone Town
10
W
29/05/2026
Cobh RamblersKerry
20
L
22/05/2026
KerryBray Wanderers
22
D
15/05/2026
KerryWexford
21
W
08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
L
04/05/2026
KerryCork City
10
W
01/05/2026
Athlone TownKerry
00
D
25/04/2026
Longford TownKerry
10
L
17/04/2026
KerryTreaty United
11
D
Longford TownLongford Town
4W3D3L
19/06/2026
Bray WanderersLongford Town
52
L
13/06/2026
Longford TownCobh Ramblers
21
W
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
W
22/05/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
22
D
16/05/2026
Longford TownCork City
02
L
08/05/2026
WexfordLongford Town
12
W
04/05/2026
Longford TownAthlone Town
11
D
01/05/2026
UCDLongford Town
20
L
25/04/2026
Longford TownKerry
10
W
17/04/2026
Cobh RamblersLongford Town
00
D

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Kerry vs Longford Town forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First Division

More First Division fixtures and forecasts are on the First Division Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.