Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart Prediction

Lightwood Park 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Kingborough Lions Rest
7 days
South Hobart Rest
7 days

Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart: the result in context

Kingborough Lions and South Hobart drew 1-1 in the Tasmania NPL on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

South Hobart have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.25
X
28%4.00
2
51%1.80
Double Chance
1X
49%1.88
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.30
No
56%3.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.04
Over 2.5
39%1.24
Over 3.5
18%1.69
Under 1.5
37%7.10
Under 2.5
61%3.34
Under 3.5
82%2.02
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

56'N. Morton
67'S. Tebeje(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
South HobartSouth Hobart
1656Elo Rating 1736
2.66Attack 2.78
1.91Defense 1.33
54%Hit Rate 64%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
South HobartSouth Hobart
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
South HobartSouth Hobart8Wins · 80%
4.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

Tasmania NPL21/03/2026
South HobartKingborough Lions
51
Tasmania NPL26/07/2025
South HobartKingborough Lions
41
Tasmania NPL24/05/2025
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
23
Tasmania NPL15/03/2025
South HobartKingborough Lions
42
Tasmania NPL27/07/2024
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
14
Tasmania NPL25/05/2024
South HobartKingborough Lions
33
Tasmania NPL16/03/2024
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
13
Tasmania NPL30/07/2023
South HobartKingborough Lions
12
Tasmania NPL27/05/2023
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
23
Tasmania NPL18/03/2023
South HobartKingborough Lions
21

Recent Form

Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
8W0D2L
14/06/2026
South East Utd.Kingborough Lions
09
W
30/05/2026
RiversideKingborough Lions
03
W
23/05/2026
Clarence ZebrasKingborough Lions
04
W
09/05/2026
Launceston UnitedKingborough Lions
17
W
02/05/2026
Kingborough LionsLaunceston City
21
W
18/04/2026
Kingborough LionsGlenorchy Knights
31
W
11/04/2026
Kingborough LionsUlverstone
51
W
28/03/2026
Devonport CityKingborough Lions
10
L
21/03/2026
South HobartKingborough Lions
51
L
14/03/2026
Kingborough LionsSouth East Utd.
20
W
South HobartSouth Hobart
8W2D0L
13/06/2026
Clarence ZebrasSouth Hobart
13
W
30/05/2026
South HobartLaunceston United
41
W
23/05/2026
RiversideSouth Hobart
11
D
09/05/2026
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
18
W
02/05/2026
South HobartDevonport City
32
W
18/04/2026
UlverstoneSouth Hobart
06
W
12/04/2026
South HobartSouth East Utd.
60
D
27/03/2026
Glenorchy KnightsSouth Hobart
12
W
21/03/2026
South HobartKingborough Lions
51
W
15/03/2026
South HobartClarence Zebras
20
W

League Table

Tasmania NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South HobartSouth Hobart18152165:16+4947WWWWL
2Devonport CityDevonport City18141356:19+3743WWWLW
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions18141351:16+3543WWWWL
4Launceston CityLaunceston City18101740:36+431LLDWL
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1883730:29+127LWWLD
6RiversideRiverside1873831:33-224LLDLW
7South East Utd.South East Utd.18701126:51-2521WWWLW
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights18521123:33-1017WLWLD
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United18121517:61-445LLLLL
10UlverstoneUlverstone18111615:60-454LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1South HobartSouth Hobart1865:1647
2Devonport CityDevonport City1856:1943
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions1851:1643
4Launceston CityLaunceston City1840:3631
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1830:2927
6RiversideRiverside1831:3324
7South East Utd.South East Utd.1826:5121
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights1823:3317
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United1817:615
10UlverstoneUlverstone1815:604

About the Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart forecast

The forecasts for this Tasmania NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kingborough Lions and South Hobart in the Tasmania NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: South Hobart are 1st in the Tasmania NPL, 4 points ahead of Kingborough Lions in 3rd. League goal record so far: Kingborough Lions 51-16, South Hobart 65-16. The full standings are on the Tasmania NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kingborough Lions have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.