Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes Prediction

Leones de Rosario
1-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 4-2
Mercedes
26/10/2026
Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
1-0
After Penalties
MercedesMercedes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Leones de Rosario Rest
8 days
Mercedes Rest
8 days

Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes: the result in context

Leones de Rosario beat Mercedes on penalties (4-2) after a 1-0 draw in the Primera C on 26 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Mercedes had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Leones de Rosario.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.88
X
30%2.91
2
22%4.20
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
52%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%2.24
No
60%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 0.81 = 1.92
Over 1.5
60%1.52
Over 2.5
34%2.58
Over 3.5
17%5.10
Under 1.5
40%2.31
Under 2.5
66%1.41
Under 3.5
83%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

79'J. Vieyra(Penalty)

Penalty Shootout4 - 2

1(Penalty)
1(Penalty missed)
2(Penalty)
2(Penalty)
3(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty missed)
4(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
5(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
MercedesMercedes
1506Elo Rating 1485
1.26Attack 1.27
1.93Defense 2.54
42%Hit Rate 81%

Game State Tendencies

Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MercedesMercedes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MercedesMercedes1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Recent Form

Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
MercedesLeones de Rosario
21
L
12/10/2026
Leones de RosarioFénix
21
W
05/10/2026
Sportivo BarracasLeones de Rosario
02
W
28/09/2026
Leones de RosarioLujan
01
L
20/09/2026
General LamadridLeones de Rosario
11
D
12/09/2026
LuganoLeones de Rosario
00
D
04/09/2026
YupanquiLeones de Rosario
01
W
31/08/2026
Leones de RosarioAtletico Atlas
10
W
25/08/2026
Leones de RosarioDeportivo Muñiz
21
W
22/08/2026
CanuelasLeones de Rosario
10
L

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Final
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Deportivo Muñiz
Seeded
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Defensores Glew
Seeded
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Deportivo Muñiz
Seeded
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Defensores Glew
Seeded
Berazategui0
Lujan0
Argentino Rosario-
Defensores Glew-
31/10/2026
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Deportivo Muñiz
Seeded
Argentino Rosario
Seeded
Defensores Glew
Seeded

League Table

Primera C 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LujanLujan32197646:22+2464WWWWW
2CanuelasCanuelas321710543:22+2161WDWWW
3Deportivo EspañolDeportivo Español321216426:16+1052WDWWD
4Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario321312731:25+651WWLDD
5Central CordobaCentral Cordoba321310932:23+949LWWDW
6General LamadridGeneral Lamadrid32914923:27-441DLDDD
7Sportivo BarracasSportivo Barracas321171432:32040DLDLL
8El PorvenirEl Porvenir32816828:32-440WDLLW
9Central BallesterCentral Ballester321081429:34-538LLLDW
10Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas329101324:29-537LLDLL
11ClaypoleClaypole32991427:40-1336WDLWW
12YupanquiYupanqui328111333:36-335LLDLD
13FénixFénix328101424:32-834LWLWD
14Deportivo MuñizDeportivo Muñiz326111523:38-1529LWWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1LujanLujan3246:2264
2CanuelasCanuelas3243:2261
3Deportivo EspañolDeportivo Español3226:1652
4Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario3231:2551
5Central CordobaCentral Cordoba3232:2349
6General LamadridGeneral Lamadrid3223:2741
7Sportivo BarracasSportivo Barracas3232:3240
8El PorvenirEl Porvenir3228:3240
9Central BallesterCentral Ballester3229:3438
10Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas3224:2937
11ClaypoleClaypole3227:4036
12YupanquiYupanqui3233:3635
13FénixFénix3224:3234
14Deportivo MuñizDeportivo Muñiz3223:3829
PromotionRelegation

About the Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes forecast

As a knockout tie in the Primera C, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera C

More Primera C fixtures and forecasts are on the Primera C Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leones de Rosario and Mercedes have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.