Libertas vs Folgore Prediction

Libertas
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Folgore
25/10/2026
LibertasLibertas
1-2
Finished
FolgoreFolgore

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.15
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Libertas Rest
15 days
Folgore Rest
15 days

Libertas vs Folgore: the result in context

Folgore beat Libertas 2-1 in the Campionato on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Folgore had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Libertas.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.42
X
24%3.30
2
56%1.70
Double Chance
1X
44%1.91
X2
80%1.15
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

55'S. Pancotti
63'S. Pancotti(Penalty)
84'M. SocciarelliAssist: N. Greco

Team Comparison

LibertasLibertas
FolgoreFolgore
1408Elo Rating 1604
1.05Attack 2.67
1.64Defense 2.54
41%Hit Rate 100%

Game State Tendencies

LibertasLibertas
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
FolgoreFolgore
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LibertasLibertas2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
FolgoreFolgore5Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Coppa Titano09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
Campionato01/03/2026
LibertasFolgore
24
Campionato01/11/2025
FolgoreLibertas
61
Campionato19/04/2025
FolgoreLibertas
30
Campionato21/12/2024
LibertasFolgore
01
Campionato20/02/2024
FolgoreLibertas
11
Campionato28/10/2023
LibertasFolgore
22
Campionato21/01/2023
FolgoreLibertas
23
Campionato04/09/2022
LibertasFolgore
00
Campionato20/04/2022
FolgoreLibertas
03

Recent Form

LibertasLibertas
2W3D5L
09/10/2026
CailungoLibertas
12
W
18/09/2026
LibertasFaetano
11
D
12/09/2026
VirtusLibertas
20
L
09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
L
05/09/2026
LibertasJuvenes / Dogana
21
W
29/08/2026
CosmosLibertas
11
D
29/04/2026
Juvenes / DoganaLibertas
11
D
26/04/2026
LibertasVirtus
09
L
19/04/2026
LibertasTre Penne
13
L
12/04/2026
Tre FioriLibertas
30
L
FolgoreFolgore
9W0D1L
09/10/2026
PennarossaFolgore
15
W
19/09/2026
FolgoreSan Marino Academy
20
W
13/09/2026
Juvenes / DoganaFolgore
12
W
09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
W
05/09/2026
FolgoreCailungo
10
W
28/08/2026
FolgoreMurata
50
W
05/05/2026
FolgoreDomagnano
13
L
02/05/2026
DomagnanoFolgore
01
W
25/04/2026
DomagnanoFolgore
37
W
19/04/2026
FolgoreSan Marino Academy
30
W

League Table

Campionato 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VirtusVirtus651012:2+1016WWWWW
2Tre PenneTre Penne651011:2+916DWWWW
3FolgoreFolgore550015:2+1315WWWWW
4Tre FioriTre Fiori641115:5+1013DWLWW
5CosmosCosmos641114:4+1013WWWWL
6La FioritaLa Fiorita52307:3+49WWDDD
7FiorentinoFiorentino622211:6+58DWLDL
8LibertasLibertas52216:608WDLWD
9DomagnanoDomagnano62139:10-17DLLLW
10CailungoCailungo61146:8-24DLWLL
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni61146:13-74DLLWL
12MurataMurata61146:15-94DLLLW
13PennarossaPennarossa611410:23-134DLWLL
14Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana61056:8-23LLLLL
15San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy60241:14-132LLLDD
16FaetanoFaetano50231:15-142LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VirtusVirtus612:216
2Tre PenneTre Penne611:216
3FolgoreFolgore515:215
4Tre FioriTre Fiori615:513
5CosmosCosmos614:413
6La FioritaLa Fiorita57:39
7FiorentinoFiorentino611:68
8LibertasLibertas56:68
9DomagnanoDomagnano69:107
10CailungoCailungo66:84
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni66:134
12MurataMurata66:154
13PennarossaPennarossa610:234
14Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana66:83
15San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy61:142
16FaetanoFaetano51:152
Champions LeaguePromotion

About the Libertas vs Folgore forecast

The forecasts for this Campionato match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Libertas and Folgore in the Campionato table

In the Campionato table, Folgore are 3rd and Libertas 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Libertas 6-6, Folgore 15-2. The full standings are on the Campionato Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Folgore have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.