llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town Prediction

Stebonheath Park, Llanelli 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseHighGap-2.3%
llanelli AFC Rest
6 days
Carmarthen Town Rest
6 days

llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town: the result in context

llanelli AFC and Carmarthen Town drew 2-2 in the FAW Championship on 28 Aug 2026. Carmarthen Town had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for llanelli AFC.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%3.50
X
10%3.85
2
78%1.80
Double Chance
1X
22%1.84
X2
87%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.43
No
56%2.55
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
1228Elo Rating 1405
1.09Attack 1.75
0.00Defense 0.19
0%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

FAW Championship30/11/2024
Carmarthen Townllanelli AFC
11
FAW Championship16/08/2024
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
11
FAW Championship16/03/2024
Carmarthen Townllanelli AFC
01
FAW Championship18/08/2023
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
43
FAW Championship11/02/2023
Carmarthen Townllanelli AFC
13
FAW Championship04/11/2022
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
03
FAW Championship12/03/2022
Carmarthen Townllanelli AFC
31
FAW Championship20/08/2021
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
20
Premier League13/04/2019
Carmarthen Townllanelli AFC
31
Premier League15/02/2019
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
03

Recent Form

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC
1W2D7L
22/08/2026
Cardiff Draconiansllanelli AFC
42
L
15/08/2026
Swansea Universityllanelli AFC
30
L
07/08/2026
llanelli AFCTrethomas Bluebirds
11
D
31/07/2026
llanelli AFCNewport City
14
L
18/04/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCllanelli AFC
60
L
03/04/2026
llanelli AFCBala Town
05
L
28/03/2026
Flint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
12
W
20/03/2026
llanelli AFCCardiff MET
12
L
13/03/2026
llanelli AFCBriton Ferry
02
L
27/02/2026
Bala Townllanelli AFC
00
D
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
6W1D3L
22/08/2026
Carmarthen TownTreowen Stars
24
L
14/08/2026
Carmarthen TownAfan Lido
31
W
08/08/2026
Newport CityCarmarthen Town
12
W
01/08/2026
Carmarthen TownCaerau (Ely)
43
W
18/04/2026
Treowen StarsCarmarthen Town
41
L
04/04/2026
Carmarthen TownPontypridd Town
01
L
28/03/2026
Baglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
07
W
21/03/2026
Carmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
00
D
14/03/2026
Cardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
23
W
06/03/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsCarmarthen Town
45
W

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1383235:22+1327WWDDW
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1181228:10+1825WWLWD
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1273236:18+1824LWLDW
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1371524:23+122LWLWW
5Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1362525:25020WDWLL
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1362514:14020WLDWL
7Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1154220:13+719LWWWD
8Afan LidoAfan Lido1453624:26-218WLWDL
9Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1345426:23+317DLWWL
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1343624:30-615LLLDL
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1142520:21-114DWDWW
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1342717:24-714LLWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1134421:17+413DWDLD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1133514:19-512LWLDD
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1233614:26-1212DLWDL
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC14031112:43-313DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1335:2227
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1128:1025
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1236:1824
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1324:2322
5Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1325:2520
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1314:1420
7Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1120:1319
8Afan LidoAfan Lido1424:2618
9Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1326:2317
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1324:3015
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1120:2114
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1317:2414
13Newport CityNewport City1121:1713
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1114:1912
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1214:2612
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1412:433

About the llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town forecast

The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

llanelli AFC and Carmarthen Town in the FAW Championship table

In the FAW Championship table, Carmarthen Town are 10th and llanelli AFC 16th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: llanelli AFC 12-43, Carmarthen Town 24-30. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Carmarthen Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.