Lugano II vs Cham Prediction

1. Liga PromotionSwitzerland Switzerland · Regular Season - 9
Lugano II
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cham
26/09/2026
Lugano IILugano II
0-1
Finished
ChamCham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-9.7%
Lugano II Rest
7 days
Cham Rest
7 days

Lugano II vs Cham: the result in context

Cham beat Lugano II 1-0 in the 1. Liga Promotion on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cham have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.60
X
24%3.96
2
51%1.73
Double Chance
1X
50%1.92
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

60'J. Facal

Team Comparison

Lugano IILugano II
ChamCham
1384Elo Rating 1525
1.22Attack 1.81
0.32Defense 1.41
19%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

Lugano IILugano II
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ChamCham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Lugano IILugano II2Wins · 33%
Draws00%
ChamCham4Wins · 67%
4.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

1. Liga Promotion14/02/2026
Lugano IICham
03
1. Liga Promotion02/08/2025
ChamLugano II
60
1. Liga Promotion09/04/2025
ChamLugano II
10
1. Liga Promotion05/10/2024
Lugano IICham
31
1. Liga Promotion30/03/2024
Lugano IICham
32
1. Liga Promotion23/09/2023
ChamLugano II
51

Recent Form

Lugano IILugano II
3W2D5L
19/09/2026
FC SchaffhausenLugano II
21
L
13/09/2026
Lugano IIBasel II
30
W
05/09/2026
Amical Saint-PrexLugano II
10
L
29/08/2026
Lugano IIBavois
32
W
23/08/2026
Biel-BienneLugano II
52
L
15/08/2026
Lugano IILuzern II
43
W
09/08/2026
Young Boys IILugano II
31
L
02/08/2026
Lugano IIBulle
14
L
30/05/2026
KreuzlingenLugano II
11
D
23/05/2026
Lugano IILausanne Sport II
22
D
ChamCham
6W1D3L
19/09/2026
ChamBrühl
21
W
12/09/2026
YF JuventusCham
20
L
05/09/2026
ChamZürich II
40
W
29/08/2026
ChamBellinzona
11
D
22/08/2026
ChamGrand-Saconnex
21
W
19/08/2026
KreuzlingenCham
12
W
16/08/2026
ChamSC Kriens
20
W
08/08/2026
ChamParadiso
02
L
01/08/2026
ChamBreitenrain
21
W
17/07/2026
RapperswilCham
31
L

League Table

1. Liga Promotion 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BulleBulle15103234:20+1433WWWWD
2FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen14102235:17+1832DWWWW
3Biel-BienneBiel-Bienne1594233:19+1431WLDDD
4ChamCham1593330:19+1130WWDDW
5ParadisoParadiso1574428:19+925LDWDD
6Grand-SaconnexGrand-Saconnex1580728:25+324LWLLL
7BrühlBrühl1572620:19+123WWWLW
8YF JuventusYF Juventus1571725:23+222WLWLW
9Zürich IIZürich II1563629:28+121LWLWD
10BreitenrainBreitenrain1563622:22021LWLWD
11Basel IIBasel II1562726:28-220DLLWD
12Amical Saint-PrexAmical Saint-Prex1561818:31-1319LLWLW
13Young Boys IIYoung Boys II1553732:38-618WLWDL
14KreuzlingenKreuzlingen1543823:29-615LLLLW
15Luzern IILuzern II1542926:34-814WWDLL
16Lugano IILugano II15411022:39-1713LLDWL
17BavoisBavois1432916:20-411WLLLL
18BellinzonaBellinzona15231012:29-179LLDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1BulleBulle1534:2033
2FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen1435:1732
3Biel-BienneBiel-Bienne1533:1931
4ChamCham1530:1930
5ParadisoParadiso1528:1925
6Grand-SaconnexGrand-Saconnex1528:2524
7BrühlBrühl1520:1923
8YF JuventusYF Juventus1525:2322
9Zürich IIZürich II1529:2821
10BreitenrainBreitenrain1522:2221
11Basel IIBasel II1526:2820
12Amical Saint-PrexAmical Saint-Prex1518:3119
13Young Boys IIYoung Boys II1532:3818
14KreuzlingenKreuzlingen1523:2915
15Luzern IILuzern II1526:3414
16Lugano IILugano II1522:3913
17BavoisBavois1416:2011
18BellinzonaBellinzona1512:299
PromotionRelegation

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About the Lugano II vs Cham forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga Promotion match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lugano II and Cham in the 1. Liga Promotion table

The table shows a wide gap: Cham are 4th in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Lugano II sit 16th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Lugano II 22-39, Cham 30-19. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Promotion Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.