Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds Prediction

11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Maitland Rest
20 days
Adamstown Rosebuds Rest
14 days

Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds: the result in context

Maitland beat Adamstown Rosebuds 3-1 in the Northern NSW NPL on 11 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Maitland had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

Maitland have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 5.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.73
X
28%4.00
2
19%3.60
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
47%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.33
No
56%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.05
Over 2.5
38%1.31
Over 3.5
20%1.85
Under 1.5
37%6.40
Under 2.5
62%2.97
Under 3.5
80%1.84
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'
57'
64'
85'

Team Comparison

MaitlandMaitland
Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds
1582Elo Rating 1440
0.90Attack 2.13
2.13Defense 0.57
56%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+142 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MaitlandMaitland
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MaitlandMaitland7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds1Wins · 10%
5.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Northern NSW NPL11/04/2026
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
25
Northern NSW NPL31/05/2025
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
31
Northern NSW NPL28/02/2025
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
11
Northern NSW NPL22/06/2024
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
27
Northern NSW NPL23/03/2024
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
11
Northern NSW NPL13/08/2023
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
10
Northern NSW NPL13/05/2023
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
50
Northern NSW NPL13/07/2022
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
35
Northern NSW NPL05/04/2022
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
60
Northern NSW NPL31/07/2021
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
42

Recent Form

MaitlandMaitland
6W1D3L
21/06/2026
MaitlandHamilton Olympic
10
W
13/06/2026
MaitlandValentine
10
W
30/05/2026
MaitlandBelmont Swansea
21
W
23/05/2026
Weston BearsMaitland
01
W
15/05/2026
MaitlandCooks Hill United
13
L
09/05/2026
Edgeworth EaglesMaitland
31
L
02/05/2026
MaitlandCharlestown City Blues
23
L
24/04/2026
Broadmeadow MagicMaitland
22
D
18/04/2026
MaitlandLambton Jaffas
21
W
11/04/2026
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
25
W
Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds
3W2D5L
27/06/2026
Edgeworth EaglesAdamstown Rosebuds
32
L
24/06/2026
KahibahAdamstown Rosebuds
12
W
20/06/2026
Lambton JaffasAdamstown Rosebuds
11
D
13/06/2026
Adamstown RosebudsBroadmeadow Magic
15
L
30/05/2026
Adamstown RosebudsHamilton Olympic
20
W
16/05/2026
Adamstown RosebudsCharlestown City Blues
20
W
09/05/2026
Adamstown RosebudsBelmont Swansea
22
D
02/05/2026
Cooks Hill UnitedAdamstown Rosebuds
31
L
29/04/2026
Adamstown RosebudsLambton Jaffas
12
L
25/04/2026
Adamstown RosebudsWeston Bears
02
L

League Table

Northern NSW NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Broadmeadow MagicBroadmeadow Magic22154359:23+3649WLWWW
2MaitlandMaitland22133640:32+842WWWLW
3Weston BearsWeston Bears22125548:33+1541DWDWW
4Edgeworth EaglesEdgeworth Eagles22116541:31+1039LWDWW
5Belmont SwanseaBelmont Swansea22105747:44+335LWLLL
6Cooks Hill UnitedCooks Hill United2296743:36+733WDLWW
7ValentineValentine22751022:39-1726DWLWW
8Lambton JaffasLambton Jaffas22741138:33+525WLLLL
9Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds22661034:45-1124WLDWL
10Hamilton OlympicHamilton Olympic22561139:40-121LLLWL
11KahibahKahibah22621435:53-1820LLWWL
12Charlestown City BluesCharlestown City Blues22421625:62-3714LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Broadmeadow MagicBroadmeadow Magic2259:2349
2MaitlandMaitland2240:3242
3Weston BearsWeston Bears2248:3341
4Edgeworth EaglesEdgeworth Eagles2241:3139
5Belmont SwanseaBelmont Swansea2247:4435
6Cooks Hill UnitedCooks Hill United2243:3633
7ValentineValentine2222:3926
8Lambton JaffasLambton Jaffas2238:3325
9Adamstown RosebudsAdamstown Rosebuds2234:4524
10Hamilton OlympicHamilton Olympic2239:4021
11KahibahKahibah2235:5320
12Charlestown City BluesCharlestown City Blues2225:6214

About the Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds forecast

The forecasts for this Northern NSW NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Maitland and Adamstown Rosebuds in the Northern NSW NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: Maitland are 2nd in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds sit 9th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Maitland 40-32, Adamstown Rosebuds 34-45. The full standings are on the Northern NSW NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.