Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction

Malawi
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
South Sudan
Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe·Vincent Kabore 25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
54%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-7.7%
Malawi Rest
108 days
South Sudan Rest
180 days

Malawi vs South Sudan: result, form and history

Malawi beat South Sudan 2-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.62
X
30%3.35
2
16%5.52
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
46%2.15
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Adepoju adebare babatunde
28'M. AlbanoFoul
45'chifundo mphasi INWisdom Mpinganjira out
48'joseph stephen dhata
54'Jamu Akou Arum Iluya INValentino Kuach Yuel out
54'Paul Jawa INKeer Mangar Majak out
64'lloyd njaliwa
74'Patrick Mwaungulu INFrancisco Madinga out
76'Francisco MadingaFoul
77'Adepoju adebare babatunde INE. Kondowe out
80'M. Albano INJackson Dwang out
81'Peter Chan INJ. Malish out
84'R. AngierFoul
87'B. Singini INYankho Singo out
87'Gaddie Chirwa INAdielo Kaduya out
90+1'joseph stephen dhataFoul

Lineups

Malawi
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Pasuwa
South Sudan
4-4-2Coach: C. Nsengi-Biembe
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.09
1616W. Kilipota Thole
22M. Lameck
C. Petro6.63C. Petro
55C. Denis
2222E. Nyirenda
88l. njaliwa
66B. Singini
1717G. Chirwa
1313P. Mwaungulu
1111c. mphasi
1414A. adebare babatunde
2323M. Mawith
33G. Atendele
1414R. Angier
22B. Laku Lotelek
1313B. Bakassoro
2020j. stephen dhata
55P. Chan
88W. Emmanuel Kundu Gama
1717P. Jawa
1212J. Akou Arum Iluya
1515M. Albano

Malawi Substitutes

21Festus Duwe
19Adielo Kaduya87'replaced by Gaddie Chirwa
18Blessings Kanowa
9Washali Jaziya
15Gomezgani Chirwa
1G. Chokooka
24E. Kondowe77'replaced by Adepoju adebare babatunde
10Francisco Madinga74'replaced by Patrick Mwaungulu76'
20M. Malango
7Wisdom Mpinganjira45'replaced by chifundo mphasi
4B. Mpokera
12Yankho Singo87'replaced by B. Singini

South Sudan Substitutes

21John Juluk Manyang
18Keer Mangar Majak54'replaced by Paul Jawa
6J. Malish81'replaced by Peter Chan
4Peter Maker Manyang
1Dario Kunyu Salah
7Valentino Kuach Yuel54'replaced by Jamu Akou Arum Iluya6.3
10J. Dwang80'replaced by M. Albano6.0
16Godwill Yogusuk Simon Sabio
11C. Yelchan
9Patrick Oleyo Jimmy Valentino

Match Stats

MalawiSouth Sudan
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots0
3Shots on Goal0
2Shots off Goal0
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

MalawiMalawi
South SudanSouth Sudan
1379Elo Rating 1315
1.45Attack 0.23
1.13Defense 0.37
39%Hit Rate 0%
5.5Shots per Game 6.5
2.5Shots on Target 0.5
2.0Corners per Game 1.6
1.0Cards per Game 2.5

Game State Tendencies

MalawiMalawi
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
South SudanSouth Sudan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MalawiMalawi2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
South SudanSouth Sudan0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification24/03/2021
South SudanMalawi
01
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification13/11/2019
MalawiSouth Sudan
10

Recent Form

MalawiMalawi
3W2D5L
09/06/2026
EthiopiaMalawi
11
D
06/06/2026
EthiopiaMalawi
10
L
13/10/2025
Sao Tome and PrincipeMalawi
10
L
09/10/2025
MalawiEquatorial Guinea
30
W
08/09/2025
MalawiLiberia
22
D
05/09/2025
NamibiaMalawi
12
W
11/05/2025
South AfricaMalawi
20
L
03/05/2025
MalawiSouth Africa
10
W
24/03/2025
TunisiaMalawi
20
L
20/03/2025
MalawiNamibia
01
L
South SudanSouth Sudan
2W3D5L
29/03/2026
South SudanDjibouti
01
L
26/03/2026
DjiboutiSouth Sudan
04
W
13/10/2025
South SudanTogo
00
D
10/10/2025
South SudanSenegal
05
L
09/09/2025
MauritaniaSouth Sudan
00
D
05/09/2025
South SudanCongo DR
14
L
25/03/2025
SudanSouth Sudan
11
D
21/03/2025
Congo DRSouth Sudan
10
L
28/12/2024
RwandaSouth Sudan
21
L
22/12/2024
South SudanRwanda
32
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EgyptEgypt21105:0+54WD
2AngolaAngola21103:1+24WD
3MalawiMalawi21013:4-13LW
4South SudanSouth Sudan20021:7-60LW
#TeamMPGPts
1EgyptEgypt25:04
2AngolaAngola23:14
3MalawiMalawi23:43
4South SudanSouth Sudan21:70
Promotion

About the Malawi vs South Sudan forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Malawi and South Sudan have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.