Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Mallorca
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
AD Ceuta FC
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca·Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
Mallorca Rest
5 days
AD Ceuta FC Rest
8 days

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC: result, form and history

Mallorca beat AD Ceuta FC 3-0 in the Segunda División on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.42
X
18%4.50
2
2%6.93
Double Chance
1X
98%1.09
X2
20%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.84
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.7 = 2.42
Over 1.5
71%1.22
Over 2.5
48%1.68
Over 3.5
24%2.70
Under 1.5
29%4.15
Under 2.5
52%2.15
Under 3.5
76%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.92
Over 10.5
39%2.39
Under 8.5
39%2.31
Under 9.5
50%1.82
Under 10.5
61%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
59%1.36
Over 4.5
37%1.67
Under 3.5
41%3.00
Under 4.5
63%2.15

Match Events

8'Anuar INA. Petxa out
18'A. MelendezFoul
20'A. Sala
50'A. FuentesAssist: Z. Luvumbo
55'J. Cerda INA. Roca out
64'M. Morlanes INA. Sanchez out
64'A. Fuentes INA. Buksa out
64'Z. Luvumbo INA. Liso out
67'A. SalaFoul
72'C. Teguia INA. Betancourt out
72'J. Escobar INA. Osoro out
75'A. RocaFoul
78'A. LapenaFoul
84'T. Lato INA. Soumahoro out
87'Y. BodigerDiving
88'A. Camacho INMatos Jose out
88'Y. Bodiger INA. R. Gonzalez out
89'A. BuksaAssist: A. Sala

Lineups

Mallorca
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Garcia
AD Ceuta FC
5-4-1Coach: Jose Romero
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.23
Arnau Tenas6.91A. Tenas
Miguel Calatayud6.934M. Calatayud
Martin Valjent7.224M. Valjent
Antonio RaílloC7.221A. Raíllo
Toni Lato7.63T. Lato
Alex Sala8.97A. Sala
Manu Morlanes7.38M. Morlanes
Zito Luvumbo7.211Z. Luvumbo
Pablo Torre6.620P. Torre
Josep Cerdà6.919J. Cerdà
Adrian Fuentes7.318A. Fuentes
Guillermo Vallejo6.213G. Vallejo
Alejandro Camacho6.27A. Camacho
Anuar6.323Anuar
Carlos HernándezC6.36C. Hernández
Adrián Lapeña5.95A. Lapeña
Redru5.616Redru
Yann Bodiger6.314Y. Bodiger
Alejandro Meléndez6.720A. Meléndez
Kuki Zalazar6.38K. Zalazar
Cedric Teguia6.511C. Teguia
Jordi Escobar6.29J. Escobar

Mallorca Substitutes

23Antoniu Roca55'for J. Cerda75'6.6
6Antonio Sánchez64'for M. Morlanes6.3
16Adam Buksa64'for A. Fuentes89'7.3
33Adrian Liso64'for Z. Luvumbo6.9
13Lucas Bergström
25Iván Cuéllar
4David López
22Aboubaka Soumahoro84'for T. Lato
29Luis Orejuela
10Sergi Darder
39Jandro García
36Aimar Peñalver

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

18Álex Petxarroman8'for Anuar5.7
32Gabriel Okoro72'for J. Escobar6.3
26Arick Alejandro Betancourt Perez72'for C. Teguia6.7
1Pedro López
34Daniel Mas Soria
4Albert Caparrós
3Jose Matos88'replaced by A. Camacho
10Marino Illescas
31Adrián Romero88'for Y. Bodiger
17Mawuli Mensah

Match Stats

MallorcaAD Ceuta FC
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
480Total Passes431
435Passes Accurate368
91%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

MallorcaMallorca
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
1735Elo Rating 1472
2.05Attack 0.47
1.46Defense 0.80
37%Hit Rate 17%
15.9Shots per Game 15.2
5.5Shots on Target 4.0
7.4Corners per Game 6.7
2.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+263 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MallorcaMallorca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • No tendency data available

Recent Form

MallorcaMallorca
5W2D3L
24/08/2026
Granada CFMallorca
20
L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
W
08/08/2026
MallorcaSV Elversberg
11
D
05/08/2026
MallorcaParis Saint Germain
30
W
30/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Ittihad FC
42
W
25/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Fateh
30
W
23/05/2026
MallorcaOviedo
30
W
17/05/2026
LevanteMallorca
20
L
13/05/2026
GetafeMallorca
31
L
10/05/2026
MallorcaVillarreal
11
D
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
L
15/08/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
51
L
07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
21
W
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
W
26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
21
L
30/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete
10
W
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
W
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
L
09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
11
D
03/05/2026
Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
12
W

Referee Profile

Abraham Dominguez Cervantes3 matches analysed

4.51Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 57% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria14102226:11+1532WWDDW
2CastellónCastellón1393124:5+1930WDWWL
3GironaGirona1473424:13+1124WLLWW
4BurgosBurgos1473420:17+324LWDWW
5MallorcaMallorca1365218:10+823DWDDW
6EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
7Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1472516:17-123DLWLW
9OviedoOviedo1463520:18+221LWLDW
10CordobaCordoba1462625:25020DWDWW
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1362519:21-220WWWLL
12ValladolidValladolid1453622:21+118LWWLL
13SabadellSabadell1346312:11+118DLDLW
14TenerifeTenerife1346317:17018WDDDD
15LeganesLeganes1443714:24-1015WLLDL
16EldenseEldense1342713:19-614LLLWW
17Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1334619:25-613LDLDW
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1434717:24-713DDWLL
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1332818:24-611LDLLW
20CadizCadiz1324716:18-210LLWLL
21AlbaceteAlbacete1331913:24-1110WWWLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC14121110:32-225LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1426:1132
2CastellónCastellón1324:530
3GironaGirona1424:1324
4BurgosBurgos1420:1724
5MallorcaMallorca1318:1023
6EibarEibar1221:1423
7Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1416:1723
9OviedoOviedo1420:1821
10CordobaCordoba1425:2520
11Las PalmasLas Palmas1319:2120
12ValladolidValladolid1422:2118
13SabadellSabadell1312:1118
14TenerifeTenerife1317:1718
15LeganesLeganes1414:2415
16EldenseEldense1313:1914
17Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1319:2513
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1417:2413
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1318:2411
20CadizCadiz1316:1810
21AlbaceteAlbacete1313:2410
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1410:325
PromotionRelegation

About the Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Mallorca are 5th and AD Ceuta FC 22nd, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Mallorca 18-10, AD Ceuta FC 10-32. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.