Maribor vs Mura Prediction

Maribor
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Mura
Ljudski vrt, Maribor·A. Matkovic 06/09/2026
MariborMaribor
1-1
Finished
MuraMura

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Maribor Rest
6 days
Mura Rest
7 days

Maribor vs Mura: the result in context

Maribor and Mura drew 1-1 in the 1. SNL on 6 Sep 2026. Maribor had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Mura.

Maribor have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.40
X
19%4.40
2
9%6.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.07
X2
28%2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.61 + 0.85 = 3.46
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
66%1.60
Over 3.5
39%2.45
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
34%2.24
Under 3.5
61%1.48
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'I. TshipambaAssist: T. Cipot
35'K. Kurtovic
44'N. KasaloAssist: K. Kurtovic
46'Z. Petrovic INF. Sana out
50'B. Mbondo
54'T. Cipot
55'A. Zalaznik
61'N. Viher INN. Osterc out
61'Z. Repas INJ. Mlakar out
64'N. Kouter
73'N. Kasalo INS. Butic out
73'V. Koderman INB. Feta out
73'Z. Jevsenak INJ. Seri out
79'K. Kurtovic INR. Caks out
82'L. Zahovic IND. Vizinger out
90'Z. Karnicnik
90'A. Korosec INI. Jelic out

Team Comparison

MariborMaribor
MuraMura
1622Elo Rating 1427
1.14Attack 0.99
1.40Defense 1.30
34%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.47 goals

Game State Tendencies

MariborMaribor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MuraMura
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MariborMaribor8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
MuraMura1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

1. SNL17/05/2026
MuraMaribor
21
1. SNL14/03/2026
MariborMura
30
1. SNL29/11/2025
MuraMaribor
01
1. SNL13/09/2025
MariborMura
10
1. SNL21/04/2025
MuraMaribor
12
1. SNL22/02/2025
MariborMura
20
1. SNL26/10/2024
MuraMaribor
11
1. SNL11/08/2024
MariborMura
21
1. SNL09/04/2024
MariborMura
50
1. SNL18/02/2024
MuraMaribor
02

Recent Form

MariborMaribor
4W6D0L
30/08/2026
NaftaMaribor
23
W
23/08/2026
MariborBravo
31
W
15/08/2026
Olimpija LjubljanaMaribor
11
D
09/08/2026
MariborKoper
20
W
01/08/2026
CeljeMaribor
11
D
25/07/2026
MariborBrinje-Grosuplje
30
W
19/07/2026
AluminijMaribor
00
D
10/07/2026
MariborCharlton
11
D
04/07/2026
MariborŽelezničar Pančevo
11
D
01/07/2026
CSKA 1948Maribor
33
D
MuraMura
2W2D6L
29/08/2026
BravoMura
20
L
22/08/2026
MuraKoper
01
L
16/08/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeMura
12
W
10/08/2026
MuraRadomlje
13
L
01/08/2026
NaftaMura
52
L
25/07/2026
MuraOlimpija Ljubljana
10
W
17/07/2026
CeljeMura
22
D
05/07/2026
BeltinciMura
41
L
04/07/2026
MuraFC Noah
11
D
26/06/2026
Sturm GrazMura
50
L

League Table

1. SNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KoperKoper1374223:11+1225WWDWL
2MariborMaribor1466221:14+724LLDWD
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1464416:12+422WDWDL
4CeljeCelje1355317:12+520WDDWD
5BravoBravo1355314:13+120DDLWW
6NaftaNafta1453618:20-218LDDWL
7AluminijAluminij1445521:13+817WDLLD
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1434715:25-1013DDLLW
9MuraMura1427514:25-1113DDDDD
10RadomljeRadomlje1315715:29-148LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1KoperKoper1323:1125
2MariborMaribor1421:1424
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1416:1222
4CeljeCelje1317:1220
5BravoBravo1314:1320
6NaftaNafta1418:2018
7AluminijAluminij1421:1317
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1415:2513
9MuraMura1414:2513
10RadomljeRadomlje1315:298
Relegation

About the Maribor vs Mura forecast

The forecasts for this 1. SNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maribor and Mura in the 1. SNL table

The table shows a wide gap: Maribor are 2nd in the 1. SNL, while Mura sit 9th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Maribor 21-14, Mura 14-25. The full standings are on the 1. SNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.