Maringá vs Ferroviária Prediction

Maringá
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Ferroviária
17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-11.6%
Maringá Rest
7 days
Ferroviária Rest
6 days

Maringá vs Ferroviária: the result in context

Maringá and Ferroviária drew 1-1 in the Serie C on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.05
X
33%3.04
2
30%3.43
Double Chance
1X
70%1.22
X2
63%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.87
No
55%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.79 = 1.92
Over 1.5
63%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.15
Over 3.5
20%3.82
Under 1.5
37%2.75
Under 2.5
62%1.62
Under 3.5
80%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'Adeilson
45+4'Ivan Campanari
61'Jhow Alecxander INGabriel Souza out
62'Maranhao INDenilson Chaves out
62'Juninho INM. Thiago out
71'Ronald CamaraoAssist: Lucas Bonifacio
76'Vitor Barreto INFau out
76'Ricardinho INSchilling Arthur out
77'Serginho
77'Serginho INIago Santana out
78'Caique Calito INRai Natalino out
80'Iago Santana
81'Rhuan INAlan Stence out
88'Ronald Camarao INGuilherme Pira out
90+1'Edison Negueba
90+2'

Team Comparison

MaringáMaringá
FerroviáriaFerroviária
1599Elo Rating 1565
1.32Attack 1.03
2.34Defense 1.93
46%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MaringáMaringá
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FerroviáriaFerroviária
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MaringáMaringá2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
FerroviáriaFerroviária0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie C05/04/2026
MaringáFerroviária
32
Serie D15/07/2023
FerroviáriaMaringá
12
Serie D14/05/2023
MaringáFerroviária
00

Recent Form

MaringáMaringá
5W3D2L
10/10/2026
MaringáFloresta
20
W
03/10/2026
Santa CruzMaringá
11
D
26/09/2026
Botafogo PBMaringá
00
D
19/09/2026
MaringáBotafogo PB
20
W
13/09/2026
MaringáSanta Cruz
01
L
06/09/2026
FlorestaMaringá
01
W
29/08/2026
PaysanduMaringá
01
W
23/08/2026
MaringáBarra
21
W
16/08/2026
ConfiançaMaringá
11
D
09/08/2026
MaringáAmazonas
03
L
FerroviáriaFerroviária
5W3D2L
11/10/2026
FerroviáriaInter De Limeira
20
W
04/10/2026
PaysanduFerroviária
10
L
27/09/2026
BrusqueFerroviária
11
D
20/09/2026
FerroviáriaBrusque
32
W
13/09/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
10
W
05/09/2026
Inter De LimeiraFerroviária
33
D
29/08/2026
FerroviáriaConfiança
10
W
23/08/2026
Ypiranga-RSFerroviária
10
L
18/08/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
40
W
08/08/2026
FigueirenseFerroviária
22
D

Bracket

Final

League Table

Serie C 2026

First stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013

Second stage - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FerroviáriaFerroviária632110:7+311DWDDL
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira614111:1107LWDDW
3BrusqueBrusque614110:1007WDWWD
4PaysanduPaysandu61235:8-35WWWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FerroviáriaFerroviária610:711
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira611:117
3BrusqueBrusque610:107
4PaysanduPaysandu65:85

Second stage - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MaringáMaringá63216:2+411LWLLW
2Santa CruzSanta Cruz63215:3+211WLLLD
3FlorestaFloresta61233:6-35DLWDD
4Botafogo PBBotafogo PB61232:5-35LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1MaringáMaringá66:211
2Santa CruzSanta Cruz65:311
3FlorestaFloresta63:65
4Botafogo PBBotafogo PB62:55
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About the Maringá vs Ferroviária forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie C, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maringá and Ferroviária in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Maringá (4th) and Ferroviária (3rd) are level on 30 points. League goal record so far: Maringá 32-30, Ferroviária 22-15. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.