Marquense vs Malacateco Prediction

Marquense
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Malacateco
Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Marquense Rest
7 days
Malacateco Rest
5 days

Marquense vs Malacateco: the result in context

Marquense beat Malacateco 1-0 in the Liga Nacional on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.98
X
29%3.20
2
28%3.50
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
58%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'A. Soto
8'D. Chuc
27'Y. Hernandez
59'A. Soto INF. Morales out
59'G. Vasquez INF. Quinteros out
59'J. Ochoa INN. Andrade out
62'G. A. Ramirez K. INA. Matta out
62'I. de Leon INH. Cummings out
65'O. Linton
72'J. Castanon INJ. Correa out
72'E. Vasquez INL. B. de out
72'Y. Hernandez INJ. Cano out
87'E. Sanchez INC. Lopez out
88'F. Quinteros

Team Comparison

MarquenseMarquense
MalacatecoMalacateco
1523Elo Rating 1484
1.44Attack 0.89
2.14Defense 2.07
58%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

MarquenseMarquense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
MalacatecoMalacateco
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

MarquenseMarquense3Wins · 38%
Draws112%
MalacatecoMalacateco4Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga Nacional08/03/2026
MarquenseMalacateco
10
Liga Nacional22/01/2026
MalacatecoMarquense
21
Liga Nacional02/11/2025
MalacatecoMarquense
21
Liga Nacional25/08/2025
MarquenseMalacateco
41
Liga Nacional27/04/2025
MarquenseMalacateco
20
Liga Nacional02/03/2025
MalacatecoMarquense
10
Liga Nacional24/11/2024
MalacatecoMarquense
40
Liga Nacional01/09/2024
MarquenseMalacateco
22

Recent Form

MarquenseMarquense
4W1D5L
19/09/2026
AuroraMarquense
10
L
13/09/2026
MarquenseDeportivo San Pedro
00
D
10/09/2026
ComunicacionesMarquense
02
W
06/09/2026
MarquenseXelajú
04
L
29/08/2026
GuastatoyaMarquense
12
W
24/08/2026
MarquenseCobán Imperial
21
W
17/08/2026
SuchitepéquezMarquense
12
W
08/08/2026
MixcoMarquense
10
L
03/08/2026
MarquenseMunicipal
12
L
25/07/2026
Antigua GFCMarquense
31
L
MalacatecoMalacateco
3W3D4L
21/09/2026
MalacatecoMixco
10
W
14/09/2026
MunicipalMalacateco
22
D
11/09/2026
MalacatecoAntigua GFC
02
L
06/09/2026
MalacatecoSuchitepéquez
20
W
31/08/2026
AuroraMalacateco
10
L
24/08/2026
MalacatecoDeportivo San Pedro
20
W
16/08/2026
ComunicacionesMalacateco
42
L
08/08/2026
MalacatecoXelajú
22
D
02/08/2026
GuastatoyaMalacateco
40
L
26/07/2026
MalacatecoCobán Imperial
11
D

About the Marquense vs Malacateco forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Nacional

More Liga Nacional fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Nacional Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.