Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar Prediction

Mbeya City
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Kagera Sugar
Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Mbeya City Rest
27 days
Kagera Sugar Rest
25 days

Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar: result, form and history

Kagera Sugar beat Mbeya City 3-1 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 9 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Mbeya City had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Kagera Sugar.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.84
X
27%3.04
2
21%3.95
Double Chance
1X
79%1.22
X2
48%1.75
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+3'E. Mvuyekule
45+8'
61'M. Said
76'

Team Comparison

Mbeya CityMbeya City
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
1452Elo Rating 1408
0.78Attack 0.98
1.38Defense 1.86
14%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Mbeya CityMbeya City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Mbeya CityMbeya City1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar2Wins · 33%
1.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligi kuu Bara23/04/2023
Kagera SugarMbeya City
10
Ligi kuu Bara17/11/2022
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
22
Ligi kuu Bara12/03/2022
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
01
Ligi kuu Bara16/10/2021
Kagera SugarMbeya City
00
Ligi kuu Bara08/04/2021
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
00
Ligi kuu Bara24/10/2020
Kagera SugarMbeya City
12

Recent Form

Mbeya CityMbeya City
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
Polisi TanzaniaMbeya City
20
L
04/09/2026
Tabora UnitedMbeya City
00
D
28/08/2026
Fountain GateMbeya City
02
W
23/08/2026
Mbeya CityMashujaa
21
W
19/08/2026
Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji
20
W
14/08/2026
Mbeya CityGeita Gold
01
L
08/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
00
D
05/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
02
W
30/06/2026
Mbeya CityTabora United
00
D
27/06/2026
Dodoma JijiMbeya City
11
D
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
0W3D7L
13/09/2026
Kagera SugarFountain Gate
11
D
31/08/2026
Kagera SugarAzam
02
L
27/08/2026
MashujaaKagera Sugar
21
L
22/08/2026
Geita GoldKagera Sugar
62
L
19/08/2026
Kagera SugarSingida Black Stars
11
D
16/08/2026
Kagera SugarSimba
02
L
22/06/2025
SimbaKagera Sugar
10
L
18/06/2025
NamungoKagera Sugar
00
D
12/05/2025
Kagera SugarMashujaa
01
L
19/04/2025
Kagera SugarAzam
24
L

League Table

Ligi kuu Bara 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SimbaSimba880019:4+1524WWWWW
2Young AfricansYoung Africans861117:4+1319DLWWW
3AzamAzam852113:7+617WLWWD
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania951312:12016WWWLW
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji84228:5+314WDWWW
6Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania933312:11+112DDLWL
7NamungoNamungo94059:12-312WWLLL
8MashujaaMashujaa84049:13-412LWWLW
9Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars832314:11+311LDLWW
10Mbeya CityMbeya City83148:9-110LLLDW
11Coastal UnionCoastal Union93158:13-510LWLWW
12Geita GoldGeita Gold922510:16-68LLLLD
13Tabora UnitedTabora United81436:7-17DLWDL
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji913510:15-56DDWLL
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar91359:17-86LDWDL
16Fountain GateFountain Gate91355:13-86DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SimbaSimba819:424
2Young AfricansYoung Africans817:419
3AzamAzam813:717
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania912:1216
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji88:514
6Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania912:1112
7NamungoNamungo99:1212
8MashujaaMashujaa89:1312
9Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars814:1111
10Mbeya CityMbeya City88:910
11Coastal UnionCoastal Union98:1310
12Geita GoldGeita Gold910:168
13Tabora UnitedTabora United86:77
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji910:156
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar99:176
16Fountain GateFountain Gate95:136
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mbeya City and Kagera Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara table

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Mbeya City are 10th and Kagera Sugar 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Mbeya City 8-9, Kagera Sugar 9-17. The full standings are on the Ligi kuu Bara Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.