Melfi vs Nocerina Prediction

Melfi
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Nocerina
04/10/2026
MelfiMelfi
0-1
Finished
NocerinaNocerina

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-18.3%
Melfi Rest
7 days
Nocerina Rest
7 days

Melfi vs Nocerina: the result in context

Nocerina beat Melfi 1-0 in the Serie D - Girone H on 4 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nocerina had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Melfi.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%4.00
X
26%3.38
2
46%1.80
Double Chance
1X
54%1.81
X2
71%1.16
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'F. Cardella

Team Comparison

MelfiMelfi
NocerinaNocerina
1494Elo Rating 1495
0.77Attack 0.78
1.57Defense 2.04
23%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

MelfiMelfi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
NocerinaNocerina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

MelfiMelfi
1W1D3L
27/09/2026
EbolitanaMelfi
10
L
20/09/2026
MelfiFrancavilla
21
W
16/09/2026
NardòMelfi
00
D
13/09/2026
MelfiVirtus Francavilla
01
L
06/09/2026
Real NormannaMelfi
20
L
NocerinaNocerina
3W4D3L
27/09/2026
NocerinaUSD Palmese
30
W
20/09/2026
BisceglieNocerina
31
L
16/09/2026
NocerinaIschia
32
W
12/09/2026
ManfredoniaNocerina
22
D
06/09/2026
NocerinaEbolitana
21
W
03/05/2026
NocerinaIschia
01
L
26/04/2026
MonastirNocerina
10
L
19/04/2026
NocerinaFlaminia
11
D
12/04/2026
Atletico LodigianiNocerina
00
D
02/04/2026
NocerinaLatte Dolce
00
D

League Table

Serie D - Girone H 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Virtus FrancavillaVirtus Francavilla970217:10+721WLWLW
2Martina FrancaMartina Franca961217:8+919DWWWW
3TurrisTurris954015:7+819DWWDW
4BrindisiBrindisi960313:8+518WWWWW
5BisceglieBisceglie950414:11+315LLWLW
6GravinaGravina935116:11+514DDDWL
7ManfredoniaManfredonia942312:11+114LWLWW
8NocerinaNocerina941413:13013LLLWW
9Fidelis AndriaFidelis Andria941412:13-113WWWWL
10GladiatorGladiator933315:16-112WDDDL
11Real NormannaReal Normanna933314:15-112DDLLW
12USD PalmeseUSD Palmese932415:17-211DWLWL
13EbolitanaEbolitana92348:14-69DLLDW
14FrancavillaFrancavilla92257:10-38WDDLL
15MelfiMelfi92255:11-68DWLLL
16Real Forio 2014Real Forio 2014921612:16-47LLLLL
17IschiaIschia913511:15-46DLWDL
18NardòNardò91357:17-104LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Virtus FrancavillaVirtus Francavilla917:1021
2Martina FrancaMartina Franca917:819
3TurrisTurris915:719
4BrindisiBrindisi913:818
5BisceglieBisceglie914:1115
6GravinaGravina916:1114
7ManfredoniaManfredonia912:1114
8NocerinaNocerina913:1313
9Fidelis AndriaFidelis Andria912:1313
10GladiatorGladiator915:1612
11Real NormannaReal Normanna914:1512
12USD PalmeseUSD Palmese915:1711
13EbolitanaEbolitana98:149
14FrancavillaFrancavilla97:108
15MelfiMelfi95:118
16Real Forio 2014Real Forio 2014912:167
17IschiaIschia911:156
18NardòNardò97:174
PromotionRelegation

About the Melfi vs Nocerina forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D - Girone H match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Melfi and Nocerina in the Serie D - Girone H table

In the Serie D - Girone H table, Nocerina are 8th and Melfi 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Melfi 5-11, Nocerina 13-13. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone H Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Melfi and Nocerina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.