Montana vs Nesebar Prediction

Montana
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Nesebar
Ogosta Stadium, Montana 04/08/2026
MontanaMontana
3-1
Finished
NesebarNesebar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
Montana Rest
10 days
Nesebar Rest
10 days

Montana vs Nesebar: result, form and history

Montana beat Nesebar 3-1 in the Second League on 4 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Nesebar had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Montana.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.30
X
21%4.40
2
37%8.90
Double Chance
1X
63%1.03
X2
57%3.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.40
No
56%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.92
Over 3.5
18%3.23
Under 1.5
36%3.08
Under 2.5
62%1.76
Under 3.5
82%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'V. Dotsev
10'R. Mitev
15'B. Grigorov
24'D. Kuzmanovic
55'R. Mitev INM. Zeggai out
55'S. Statev IND. Cabanelas out
59'S. Kamenov ING. Karakashev out
59'M. Kingsley INH. Strandzhev out
64'G. Karakashev
68'I. Kolev INK. Parashkevov out
76'V. Dotsev INN. Gelin out
79'V. Vasilev INS. Traore out
84'H. Ivanov INK. Valkov out
84'O. Aliev IND. Avramov out
88'K. Valkov
90+1'N. Gelin
90+4'M. Milushev

Team Comparison

MontanaMontana
NesebarNesebar
1362Elo Rating 1561
1.25Attack 0.64
1.35Defense 1.47
23%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

MontanaMontana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NesebarNesebar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MontanaMontana2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
NesebarNesebar0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Second League06/04/2025
NesebarMontana
13
Second League28/09/2024
MontanaNesebar
20

Recent Form

MontanaMontana
2W4D4L
25/07/2026
Sportist SvogeMontana
22
D
18/07/2026
MontanaSpartak Pleven
31
W
11/07/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
72
L
22/05/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
20
L
18/05/2026
MontanaSpartak Varna
02
L
14/05/2026
Botev VratsaMontana
10
L
09/05/2026
MontanaLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
05/05/2026
BeroeMontana
22
D
01/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaMontana
11
D
27/04/2026
MontanaDobrudzha
10
W
NesebarNesebar
8W1D1L
25/07/2026
NesebarEtar Veliko Tarnovo
15
L
08/07/2026
Spartak VarnaNesebar
11
D
27/05/2026
NesebarAsenovets
81
W
23/05/2026
ZagoretsNesebar
24
W
17/05/2026
NesebarSpartak Plovdiv
61
W
13/05/2026
Maritsa PlovdivNesebar
05
W
09/05/2026
Yambol 1915Nesebar
13
W
02/05/2026
NesebarRozova dolina
40
W
29/04/2026
Atletik KuklenNesebar
01
W
25/04/2026
NesebarGigant Saedinenie
72
W

League Table

Second League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II1594232:14+1831WWDDW
2VihrenVihren1585229:14+1529WDDLW
3Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas1585227:13+1429DWDWW
4FratriaFratria1474324:14+1025WLLWW
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20191573522:17+524DWDWL
6Hebar 1918Hebar 19181572632:25+723WLWWL
7Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1565414:13+123LWWDD
8BeroeBeroe1564524:21+322DLWLW
9Ludogorets IILudogorets II1464420:14+622WDWWL
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven1563617:26-921DWWDL
11Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo1463523:22+121DWLWL
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist1555516:16020LDLDW
13MarekMarek1553717:21-418LLDWD
14NesebarNesebar1553722:23-118LLLDL
15MontanaMontana1543819:30-1115DLWLL
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge1526712:21-912LDDLL
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha1424814:27-1310DLLWL
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad1502138:41-332DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II1532:1431
2VihrenVihren1529:1429
3Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas1527:1329
4FratriaFratria1424:1425
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20191522:1724
6Hebar 1918Hebar 19181532:2523
7Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1514:1323
8BeroeBeroe1524:2122
9Ludogorets IILudogorets II1420:1422
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven1517:2621
11Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo1423:2221
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist1516:1620
13MarekMarek1517:2118
14NesebarNesebar1522:2318
15MontanaMontana1519:3015
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge1512:2112
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha1414:2710
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad158:412
PromotionRelegation

About the Montana vs Nesebar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montana and Nesebar in the Second League table

Nesebar and Montana are close in the Second League table, 14th and 15th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Montana 19-30, Nesebar 22-23. The full standings are on the Second League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montana and Nesebar have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.