Montañeses vs Tapachula Prediction

Montañeses
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tapachula
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Montañeses Rest
7 days
Tapachula Rest
7 days

Montañeses vs Tapachula: the result in context

Montañeses beat Tapachula 2-1 in the Primera Premier on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.74
X
24%3.72
2
25%3.81
Double Chance
1X
75%1.21
X2
49%1.91
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'
82'
86'

Team Comparison

MontañesesMontañeses
TapachulaTapachula
1523Elo Rating 1481
1.56Attack 1.34
1.23Defense 0.05
39%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MontañesesMontañeses
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TapachulaTapachula
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MontañesesMontañeses2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
TapachulaTapachula2Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Liga Premier Serie A10/03/2026
TapachulaMontañeses
31
Liga Premier Serie A19/10/2025
MontañesesTapachula
20
Liga Premier Serie A23/02/2025
TapachulaMontañeses
32
Liga Premier Serie A16/10/2024
MontañesesTapachula
41

Recent Form

MontañesesMontañeses
4W1D5L
03/10/2026
Pioneros de CancúnMontañeses
21
L
27/09/2026
MontañesesInter Playa del Carmen
32
W
20/09/2026
CelayaMontañeses
21
L
13/09/2026
MontañesesRacing de Veracruz
13
L
06/09/2026
Jaguares de ChiapasMontañeses
0212
W
30/08/2026
MontañesesDeportiva Venados
11
D
10/04/2026
Héroes de ZaciMontañeses
10
L
29/03/2026
MontañesesCelaya
51
W
21/03/2026
ChapulinerosMontañeses
02
W
15/03/2026
MontañesesRacing de Veracruz
13
L
TapachulaTapachula
4W1D5L
04/10/2026
TapachulaChapulineros
23
L
20/09/2026
Pioneros de CancúnTapachula
51
L
13/09/2026
TapachulaInter Playa del Carmen
20
W
06/09/2026
CelayaTapachula
20
L
30/08/2026
TapachulaRacing de Veracruz
04
L
19/04/2026
TapachulaTritons Vallarta
11
D
16/04/2026
Tritons VallartaTapachula
10
L
12/04/2026
TapachulaMexicali FC
40
W
28/03/2026
Cañoneros MarinaTapachula
12
W
22/03/2026
TapachulaPioneros de Cancún
21
W

League Table

Primera Premier 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IrapuatoIrapuato770016:4+1221WWWWW
2Racing de VeracruzRacing de Veracruz853019:7+1218WWDDW
3Pioneros de CancúnPioneros de Cancún852118:7+1117DDWWW
4Reboceros La PiedadReboceros La Piedad750213:11+215LWDLW
5Tigres de AlicaTigres de Alica842213:7+614WLWDD
6CelayaCelaya741212:7+513LLDWD
7Jaguares de ChiapasJaguares de Chiapas73226:6011DWWDL
8Zacatepec 1948Zacatepec 194883238:10-211DLDWW
9ChapulinerosChapulineros832310:14-411WWWLD
10MontañesesMontañeses831413:15-210LWLWL
11Los Cabos UnitedLos Cabos United83147:9-210LLWWW
12Deportiva VenadosDeportiva Venados722314:15-18WLLDD
13Lobos ULMXLobos ULMX72147:11-47WLWLD
14CordobésCordobés72145:9-47LWWLL
15H2O PurepechasH2O Purepechas61143:7-44WLLLL
16Inter Playa del CarmenInter Playa del Carmen71155:12-74LLWLD
17TapachulaTapachula71067:20-133LLLLW
18Tritons VallartaTritons Vallarta70254:9-52LLLDL

About the Montañeses vs Tapachula forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Premier match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montañeses and Tapachula in the Primera Premier table

In the Primera Premier table, Montañeses are 10th and Tapachula 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Montañeses 13-15, Tapachula 7-20. The full standings are on the Primera Premier Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montañeses have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.