Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction
Kenya · Regular Season - 7
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar preview: form and head-to-head
Mara Sugar have won 2 of their last five, while Nairobi United are still looking for a first win in that run. The match is played in the FKF Premier League on 14 Nov 2026.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 6 matches.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
Nairobi United
Mara SugarGame State Tendencies
Nairobi United- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Mara Sugar- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Nairobi United1Wins · 17%2Wins · 33%Previous meetings
01/04/2026Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar01/10/2025Mara SugarNairobi United
01/06/2025Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar01/06/2025Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar
02/06/2024Mara SugarNairobi United16/12/2023Nairobi UnitedMara SugarRecent Form
Nairobi United
GOR MahiaNairobi UnitedNairobi United
Bandari
Murang'a SEALNairobi UnitedNairobi United
APS Bomet
ShabanaNairobi UnitedNairobi United
KCBGOR MahiaNairobi UnitedNairobi United
PoliceNairobi United
Posta Rangers FC
Kariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedMara SugarMara Sugar
Migori Youth
TuskerMara SugarMara Sugar
AFC Leopards
Ulinzi StarsMara SugarMara Sugar
Mombasa Elite
3KMara SugarMurang'a SEALMara SugarMara SugarGOR MahiaMara Sugar
Mathare UnitedMara SugarShabanaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 2 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 10 | DWDDW |
| 4 | APS Bomet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 9 | WLDWD |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | WDWWD |
| 6 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 9 | WLDDD |
| 7 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 | WLDDW |
| 8 | 3K | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 | DWLWD |
| 9 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 8 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Migori Youth | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Bandari | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Ulinzi Stars | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 13 | Posta Rangers FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 | LWLW |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 | DDLDD |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 | LLWDL |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 | DLLDW |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 6 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | KCB | 6 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 4 | APS Bomet | 7 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Kenya Police | 6 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Shabana | 6 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 8 | 3K | 6 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Migori Youth | 6 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Bandari | 7 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ulinzi Stars | 7 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers FC | 6 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Tusker | 4 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 17 | Homeboyz | 5 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 6 | 4:11 | 1 |
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About the Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Nairobi United and Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League table
In the FKF Premier League table, Mara Sugar are 7th and Nairobi United 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Nairobi United 7-8, Mara Sugar 7-7. The full standings are on the FKF Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.