Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev Prediction

Narva U21
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Tartu Kalev
15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseHighGap-5.2%
Narva U21 Rest
4 days
Tartu Kalev Rest
5 days

Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev: the result in context

Narva U21 beat Tartu Kalev 2-0 in the Esiliiga B on 15 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Narva U21 had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Tartu Kalev.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.30
X
17%5.50
2
12%6.20
Double Chance
1X
87%1.06
X2
29%2.94
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'I. Elysee
53'J. Jerjomin

Team Comparison

Narva U21Narva U21
Tartu KalevTartu Kalev
1661Elo Rating 1529
1.38Attack 1.33
2.59Defense 0.90
77%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Narva U21Narva U21
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Tartu KalevTartu Kalev
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Narva U21Narva U215Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Tartu KalevTartu Kalev2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Esiliiga B06/09/2026
Tartu KalevNarva U21
01
Esiliiga B18/06/2026
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
32
Esiliiga B14/03/2026
Tartu KalevNarva U21
30
Esiliiga B09/11/2025
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
61
Esiliiga B13/09/2025
Tartu KalevNarva U21
11
Esiliiga B29/05/2025
Tartu KalevNarva U21
23
Esiliiga B06/04/2025
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
01
Esiliiga B19/10/2024
Tartu KalevNarva U21
11
Esiliiga B21/08/2024
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
21
Esiliiga B26/05/2024
Narva U21Tartu Kalev
00

Recent Form

Narva U21Narva U21
8W1D1L
11/10/2026
Johvi PhoenixNarva U21
01
W
26/09/2026
LegionNarva U21
12
W
19/09/2026
Tallinna Kalev IINarva U21
12
W
15/09/2026
Narva U21Luunja
10
W
11/09/2026
Narva U21Levadia U19
10
W
06/09/2026
Tartu KalevNarva U21
01
W
29/08/2026
Narva U21JK Tabasalu
40
W
23/08/2026
TulevikNarva U21
33
D
19/08/2026
Levadia U19Narva U21
10
L
15/08/2026
Narva U21Johvi Phoenix
10
W
Tartu KalevTartu Kalev
5W1D4L
10/10/2026
Tartu KalevLevadia U19
02
L
26/09/2026
TulevikTartu Kalev
61
L
13/09/2026
Parnu JK Vaprus U21Tartu Kalev
04
W
10/09/2026
LegionTartu Kalev
12
W
06/09/2026
Tartu KalevNarva U21
01
L
29/08/2026
Johvi PhoenixTartu Kalev
03
W
25/08/2026
Tartu KalevTallinna Kalev II
11
D
20/08/2026
Tartu KalevLuunja
21
W
15/08/2026
Tartu KalevParnu JK Vaprus U21
10
W
11/08/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Kalev
80
L

League Table

Esiliiga B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Narva U21Narva U2135234876:40+3673LWDWW
2Levadia U19Levadia U19352231087:56+3169DWWWW
3PhoenixPhoenix351931382:77+560-
4LuunjaLuunja341851193:67+2659WWWWL
5TulevikTulevik351651488:75+1353LLWWL
6Parnu JK Vaprus U21Parnu JK Vaprus U213415514102:70+3250LLWDW
7Tartu KalevTartu Kalev341621677:64+1350LWLLL
8JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu351151949:87-3838DWDLL
9Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II34862067:85-1830LLDWL
10LegionLegion35442733:133-10016WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Narva U21Narva U213576:4073
2Levadia U19Levadia U193587:5669
3PhoenixPhoenix3582:7760
4LuunjaLuunja3493:6759
5TulevikTulevik3588:7553
6Parnu JK Vaprus U21Parnu JK Vaprus U2134102:7050
7Tartu KalevTartu Kalev3477:6450
8JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu3549:8738
9Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II3467:8530
10LegionLegion3533:13316

About the Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev forecast

The forecasts for this Esiliiga B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Narva U21 and Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B table

The table shows a wide gap: Narva U21 are 1st in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev sit 7th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Narva U21 76-40, Tartu Kalev 77-64. The full standings are on the Esiliiga B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.