Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco Prediction

Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Nõmme Kalju II Rest
3 days
Tartu Welco Rest
3 days

Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco: result, form and history

Tartu Welco beat Nõmme Kalju II 4-2 in the Esiliiga A on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tartu Welco had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Nõmme Kalju II.

Tartu Welco have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
5%9.20
X
7%7.00
2
88%1.15
Double Chance
1X
12%4.25
X2
95%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.51
No
56%2.36
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.04
Over 2.5
38%1.16
Over 3.5
20%1.48
Under 1.5
37%10.50
Under 2.5
62%4.40
Under 3.5
80%2.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'S. TragonAssist: N. Ingelmann
40'K. Laasner(Penalty)
45'I. JabirAssist: A. Kiisel
71'R. SaluAssist: M. Sepp
85'R. Roots
90+2'Paul OjavereOG

Team Comparison

Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
1346Elo Rating 1735
0.60Attack 4.03
1.35Defense 1.77
0%Hit Rate 100%

Game State Tendencies

Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II1Wins · 17%
Draws00%
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco5Wins · 83%
4.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A28/05/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
42
Esiliiga A11/04/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
15
Esiliiga A23/10/2025
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
52
Esiliiga A19/07/2025
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
03
Esiliiga A19/06/2025
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
01
Esiliiga A01/05/2025
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
04

Recent Form

Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II
0W2D8L
20/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITallinna Kalev
03
L
17/08/2026
Nõmme United IINõmme Kalju II
20
L
10/08/2026
Flora IINõmme Kalju II
30
L
01/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIMaardu
14
L
25/07/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIFlora II
05
L
18/07/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIFCI Levadia II
02
L
11/07/2026
ViimsiNõmme Kalju II
22
D
05/07/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIElva
22
D
21/06/2026
Tallinna KalevNõmme Kalju II
51
L
18/06/2026
MaarduNõmme Kalju II
21
L
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
6W1D3L
20/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
42
W
15/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFlora II
21
W
12/08/2026
KoseTartu Welco
08
W
08/08/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
21
L
01/08/2026
Nõmme United IITartu Welco
21
L
23/07/2026
Rumori Calcio IITartu Welco
012
W
18/07/2026
Tartu WelcoFC Tallinn
02
L
13/07/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
18
W
02/07/2026
Tartu WelcoViimsi
22
D
21/06/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme United II
52
W

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco34235699:44+5574WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi331761061:32+2957WDWLL
3Flora IIFlora II321561176:57+1951DLDLW
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II321621464:56+850WWWWD
5ElvaElva321471147:48-149DLDWL
6MaarduMaardu301271147:59-1243DDDWW
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn341081643:77-3438WLLWD
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev321071556:62-637LLLDL
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II331061755:70-1536LLLWW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II34662239:82-4324LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3499:4474
2ViimsiViimsi3361:3257
3Flora IIFlora II3276:5751
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3264:5650
5ElvaElva3247:4849
6MaarduMaardu3047:5943
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn3443:7738
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3256:6237
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II3355:7036
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3439:8224

About the Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nõmme Kalju II and Tartu Welco in the Esiliiga A table

The table shows a wide gap: Tartu Welco are 1st in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th, 50 points behind. League goal record so far: Nõmme Kalju II 39-82, Tartu Welco 99-44. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tartu Welco have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.